Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

This week the US PGA Tour moves up the Eastern seaboard to play the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 Vijay Singh  5.70
2 Luke Donald  9.30
3 Jason Dufner  9.50
4 Jason Day  12.00
5 Steve Stricker  12.25
6 Adam Scott  13.15
7 Matt Kuchar  14.45
8 Dustin Johnson  15.85
9 Kris Blanks  16.85
10 Jim Furyk  22.00
11 Scott Verplank  22.45
12 Sergio Garcia  24.10
13 Andres Romero  24.15
14 Brandt Snedeker  24.40
15 George McNeill  24.65

It is interesting to see Vijay Singh in the top 5 of the CLi figures again, and #1 in the CLi rankings for that matter. IT has been a long time since he has been predicted to play well in a tournament. But it helps that he has played well here (has won twice), and has played well in the past two tournaments he has played in (top top-5 finishes).

This week I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Singh (analysis), Donald (analysis), Dufner (analysis), and Day (analysis).

I am going to skip over Stricker (analysis), even though it hurts my heart as a fellow Illinois alumni, and pick Scott (analysis). In choosing between Stricker and Scott, I feel that Scott will make up for his final round last week and have a great showing this week. Scott seems to rebound well after one bad round (contrary to when he is on a bad streak -- many poor rounds, when tends to magnify the "poorness" in the next tournament he plays in; hopefully this is not the start of a bad streak for him).

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :


# Player CLi 
1 Vijay Singh  5.70
2 Luke Donald  9.30
3 Jason Dufner  9.50
4 Jason Day  12.00
5 Adam Scott  13.15

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Nick Watney
  2. Jason Day
  3. Dustin Johnson
  4. Matt Kuchar
  5. Luke Donald
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Day and Donald.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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