Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

This week the US PGA Tour moves up the Eastern seaboard to play the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 Vijay Singh  5.70
2 Luke Donald  9.30
3 Jason Dufner  9.50
4 Jason Day  12.00
5 Steve Stricker  12.25
6 Adam Scott  13.15
7 Matt Kuchar  14.45
8 Dustin Johnson  15.85
9 Kris Blanks  16.85
10 Jim Furyk  22.00
11 Scott Verplank  22.45
12 Sergio Garcia  24.10
13 Andres Romero  24.15
14 Brandt Snedeker  24.40
15 George McNeill  24.65

It is interesting to see Vijay Singh in the top 5 of the CLi figures again, and #1 in the CLi rankings for that matter. IT has been a long time since he has been predicted to play well in a tournament. But it helps that he has played well here (has won twice), and has played well in the past two tournaments he has played in (top top-5 finishes).

This week I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Singh (analysis), Donald (analysis), Dufner (analysis), and Day (analysis).

I am going to skip over Stricker (analysis), even though it hurts my heart as a fellow Illinois alumni, and pick Scott (analysis). In choosing between Stricker and Scott, I feel that Scott will make up for his final round last week and have a great showing this week. Scott seems to rebound well after one bad round (contrary to when he is on a bad streak -- many poor rounds, when tends to magnify the "poorness" in the next tournament he plays in; hopefully this is not the start of a bad streak for him).

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :


# Player CLi 
1 Vijay Singh  5.70
2 Luke Donald  9.30
3 Jason Dufner  9.50
4 Jason Day  12.00
5 Adam Scott  13.15

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Nick Watney
  2. Jason Day
  3. Dustin Johnson
  4. Matt Kuchar
  5. Luke Donald
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Day and Donald.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

The Barclays Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Barclays to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 24 | $61,900
  2. Adam Scott | 67 | $16,320
  3. Webb Simpson | 10 | $200,000
  4. Luke Donald | 18 | $100,800
  5. Nick Watney | 10 | $200,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 24 | $61,900
  2. Adam Scott | 67 | $16,320
  3. Dustin Johnson | 1 | $1,440,000
  4. Luke Donald | 18 | $100,800
  5. Webb Simpson | 10 | $200,000
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$579,020$1,819,020TI
Avg Rank25.824.0TI
Made Cut55DRAW
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 25 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The Barclays

This week the US PGA Tour is in New Jersey to play the Barclays.  This is the first event of the FedEx Playoffs.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Barclays.

# Player CLi 
1 Steve Stricker  5.90
2 Adam Scott  6.80
3 Webb Simpson  9.10
4 Luke Donald  14.80
5 Scott Verplank  19.80
6 Nick Watney  19.80
7 Fredrik Jacobson  23.50
8 Vijay Singh  25.50
9 Jason Day  25.80
10 David Toms  25.80
11 Rickie Fowler  26.30
12 Zach Johnson  27.30
13 Jim Furyk  27.70
14 Bill Haas  32.60
15 Sergio Garcia  34.10

I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Stricker (analysis), Scott (analysis), Simpson (analysis), and Donald (analysis).

Then I am going to skip over my native Texan, Verplank(analysis), and go with Watney(analysis). Verplank and Watney have the same CLi figure (19.80). Their scoring average in this tournament is around the same (70.40). Verplank has earned more money in this event on average and has earned more money in the past 4 weeks. However, Watney has earned more money in the past 4 tournaments they have played in, and has played better this year than Verplank. So I am going with Watney.

Below are my 5 picks for the Barclays :


# Player CLi 
1 Steve Stricker  5.90
2 Adam Scott  6.80
3 Webb Simpson  9.10
4 Luke Donald  14.80
5 Nick Watney  19.80

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Adam Scott
  3. Dustin Johnson
  4. Luke Donald
  5. Webb Simpson
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Barclays

We have 4 players in common this week: Stricker, Scott, Donald, and Simpson.  Come'on Watney.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Barclays:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wyndham Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Wyndham Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. David Toms | 17 | $65,780
  2. Chez Reavie | 9 | $140,400
  3. Josh Teater | 25 | $40,560
  4. Webb Simpson | 1 | $936,000
  5. Charles Howell III | 4 | $196,040
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. David Toms | 17 | $65,780
  2. Brandt Snedeker | 147 (MC) | $0
  3. Webb Simpson | 1 | $936,000
  4. Brendon de Jonge | 40 | $19,240
  5. Charles Howell III | 4 | $196,040
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$1,378,780$1,217,060TO
Avg Rank11.241.8TO
Made Cut54TO
Outcome----TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 24 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Yeah!!!! I made it to double digits this year. :-) ....and I did so with a very respectable result.  An average rank of 11.2 is rather good.  Also, Bolton's and my picks included a winner in Simpson.

Thursday, August 18, 2011

Wyndham Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is in Greensboro, North Carolina to play the Wyndham Championship, which is being played at the Atlanta Athletic Club in Atlanta, Georgia.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wyndham Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 David Toms  4.70
2 Chez Reavie  12.50
3 Josh Teater  18.80
4 Webb Simpson  19.15
5 Charles Howell III  22.05
6 Carl Pettersson  22.75
7 Blake Adams  30.15
8 Michael Letzig  32.25
9 Kris Blanks  33.45
10 Garrett Willis  33.80
11 Trevor Immelman  35.80
12 Bob Estes  36.35
13 Bill Haas  37.40
14 Chris Couch  39.85
15 Jason Dufner  42.70

Toms (analysis) is a clear favorite this week. Look at his low CLi figure (4.70) and the distance between his CLi figure and the next player's CLi figure (Reavie, 12.50). So Toms is my first pick.

Cheavie (analysis) has been playing well for the past 5 tournaments, and has played well in the one time he has played in the tournament (finishing 10th in 2009).

Teater (analysis) is my third pick. When looking at the list of top 5 players, I was not totally sold on Teater. However, when looking at his play in this tournament and leading up to this tournament, he shows a solid record. He placed 10th in 2010, the only time he has played in this tournament. He has made the cut in the past 5 events he has played leading up to this tournament, with his most recent finish being the best (a 10th place finish at the Reno-Tahoe Open).

For my final 2 picks, I am going to pick Simpson (analysis) and Howell III (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship :


# Player CLi 
1 David Toms  4.70
2 Chez Reavie  12.50
3 Josh Teater  18.80
4 Webb Simpson  19.15
5 Charles Howell III  22.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. David Toms
  2. Brandt Snedeker
  3. Webb Simpson
  4. Brendon de Jonge
  5. Charles Howell III
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Toms, Simpson, and Howell.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

PGA Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the PGA Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Rory McIlroy | 64 | $15,400
  2. Jason Day | 76 (MC) | $0
  3. Luke Donald | 8 | $224,500
  4. Adam Scott | 7 | $259,000
  5. Steve Stricker | 12 | $132,786
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Luke Donald | 8 | $224,500
  2. Lee Westwood | 8 | $224,500
  3. Jason Day | 76 (MC) | $0
  4. Rory McIlory | 64 | $15,400
  5. Adam Scott | 7 | $259,000
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$631,686$723,400TI
Avg Rank33.432.6TI
Made Cut44DRAW
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 9 wins to the Tour Outsider, 24 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

PGA Championship

This week the US PGA Tour has its final major of the year: the PGA Championship, which is being played at the Atlanta Athletic Club in Atlanta, Georgia.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the PGA Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 Rory McIlroy  8.00
2 Jason Day  8.60
3 Simon Dyson  10.60
4 Luke Donald  11.80
5 Adam Scott  14.80
6 Steve Stricker  15.30
7 Sergio Garcia  16.80
8 Dustin Johnson  16.90
9 Lee Westwood  19.20
10 Tiger Woods  20.30
11 Martin Kaymer  21.70
12 Phil Mickelson  21.70
13 Zach Johnson  21.80
14 David Toms  26.60
15 Fredrik Jacobson  27.00

For my first two picks,  I am going to go with McIlroy and Day.

McIlroy (analysis) has placed 3rd in the past 2 PGA Championships, and as most people know, he faired well in the majors this year (Masters: 15th, U.S. Open: 1st, British Open: 25th).

Day (analysis) finished 10th last year, his only time he has played in the PGA Championship. He played well last week at the Bridgestone, placing 4th and has played well in the majors this year (Masters: 2nd, U.S. Open: 2nd, British Open: 30th).

For my final 3 picks, I am going to skip over Dyson (analysis) and pick Donald (analysis), Scott (analysis), and Stricker (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the PGA Championship :

# Player CLi 
1 Rory McIlroy  8.00
2 Jason Day  8.60
3 Luke Donald  11.80
4 Adam Scott  14.80
5 Steve Stricker  15.30

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Luke Donald
  2. Lee Westwood
  3. Jason Day
  4. Rory McIlroy
  5. Adam Scott
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: PGA Championship

We have 4 players in common this week: Donald, Day, McIlroy, and Scott.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the PGA Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Monday, August 8, 2011

Reno-Tahoe Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Reno-Tahoe to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Chris DiMarco | 21 | $32,400
  2. Brian Davis | 21 | $32,400
  3. John Merrick | 25 | $19,731
  4. Bob Estes | 43 | $9,360
  5. Chez Reavie | 50 | $7,131
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Robert Garrigus |38 | $12,900
  2. John Merrick | 25 | $19,731
  3. Kevin Na | 25 | $19,731
  4. Chez Reavie | 50 | $7,131
  5. Steven Bowditch | 118 (MC) | $0
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$101,022$59,493TO
Avg Rank32.051.2TO
Made Cut54TO
Outcome----TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 9 wins to the Tour Outsider, 23 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

This weekend was a draw between the two tournaments, the Bridgestone Invitational and this tournament, the Reno-Tahoe Open.  Bolton won the Bridgestone and I won the Reno-Tahoe.

I am getting closer to double digits....... :-)

Bridgestone Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Bridgestone Invitational to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Bo Van Pelt | 23 | $75,250
  2. Steve Stricker | 14 | $100,000
  3. Ryan Moore | 23 | $75,250
  4. Dustin Johnson | 48 | $49,300
  5. Jeffrey Overton | 68 | $39,250
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Dustin Johnson | 48 | $49,300
  2. Lee Westwood | 9 | $152,500
  3. Steve Stricker | 14 | $100,000
  4. Bo Van Pelt | 23 | $75,250
  5. Martin Kaymer | 29 | $68,500
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$339,050$445,550TI
Avg Rank35.224.6TI
Made Cut55DRAW
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 8 wins to the Tour Outsider, 23 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Reno-Tahoe Open

This week the US PGA Tour has two events, 1) the Bridgestone Invitational and 2) the Reno-Tahoe Open. This posting is for the Reno-Tahoe Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Reno-Tahoe Open.

# Player CLi 
1 Chris DiMarco  11.80
2 Briny Baird  12.90
3 Brian Davis  15.65
4 Shane Bertsch  15.95
5 John Merrick  16.60
6 Bob Estes  18.00
7 Kevin Stadler  18.45
8 Troy Matteson  19.10
9 Chez Reavie  20.65
10 Lee Janzen  22.10
11 Robert Garrigus  24.00
12 Steve Flesch  24.80
13 D.J. Trahan  24.95
14 Bill Lunde  25.80
15 Pat Perez  27.95

As with the Bridgestone Invitational, I am late in posting this entry for the Reno-Tahoe Open. So I won't be providing an explanation for why I made my picks for this tournament...am only providing the list.

Below are my 5 picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open :

# Player CLi 
1 Chris DiMarco  11.80
2 Brian Davis  15.65
3 John Merrick  16.60
4 Bob Estes  18.00
5 Chez Reavie  20.65

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Robert Garrigus
  2. John Merrick
  3. Kevin Na
  4. Chez Reavie
  5. Steven Bowditch
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Reno-Tahoe Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Merrick and Reavie.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Reno-Tahoe Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Bridgestone Invitational

This week the US PGA Tour has two events, 1) the Bridgestone Invitational and 2) the Reno-Tahoe Open. This posting is for the Bridgestone Invitational.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Bridgestone Invitational.

# Player CLi 
1 Bo Van Pelt  11.35
2 Steve Stricker  12.30
3 Sean O'Hair  15.25
4 Ryan Moore  16.90
5 Peter Hanson  17.25
6 Dustin Johnson  17.80
7 Tiger Woods  17.90
8 Jeffrey Overton  19.80
9 Lee Westwood  20.10
10 Zach Johnson  20.45
11 Rory McIlroy  21.75
12 Sergio Garcia  22.10
13 Darren Clarke  22.15
14 Jason Day  22.25
15 Hunter Mahan  23.20

I am late in posting this, so won't be providing an explanation for why I made my picks for this tournament...am only providing the list.

Below are my 5 picks for the Bridgestone Invitational :

# Player CLi 
1 Bo Van Pelt  11.35
2 Steve Stricker  12.30
3 Ryan Moore  16.90
4 Dustin Johnson  17.80
5 Jeffrey Overton  19.80

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Dustin Johnson
  2. Lee Westwood
  3. Steve Stricker
  4. Bo Van Pelt
  5. Martin Kaymer
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Bridgestone Invitational

We have 3 players in common this week: Johnson, Stricker, Van Pelt.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Bridgestone Invitational:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Greenbrier Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Greenbrier Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Charles Howell III | 32 | $32,486
  2. Woody Austin | 98 (MC) | $0
  3. Brendon De Jonge | 4 | $226,200
  4. Davis Love III | 76 (MC) | $0
  5. Scott Piercy | 98 (MC) | $0
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Sergio Garcia | 39 | $25,200
  2. Webb Simpson | 9 | $168,000
  3. Phil Mickelson | 87 (MC) | $0
  4. Jeff Overton | 49 | $14,430
  5. Charles Howell III | 32 | $32,486
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$258,686$240,116TO
Avg Rank61.643.2TI
Made Cut24TI
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 8 wins to the Tour Outsider, 22 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Even though I won the earnings category, I got wiped out in the rank average and made cuts categories.