tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6879915515880887788.post4607138294641846567..comments2008-09-04T08:30:39.841-04:00John M. Muellerhttps://profiles.google.com/112664410285566368332noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6879915515880887788.post-62891233317235619392008-08-26T15:08:00.000-04:002008-08-26T15:08:00.000-04:00Baummer, interesting that you picked Ogilvy. I do see him having the 4th lowest scoring average at this tournament in the previous 5 years (scoring avg: 68.80). And as you mentioned, he has not been playing well of late leading up to this tournament. <BR/><BR/>So after you mentioned that you picked him, I went back and looked at how he was doing prior to his play in the Deutsche for 2003, 2004, and 2007. <BR/><BR/>In 2007, he had placed 6th, 4th, 51st and 91st prior to placing 6th in the Deutsche in 2007. So he was playing well leading into the tournament last year.<BR/><BR/>In 2004, he missed the cut in the Deutsche placing 71st (he missed the cut by one shot). Leading up to the tournament that year he had placed 24th, 43rd, 18th and 87th. So he was not playing well leading up to the tournament in 2004.<BR/><BR/>Then in 2003, he placed 27th, 8th, 2nd and 97th before he placed 5th. So in 2003, he was playing well leading up to the tournament as well.<BR/><BR/>With that data, I would be hard pressed to pick Ogivily this week. Let's see if the pattern I pointed out above will stay try this year (i.e. he won't play well this year), or if he breaks that pattern (i.e. he plays well).<BR/><BR/>- JMJohnny Momo Muellerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01518330482010663614noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6879915515880887788.post-17643282062605435282008-08-26T13:05:00.001-04:002008-08-26T13:05:00.001-04:00Hey Johnny,<BR/><BR/>Been busy the last few weeks, so missed adding my picks. This week, I will take Phil, Sergio, Furyk, Vijay, and Geoff Ogilvy. I know Ogilvy has had a rough stretch lately, but he has done well at this tournament in the past after struggling in prior tournaments.<BR/><BR/>BaummerAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6879915515880887788.post-73316602675367960552008-08-26T13:05:00.000-04:002008-08-26T13:05:00.000-04:00Hey Johnny,<BR/><BR/>Been busy the last few weeks, so missed adding my picks. This week, I will take Phil, Sergio, Furyk, Vijay, and Geoff Ogilvy. I know Ogilvy has had a rough stretch lately, but he has done well at this tournament in the past after struggling in prior tournaments.<BR/><BR/>BaummerAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com