Tour Outsider

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

2010-09-01T09:57:00.000-04:00

The USA PGA Tour is playing the 2nd leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Boston with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	12.70
2	Matt Kuchar	15.05
3	Jason Dufner	15.15
4	Steve Stricker	17.35
5	Jim Furyk	18.60
6	Padraig Harrington	18.90
7	Marc Leishman	23.05
8	Retief Goosen	24.25
9	Kevin Streelman	26.65
10	J.J. Henry	27.55
11	Jason Day	28.60
12	Martin Laird	29.75
13	Charlie Wi	30.30
14	Justin Leonard	31.05
15	Sean O'Hair	31.65

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Johnson, Kuchar, Dufner, Stricker, and Furyk.

Dufner is an interesting pick when looking at these 5 players since his world ranking is the losest of the 5. As well, he missed the cut last week at the Barclays Classic. Then on top of that, picking Dufner is especially interesting when Padraig Harrington is in 6th position in the rankings. Harrington's CLi (18.90) is not much different than the Cli values of the first 5 players in the list. However, in the two instances that Dufner has played the Deutsche Bank event, he has missed the cut in the preceeding tournaments and has finished 2nd and 37th. Both times he made the cut, so it seems that he likes this course. Thus, I am going to stick with him as a pick this week rather than dropping him for Harrington.

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	12.70
2	Matt Kuchar	15.05
3	Jason Dufner	15.15
4	Steve Stricker	17.35
5	Jim Furyk	18.60

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Dustin Johnson
Steve Stricker
Matt Kuchar
Jason Day
Ben Crane

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Johnson, Stricker, and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Barclays Classic

2010-08-25T12:05:00.000-04:00

The USA PGA Tour starts the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in New Jersey with the Barclays Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Barclays Classic .

#	Player	CLi
1	Steve Stricker	13.2
2	Padraig Harrington	21.0
3	Matt Kuchar	22.9
4	Hunter Mahan	26.3
5	Dean Wilson	28.7
6	Paul Casey	29.2
7	Jerry Kelly	29.3
8	Justin Leonard	30.8
9	Stuart Appleby	31.3
10	Woody Austin	31.3
11	Charley Hoffman	33.5
12	Jason Day	34.5
13	Troy Matteson	35.7
14	Dustin Johnson	36.3
15	Jeffrey Overton	37.8

I am going to stick with the top 4 in the CLi rankings: Sticker, Harrington, Kuchar, and Mahan. Then I am going to skip down to pick Justin Leonard. He is playing well, and is a bulldog when it comes to these types of "point" tournaments.

Below are my 5 picks for the Barclays Classic :

#	Player	Cli
1	Steve Stricker	13.2
2	Padraig Harrington	21.0
3	Matt Kuchar	22.9
4	Hunter Mahan	26.3
5	Justin Leonard	30.8

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Matt Kuchar
Jim Furyk
Bo Van Pelt
Ernie Els
Paul Casey

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Barclays Classic

We have 1 player in common this week: Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Barclays Classic :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Wyndham Championship

2010-08-19T09:03:00.000-04:00

I am back from my travels, but am still behind schedule on things I am responsible for doing. So I am late in this week's posting, but am able to post a normal entry as opposed to an abbreviated posting like the previous 2 weeks.

The USA PGA Tour is in North Carolina this week to play Wyndham Championship in Greensboro.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wyndham Championship in Greensboro .

#	Player	CLi
1	Carl Pettersson	3.7
2	Fred Couples	7.6
3	J.J. Henry	10.3
4	Jeff Maggert	13.5
5	Michael Letzig	14.0
6	Jonathan Byrd	15.2
7	Brandt Snedeker	17.3
8	Bob Estes	18.1
9	Greg Chalmers	19.3
10	Garrett Willis	19.7
11	Matt Bettencourt	19.8
12	Ryan Moore	21.4
13	Marc Leishman	22.4
14	Dean Wilson	22.4
15	Boo Weekley	23.1

I am going to pick Pettersson, Henry, Maggert, Byrd, and Snedeker. Pettersson won this tournament in 2008 and has only missed the cut once in the 7 times he has played the tournament since 2003. Henry has played well and consistent over the past 4 tournaments, placing no worse then 36th with a 2nd place finish last week at Turning Stone. Maggert has not played too well over the past month. But he has played well in this tournament. Byrd is from the Carolinas and likes playing in this area of the country. As well, he has played well leading up to this tournament this week. Snedeker placed 2nd last week in Turning Stone and has placed no worse than 36th in the past 4 tournaments he has played in. He missed the cut last year at this tournament. But the prior 3 instances of this tournament he placed no worse than 27th. Let's see if he gets back on track at this tournament this week with those sort of finishes.

I passed over Couples and Letzig. Couples is the tough player to pick in the top 5 players. He has played very well on the senior tour, and he placed 5th last year in Greensboro. But he has been irradicate in the tournaments he has played in on the regular tour. So this pulls me to pass over him this week. I passed over Letzig because he withdrew from the tournament last year and missed the cut at Turning Stone last week. He was playing well prior to Turning Stone. But his 102nd finish in the Turning Stone last week could carry over this week in the form of a lower confidence level.

I wanted to pick Estes as he is making a come back with his game. He has been playing well leading up to this tournament, and has played well in this tournament the previous 3 times he has played in the tournament. However, I couldn't come to terms in removing any of the 5 players that I had picked before reaching Estes in the list. So he is not included in my picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship in Greensboro :

#	Player	CLi
1	Carl Pettersson	3.7
2	J.J. Henry	10.3
3	Jeff Maggert	13.5
4	Jonathan Byrd	15.2
5	Brandt Snedeker	17.3

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Ryan Moore
Woody Austin
Richard S. Johnson
Michael Sim
Carl Pettersson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship in Greensboro

We have 1 player in common this week: Pettersson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship in Greensboro :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
3	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
45	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
5	20%	20%

PGA Championship

2010-08-11T08:14:00.000-04:00

I am still traveling and have limited access to the Internet and time to make the post. So I will just post my 5 picks for the PGA Championship (which is at the resort in Kohler, Wisconsin).

Rory McIlroy
Stuart Appleby
Padraig Harrington
Steve Stricker
Luke Donald

As I mentioned with my posts last week, I will come back and update these details in the near future with the details that I normally put in my posts for each tournament.

Bridgestone Invitational

2010-08-04T22:04:00.000-04:00

As I mentioned in the Turning Stone post, I am short on time this week. So I am just going to do a quick post with my picks for the Bridgestone Invitational as well. My picks are:

Padraig Harrington
Lee Westwood
Justin Rose
Stuart Appleby
Jim Furyk

I will expand on my posting next week --- after the tournament -- to ensure that I have the full posting in the archives.

Turning Stone

2010-08-04T22:02:00.000-04:00

I am short on time this week, so I am just going to do a quick post with my picks for the Turning Stone tournament. My picks are:

Vaughn Taylor
Paul Stankowski
Charles Howell III
D.A. Points
Brendon De Jonge

I will expand on my posting next week --- after the tournament -- to ensure that I have the full posting in the archives.

Greenbrier Classic

2010-07-27T18:29:00.000-04:00

The USA PGA Tour heads to the fame Greenbrier Resort in Virgina to play the inaugural Greenbrier Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Greenbrier Classic .

#	Player	CLi
1	Carl Pettersson	1.50
2	Charlie Wi	2.50
3	Charley Hoffman	5.50
4	Brendon De Jonge	6.25
5	Jeffrey Overton	7.50
6	Jeff Maggert	7.75
7	Dean Wilson	8.00
8	Garrett Willis	8.50
9	Matt Bettencourt	9.75
10	Greg Chalmers	9.75
11	Matthew Jones	11.25
12	Matt Kuchar	13.50
13	John Merrick	13.50
14	Michael Letzig	14.00
15	Bob Estes	17.50

In looking at this week's top 5 players in the CLi rankings, they look rather good. As well, the CLi did last week with the top 5. Both last week's tournament (RBC Canadian Open) and this tournametn are new courses for the players, which makes the CLi patterns possibly similar between these two tournaments. So I am going to go make it easy on myself and go with the top, and then get back to studying for comps. Enjoy the tournament.

Below are my 5 picks for the Greenbrier Classic :

#	Player	CLi
1	Carl Pettersson	1.50
2	Charlie Wi	2.50
3	Charley Hoffman	5.50
4	Brendon De Jonge	6.25
5	Jeffrey Overton	7.50

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Matt Kuchar
Nick Watney
Jeff Overton
Brendon de Jonge
Charlie Wi

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Greenbrier Classic

We have 3 players in common this week: Overton, de Jonge, and Wi.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Greenbrier Classic :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	0%	0%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	25%	25%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

RBC Canadian Open Review

2010-07-26T16:16:00.000-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the RBC Canadian Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Fred Couples | 128 (MC) | $0
Charlie Wi | 4 | $165,750
Charley Hoffman | 4 | $165,750
Jonathan Byrd | 96 (MC) | $0
Carl Pettersson | 1 | $918,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Sean O'Hair | 96 (MC) | $0
Paul Casey | 96 (MC) | $0
Mathew Jones | 37 | $19,890
Charlie Wi | 4 | $165,750
Tim Clark | 4 | $165,750

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,249,500	$351,390	TO
Avg Rank	46.6	47.4	TO
Made Cut	3	3	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 15 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

With Pettersson winning the tournament, I thought I had this tournament going away even though it came down to the last couple of holes. I did win the earnings category running away. However, I just squeaked by in the rank average category. The 128th place finish by Couples came close to allowsing Bolton to have a draw in this tournament even though I had a winner in Pettersson. In the end, it is a win. Yeah.

RBC Canadian Open

2010-07-21T17:18:00.001-04:00

The USA PGA Tour heads north of the border to play the RBC Canadian Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the RBC Canadian Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Fred Couples	8.70
2	Charlie Wi	15.80
3	Charley Hoffman	16.00
4	Jonathan Byrd	18.10
5	Carl Pettersson	18.60
6	Brett Quigley	19.70
7	Brandt Snedeker	19.70
8	Sean O'Hair	20.10
9	Retief Goosen	24.60
10	Scott McCarron	25.50
11	Chris Riley	25.70
12	Kevin Sutherland	27.90
13	Nicholas Thompson	31.10
14	Webb Simpson	32.80
15	Steve Elkington	33.00

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings as I don't have the time to review the players in the list. I need to trust the CLi rankings this week, as I am focusing on studying (comprehensive exams next week.....). Let's hope that Couples shows some youthful flair this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Fred Couples	8.70
2	Charlie Wi	15.80
3	Charley Hoffman	16.00
4	Jonathan Byrd	18.10
5	Carl Pettersson	18.60

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Sean O'Hair
Paul Casey
Mathew Jones
Charlie Wi
Tim Clark

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: RBC Canadian Open

We have 1 player in common this week: Wi.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the RBC Canadian Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Reno-Tahoe Open Review

2010-07-20T19:00:00.003-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Vaughn Taylor | 35 | $15,113
Joe Ogilvie | 85 (MC) | $0
John Merrick | 3 | $174,000
Rod Pampling | 21 | $31,200
Steve Elkington | 21 | $31,200

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Vaughn Taylor | 35 | $15,113
John Rollins | 50 | $7,305
Kris Blanks | 39 | $10,812
Joe Ogilvie | 85 (MC) | $0
Robert Garrigus | 10 | $69,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$251,513	$102,230	TO
Avg Rank	33.0	43.8	TO
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

British Open Review

2010-07-20T18:00:00.004-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the British Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Tiger Woods | 23 | $49,997
Steve Stricker | 54 | $14,761
Jim Furyk | 106 (MC) | $0
Ernie Els | 86 (MC) | $0
Justin Rose | 78 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Tiger Woods | 23 | $49,997
Ernie Els | 86 (MC) | $0
Lee Westwood | 2 | $595,200
Phil Mickelson | 48 | $16,377
Retief Goosen | 6 | $208,321

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$64,758	$869,895	TI
Avg Rank	69.4	33.0	TI
Made Cut	2	4	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 15 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

It looks like I am still having difficulty picking players for the British Open. The patterns in the data in past instances of the British Open do not seem to be working; nor is the level of play leading up to the tournament. A lot of it is seems to be related to the weather, and the draw of the tee times for each player. The weather at the British Open plays a larger factor compared to many other tournaments. Or maybe there are other factors that I am just missing and failing to take into account for the British Open. All in all, it makes the British Open tough to pick players. But that is what makes it fun to try.

Reno-Tahoe Open

2010-07-15T09:39:00.001-04:00

Along with being part of the sanctioning bodies for the Reno-Tahoe Open, this week the US PGA Tour is also hosting its open tournament, the Reno-Tahoe Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Reno-Tahoe Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Vaughn Taylor	1.80
2	Joe Ogilvie	7.30
3	John Merrick	8.10
4	Rod Pampling	13.80
5	Steve Elkington	16.00
6	Chris DiMarco	17.30
7	Billy Mayfair	18.90
8	Robert Garrigus	20.10
9	Johnson Wagner	22.70
10	James Nitties	24.90
11	Nicholas Thompson	25.00
12	Kris Blanks	25.70
13	Jeff Quinney	28.90
14	Alexander Cejka	29.10
15	Scott McCarron	30.10

The first 5 players in the CLi rankings look good. Three of them have CLi figures below 10, which is usually a good sign for them and the overall CLi as a whole in terms of its prediction value for this tournament (at least based upon the settings that I have for the CLi for this tournament). The 4th and 5th players in the CLi rankings do not have CLi figures below 10, but they tend to play well in this tournament and have played decent leading up to this tournament. So I am going to go with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.

Below are my 5 picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Vaughn Taylor	1.80
2	Joe Ogilvie	7.30
3	John Merrick	8.10
4	Rod Pampling	13.80
5	Steve Elkington	16.00

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Vaughn Taylor
John Rollins
Kris Blanks
Joe Ogilvie
Robert Garrigus

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Reno-Tahoe Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Taylor and Ogilvie.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Reno-Tahoe Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

British Open

2010-07-14T10:40:00.000-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour and the rest of the professional golfing world heads to the U.K. to play (or turns their head towards the U.K. to watch) the British Open in Scotland at St. Andrews.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the British Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	1.34
2	Steve Stricker	7.30
3	Lee Westwood	8.11
4	Padraig Harrington	8.44
5	Jim Furyk	11.70
6	Ernie Els	12.56
7	Retief Goosen	14.63
8	Phil Mickelson	17.11
9	Justin Rose	22.41
10	Ryan Moore	24.76
11	Rory McIlroy	24.99
12	Robert Allenby	25.26
13	Ian Poulter	25.88
14	Tom Watson	26.35
15	Luke Donald	27.44

There are some good names in this list of players in the top CLi. The CLi shows that Woods has a clear advantage based upon historical results, which is signaled by his 1.34 CLi figure. With all of his troubles personally, and the British media hounding him because of those personal issues, it would seem that he might be flustered and blown away in this tournament. However, he seems to pull through in the major events more often than naught. So I am going to keep him in my picks.

I will then pick Stricker for my second choice. Coming off a win last week at the John Deere, and doing so in strong fashion, he should have a high level confidence to knock it around St. Andrews. St. Andrews, and links golf altogether, is much different than the course he played on in Moline at the John Deere. However, he has a strong short game that will help him get through some of the possible roadblocks links golf will confront him with during the 4 days of the tournament.

I am going to pass over Westwood and Harrington. Even though Westwood has been playing well and Harrington plays well in the British Open, both are coming off injuries. That makes picking them a little risky. If there were not good players further down the list, I would pick them. But there are good players that follow both of these players, which makes my eye and mind lean towards those players.

For my 3rd and 4th picks, I am going to go with Furyk and Els. Furyk is a player I like to have in my stable on tough courses. He might not win the tournament, but he will not play poorly. So he is usually a "loss avoider" pick for me. Whereas, picking Els provides me a chance to win the tournament, but also a risk in missing the cut. He likes St. Andrews and loves playing here in tournaments. So hopefully that will spur him to play well this week.

For my final pick, I am going to go with Rose. Yes, I skipped over some good players in Goosen and Mickelson. However, Rose has been playing very well of late, having won the AT&T National two weeks ago. As well, he is British and would love to return to form in the British Open like he did when he first played here as an amateur in 1998.

Below are my 5 picks for the British Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	1.34
2	Steve Stricker	7.30
3	Jim Furyk	11.70
4	Ernie Els	12.56
5	Justin Rose	22.41

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Tiger Woods
Ernie Els
Lee Westwood
Phil Mickelson
Retief Goosen

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: British Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Woods and Els.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the British Open. If you have read my past postings, you will see that I used a different strategy for this tournament. The British Open is a difficult tournament to predict who will play, and I have not been very good at predicting which players will play well in the British Open in the past. So I have changed the configuration settings rather drastically compared to what I have normally use. I am making the weights basically be equal and increasing the number of days and tournaments to take into accont the entire years. This is normally not good in my opinion as the results will not favor the players that have the recent spurt of good play and thus have a higher confidence level. So I am going against my normal wisdom with this configuration setting of the CLi.

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
7	16%	17%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
360	17%	17%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
25	16%	17%

John Deere Classic Review

2010-07-11T19:25:00.001-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the John Deere Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Chad Campbell | 34 | $22,704
Billy Mayfair | 154 (WD) | $0
Tim Clark | 7 | $137,133
Charles Wi | 15 | $68,200
Jason Day | 15 | $68,200

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

K.J. Choi | 105 (MC) | $0
Zach Johnson | 21 | $36,418
Vaugh Taylor | 6 | $158,400
Steve Stricker | 1 | $792,000
tim Clark | 7 | $137,133

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$296,237	$1,123,951	TI
Avg Rank	45.0	28.0	TI
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 14 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

John Deere Classic

2010-07-08T07:03:00.000-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour heads to the midwest USA to play the John Deere Classic in Illinois.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the John Deere Classic.

#	Player	CLi
1	Chad Campbell	10.40
2	Billy Mayfair	14.45
3	Tim Clark	14.95
4	Jay Williamson	17.05
5	Garrett Willis	17.35
6	Charlie Wi	19.00
7	Kenny Perry	20.30
8	Jonathan Byrd	22.10
9	Jason Day	23.05
10	Zach Johnson	23.10
11	Michael Sim	23.40
12	Matthew Jones	24.05
13	Bubba Watson	25.20
14	Kevin Sutherland	25.95
15	Steve Elkington	26.15

Since I am late in posting my picks this week, I didn't have time to explain my picks. Basically I am going with the top 3 players in the CLi and then I hand picked the next two based upon some quick analysis of the players in the list.

Below are my 5 picks for the John Deere Classic:

#	Player	Cli
1	Chad Campbell	10.40
2	Billy Mayfair	14.45
3	Tim Clark	14.95
4	Charlie Wi	19.00
5	Jason Day	23.05

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

K.J. Choi
Zach Johnson
Vaughn Taylor
Steve Stricker
Tim Clark

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: John Deere Classic

We have 1 player in common this week: Clark.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the John Deere Classic:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

AT&T National Review

2010-07-04T19:34:00.000-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the AT&T National to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Ben Crane | 46 | $16,581
Jeffrey Overton | 3 | $421,600
Justin Rose | 1 | $1,116,000
Bryce Molder | 25 | $46,323
Fredrik Jacobson | 56 | $13,950

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Jim Furyk | 33 | $31,388
Ryan Moore | 2 | $669,600
Ben Crane | 46 | $16,581
Ricky Barnes | 16 | $81,247
Fredrik Jacobson | 56 | $13,950

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,614,453	$812,766	TO
Avg Rank	26.2	30.6	TO
Made Cut	5	5	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 13 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

This week was a good week for both Bolton and I. Combined, we had the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd places locked down. I am just glad that I was the one that had 2 of those picks in Rose and Overton. Rose won the tournament and Overton finished 3rd. That is a nice week when picking 5 players from a field of 120 players.

AT&T National

2010-06-30T11:24:00.000-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour heads all the way across the country to play the AT&T National.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the AT&T National.

#	Player	CLi
1	Ben Crane	4.90
2	Jeffrey Overton	5.10
3	Justin Rose	10.90
4	Bryce Molder	11.70
5	Fredrik Jacobson	15.55
6	Cameron Beckman	15.95
7	Pat Perez	17.05
8	Bo Van Pelt	20.45
9	Vijay Singh	21.05
10	Robert Garrigus	21.20
11	Boo Weekley	24.65
12	Chris Riley	26.90
13	Alexander Cejka	27.25
14	Brandt Snedeker	28.20
15	Ryan Moore	28.25

As with last week, I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings. Crane, Overton, and Rose all look like good picks for this tournament. They are playing well. Molder and Jacobson are the questions in my mind. However, looking at the details of the results for these two players, the details show that they have a good chance of playing well in this tournament.

Both players played well in the tournament last year...albeit the tournament was played on a different course than this year. Molder placed 4th in last year's tournament and Jacobson played 2nd. Both players have made the cut in the last 4 tournaments they have played in leading up to this tournament. This data makes me feel good to include them in my picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the AT&T National:

#	Player	CLi
1	Ben Crane	4.90
2	Jeffrey Overton	5.10
3	Justin Rose	10.90
4	Bryce Molder	11.70
5	Fredrik Jacobson	15.55

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Jim Furyk
Ryan Moore
Ben Crane
Ricky Barnes
Fredrik Jacobson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: AT&T National

We have 2 players in common this week: Crane and Jacobson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the AT&T National (note that these settings are different than my normal settings; the reason is because the tournament is being played on a different course than the course they have played in past instances of this tournament):

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	15%	15%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
45	15%	15%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Travelers Championship Review

2010-06-28T10:37:00.000-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the Travelers Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Justin Rose | 9 | $156,000
Scott Verplank | 2 | $528,000
Bo Van Pelt | 34 | $29,025
Kenny Perry | 74 | $11,400
Boo Weekley | 51 | $14,120

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Scott Verplank | 2 | $528,000
Bo Van Pelt | 34 | $29,025
Hunter Mahan | 129 (MC) | $0
Bubba Watson | 1 | $1,080,000
Justin Rose | 9 | $156,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$738,545	$1,793,025	TI
Avg Rank	34.0	35.0	TO
Made Cut	5	4	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 9 wins to the Tour Outsider, 13 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

It would have been nice if Rose could have played well in the final round to carry his 54-hole lead to the clubhouse after the final round. However, Rose struggled during the final round, and placed 9th.

This week is a mirror of the results from last week (the U.S. Open). Even though Bolton had a winner in Watson, I was able to win the tournament because of a better rank average and number of players that made the cut. So the results of this tournament (Travelers Championship) and the U.S. Open last week are a wash between Bolton and I.

Travelers Championship

2010-06-24T07:53:00.001-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour heads all the way across the country to play the Travelers Championship in Connecticut.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Travelers Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Justin Rose	9.35
2	Scott Verplank	9.35
3	Bo Van Pelt	11.50
4	Kenny Perry	13.05
5	Boo Weekley	14.35
6	Corey Pavin	15.55
7	Stewart Cink	15.85
8	Jay Williamson	18.30
9	David Toms	19.50
10	Brian Davis	22.65
11	Kris Blanks	25.35
12	Ricky Barnes	29.40
13	Johnson Wagner	30.40
14	Bryce Molder	32.00
15	Billy Mayfair	32.60

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings to make it easy on myself since I am late in posting this week's picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Travelers Championship:

#	Player	CLI
1	Justin Rose	9.35
2	Scott Verplank	9.35
3	Bo Van Pelt	11.50
4	Kenny Perry	13.05
5	Boo Weekley	14.35

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Scott Verplank
Bo Van Pelt
Hunter Mahan
Bubba Watson
Justin Rose

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Travelers Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Verplank, Van Pelt, and Rose.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Travelers Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

U.S. Open Review

2010-06-23T10:13:00.004-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the U.S. Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Phil Mickelson | 3 | $303,119
Lee Westwood | 16 | $108,458
Rory McIlroy | 109 (MC) | $0
Tiger Woods | 3 | $303,119
Retief Goosen | 58 | $18,368

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Lee Westwood | 16 | $108,458
Jim Furyk | 16 | $108,458
Phil Mickelson | 3 | $303,119
Luke Donald | 47 | $23,385
K.J. Choi | 47 | $23,385

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$733,064	$566,805	TO
Avg Rank	37.8	25.8	TI
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 8 wins to the Tour Outsider, 13 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

U.S. Open

2010-06-15T14:36:00.001-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour, and all of the other major tours around the world, converge on the Monterrey Peninsula in California to play the 2nd major of the year, the U.S. Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the U.S. Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	7.95
2	Ricky Barnes	12.95
3	Lee Westwood	13.90
4	Rory McIlroy	18.00
5	Heath Slocum	18.60
6	Tiger Woods	20.80
7	Retief Goosen	22.05
8	Jim Furyk	23.45
9	Lucas Glover	26.30
10	Francesco Molinari	26.90
11	Luke Donald	29.10
12	Tim Clark	31.55
13	Stewart Cink	32.50
14	Bo Van Pelt	32.75
15	Hunter Mahan	33.65

Mickelson has the best shot at playing well this week at Pebble Beach based upon the configuration of my CLi calculation. He is the only player in the CLi rankings with a CLi less than 10. So he will be my first pick this week. Hopefully that means he also has the confidence to play well this week on a tough course.

As for my next 4 picks, it is interesting that that Barnes as the next best player. He is a California native and does tend to enjoy playing in California. As well, he has been playing well the last couple of months. However, he is sparatic and U.S. Open courses need straight and consistent play. So I am going to pass on Barnes.

I will pick Westwood as he is playing well. He won this past week ni Memphis and he has a strong mental game; am not sure he has a chance of winning, but does have a good chance of placing in the top 15.

My third pick will be the young McIlroy. He has the spirit and the energy to last 4 rounds at Pebble Beach. If he can stay positive through out the tournament and make some putts, he has a good chance of winning this year.

I am going to skip Slocum as I don't think he has the strength to play Pebble Beach with its long rough. He does hit it in the fairway more than a lot of the players. This puts him in company of Furyk. However, at this point in his career, he doesn't necessarily have the short game and fight to push through to see every putt that needs to be made to be made (does that make sense?).

For my 4th and 5th picks, I am going to go with Woods and Goosen. Woods is an unknown with having not played much and his mental side of things hurting his game. But one can never count him out at a major until he falters enough times. Goosen has won this event a couple of times, and is playing well leading up to this tournament. Hopefully he can make some putts and play well 4 days in a row.

This leaves out Furyk in my picks. Furky is a great U.S. Open player, and it was hard to not pick him.

Below are my 5 picks for the U.S. Open:

#	Player	CLI
1	Phil Mickelson	7.95
2	Lee Westwood	13.90
3	Rory McIlroy	18.00
4	Tiger Woods	20.80
5	Retief Goosen	22.05

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Lee Westwood
Jim Furyk
Phil Mickelson
Luke Donald
K.J. Choi

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: U.S. Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Mickelson and Westwood.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the U.S. Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
6	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6	20%	20%

St. Jude Classic Review

2010-06-15T13:20:00.000-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the St. Jude Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Brian Gay | 15 | $76,272
Zach Johnson | 12 | $117,600
Heath Slocum | 6 | $201,600
Ben Crane | 12 | $117,600
David Toms | 29 | $34,090

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Ben Crane | 12 | $117,600
Zach Johnson | 12 | $117,600
Robert Allenby | 151 (WD) | $0
Heath Slocum | 6 | $201,600
Paul Goydos | 151 (WD) | $0

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$547,162	$436,800	TO
Avg Rank	14.8	66.4	TO
Made Cut	5	3	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

St. Jude Classic

2010-06-09T11:09:00.002-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour is planning for the U.S. Open by playing a tournament in Tennessee: St. Jude Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the St. Jude Classic.

#	Player	CLi
1	Brian Gay	4.35
2	Zach Johnson	4.80
3	Heath Slocum	8.20
4	Ben Crane	8.75
5	David Toms	9.95
6	Aron Price	12.45
7	Fredrik Jacobson	14.80
8	Tom Pernice Jr	20.20
9	Robert Allenby	21.40
10	Justin Leonard	26.00
11	Boo Weekley	27.55
12	D.A. Points	27.95
13	Camilo Villegas	29.35
14	Chris Riley	31.35
15	Stephen Ames	31.75

This week the CLi has 5 players with a CLi less than 10. This is a good sign that the CLi "thinks" it can determine players that have the best chance of playing well based upon my settings of the CLi for this tournament. From my experience, a CLi less than 10 is a good threshold to use for this determination of the usefulness of the CLi. Therefore, I am going to stick with the CLi and pick the top 5 players in the list: Gay, Johnson, Slocum, Crane, and Toms.

Below are my 5 picks for the St. Jude Classic:

#	Player	CLi
1	Brian Gay	4.35
2	Zach Johnson	4.80
3	Heath Slocum	8.20
4	Ben Crane	8.75
5	David Toms	9.95

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Ben Crane
Zach Johnson
Robert Allenby
Heath Slocum
Paul Goydos

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: St. Jude Classic

We have 3 players in common this week: Crane, Johnson, and Slocum.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the St. Jude Classic:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Memorial Tournament Review

2010-06-06T19:36:00.000-04:00

It is now time to review the picks for the Memorial Tournament to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Kenny Perry | 17 | $93,000
Zach Johnson | 47 | $15,864
Fredrik Jacobson | 50 | $14,839
Matt Kuchar | 8 | $180,000
Tim Clark | 68 | $12,180

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

Ernie Els | 72 (MC) | $0
Phil Mickelson | 5 | $219,000
Robert Allenby | 80 (MC) | $0
Kenny Perry | 17 | $93,000
Matt Kuchar | 8 | $180,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$315,883	$492,000	TI
Avg Rank	38.0	36.4	TI
Made Cut	5	3	TO
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 7 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

Memorial Tournament

2010-06-01T21:08:00.000-04:00

This week the US PGA Tour is at Jack's home course in Columbus, Ohio this week to play the Memorial Tournament.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Memorial Tournament.

#	Player	Cli
1	Kenny Perry	12.00
2	Zach Johnson	12.80
3	Fredrik Jacobson	13.15
4	Matt Kuchar	13.20
5	Tim Clark	13.60
6	K.J. Choi	14.95
7	Bo Van Pelt	14.95
8	Phil Mickelson	15.35
9	Jim Furyk	19.90
10	Nick Watney	21.00
11	Adam Scott	21.90
12	Tiger Woods	23.90
13	Geoff Ogilvy	24.75
14	Stewart Cink	25.05
15	Lucas Glover	25.60

Even though no player has a CLi less than 10, this week I am still going to take the easy way out and go with the top 5 players in the CLi ranking. The interesting note about this is that this is the first time that Tiger Woods has not been in the top portion of the CLi rankings. So it will be interesting to see how he does this week at Jack's tournament.

Below are my 5 picks for the Memorial Tournament:

#	Player	Cli
1	Kenny Perry	12.00
2	Zach Johnson	12.80
3	Fredrik Jacobson	13.15
4	Matt Kuchar	13.20
5	Tim Clark	13.60

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

Ernie Els
Phil Mickelson
Robert Allenby
Kenny Perry
Matt Kuchar

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Memorial Tournament

We have 2 players in common this week: Perry and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Memorial Tournament:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	15%	15%