Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Frys.com Open

After several weeks off, the US PGA Tour starts the 2013-2014 season in San Martin, California at the Frys.com Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Frys.com Open.

# Player CLi 
1  Gary Woodland 9.15
2  Bryce Molder 16.00
3  Rocco Mediate 19.60
4  Billy Horschel 21.05
5  J.J. Henry 22.00
6  Jason Kokrak 23.45
7  David Hearn 23.70
8  Nicholas Thompson 24.40
9  Jonas Blixt 25.30
10  Patrick Reed 28.30
11  Russell Knox 29.25
12  Steven Bowditch 30.35
13  Will MacKenzie 30.45
14  Charles Howell III 30.55
15  John Merrick 32.70

I am late in my post and am still needing to work on other activities (i.e. can't spend much time on this post), so I am just going to list the 5 players that I have picked...in other words, not providing an explanation for my picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Frys.com Open:

# Player CLi 
1  Gary Woodland 9.15
2  Bryce Molder 16.00
3  Billy Horschel 21.05
4  J.J. Henry 22.00
5  Jason Kokrak 23.45

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Gary Woodland
  2. Billy Horschel
  3. Hideki Matsuyama
  4. John Peterson
  5. Jonas Blixt
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Frys.com Open

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Woodland and Horschel.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Frys.com Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
455%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
620%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

TOUR Championship

This week the US PGA Tour has its final FedEx Playoff event, the BMW Championship.  The event is being held at East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, Georgia, with only 30 players in the field (which makes it a little easier to select 5 players who will play well this week).

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.

# Player CLi 
1  Jim Furyk 3.70
2  Zach Johnson 8.25
3  Tiger Woods 8.65
4  Sergio Garcia 8.70
5  Jason Day 9.25
6  Justin Rose 10.80
7  Steve Stricker 11.20
8  Nick Watney 11.60
9  Adam Scott 11.65
10  Hunter Mahan 12.10
11  Brandt Snedeker 12.60
12  Luke Donald 12.85
13  Bill Haas 13.20
14  Henrik Stenson 13.35
15  Gary Woodland 13.75

I am making it easy on myself and will be sticking with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.  They all have CLi figures less than 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has figured out they have a fairly good probability of playing well this week.

Furyk (analysis) was leading going into the final round last week at the BMW Championship before placing 3rd behind Zach Johnson and Nick Watney.  He shot 59 in the tournament, so he is playing well currently.  He placed 7th in this tournament last year, didn't make the championship in in 2011, and won the event in 2010.

Johnson (analysis) won last week, beating out Fuyrk in the last round, and has finished in the top 8 in 6 of the last 7 tournaments he has played in.  So he is also playing well at this time.  As for the TOUR Championship, he has faired in the middle pack 4 of the 6 times he has played in the tournament.  He has a 9th place finish in 2010 and a 2nd placed finish in 2007.

Woods (analysis) has been playing inconsistently this year compared to his past play.  However, he is playing better than most players.  He finished 11th last week at the BMW Championship, and was 2nd several weeks ago in the Barclays.  East Lake tends to treat him well.  He has finished 8th (2012), 2nd (2009), 1st (2007), 2nd (2005), and 2nd (2004) the last 5 times he has played in this event.

Garcia (analysis) finished 15th last year in this week, but had a 2nd place finish in 2008 and a 4th place finish in 2007.  He has not necessarily placed great in the tournaments leading up to this week, but he has been hitting it well and playing consistent -- especially for him.  His best finish this past month was 4th at the Deustche U.S. Bank Championship.

Day (analysis) finished 6th in this event the last time he played in it (2011) and finished 4th last week at the BMW Championship.  So has showed some good play recently and has had prior success at this event.

Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship:

# Player CLi 
1  Jim Furyk 3.70
2  Zach Johnson 8.25
3  Tiger Woods 8.65
4  Sergio Garcia 8.70
5  Jason Day 9.25

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Hunter Mahan
  2. Brandt Snedeker
  3. Luke Donald
  4. Jason Day
  5. Zach Johnson
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Day and Johnson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

BMW Championship

After a week off, the US PGA Tour is in Chicago to play the 3rd FedEx Playoff event: the BMW Championship.  The event was traditionally played at Cog Hill in Chicago, however, has moved courses the past several years -- last year it was at Crooked Stick in Indiana and this year it is at Conway Farms in Chicago.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the BMW Championship.

# Player CLi 
1  Jim Furyk 5.80
2  Tiger Woods 6.70
3  Justin Rose 7.30
4  Zach Johnson 8.90
5  Steve Stricker 9.60
6  Adam Scott 10.00
7  John Huh 11.70
8  Matt Kuchar 13.40
9  Jason Dufner 14.30
10  Sergio Garcia 14.60
11  Graham Delaet 16.40
12  Rory McIlroy 17.70
13  Phil Mickelson 18.00
14  Gary Woodland 18.20
15  Keegan Bradley 21.40

As with the last tournament, the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship, the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10 -- the 6th player even has a CLi of 10, which makes it difficult to pass up on that player (Adam Scott).  This is a good sign that the CLi has a good indication of who has the highest probability of playing well.  However, I am still going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.

Furyk (analysis) hasn't finished worse than 22nd in this event since 2003, with an average rank of 8.0.  He won the event in 2005, and finished 2nd and 3rd in 2009 and 2008 respectively.  He finished 9th in the event last year.  Since the beginning of August, Furyk has played in 4 tournaments, and finished in the top 10 in 3 of them: 6th - Barclays Classic, 2nd - PGA Championship, and 9th - Bridgestone Invitational.  He finished 22nd in the other tournament -- the Deutsch U.S. Bank Championship.

Woods (analysis) might not be playing up to par compared to what the media compares him to.  However, his results have been rather good.  Since August he has won a tournament (Bridgestone Invitational) and finished 2nd in another (Barclays Classic).  In the other two tournament he has played in Since August, he didn't fair as well -- placing 65th (Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship) and 40th (PGA Championship).  It is the uncharacteristic inconsistency that has thrown the media for a loop.  In this event, he tends to play well -- he actually tends to play well in Chicago-area tournaments.  Since 2003, he has won this event 3 times, placed 2nd twice, finished no worse than 15th, and has an average rank of 4.1.

I won't go into details for Rose, Johnson, and Stricker, but you can view their detailed analysis from the following links: Rose - analysis, Johnson - analysis, and Stricker - analysis.  In addition, you can view Scott's analysis for the tournament.

Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship:

# Player CLi 
1  Jim Furyk 5.80
2  Tiger Woods 6.70
3  Justin Rose 7.30
4  Zach Johnson 8.90
5  Steve Stricker 9.60

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Justin Rose
  2. Adam Scott
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. Steve Stricker
  5. Henrik Stenson
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Rose and Stricker.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
520%20%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
3010%10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is kicking off the FedEx Playoffs with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 2.95
2  Adam Scott 5.50
3  Jim Furyk 6.50
4  Jason Dufner 7.40
5  Steve Stricker 8.75
6  Zach Johnson 15.65
7  Dustin Johnson 15.85
8  Webb Simpson 16.30
9  Rory McIlroy 18.55
10  Phil Mickelson 20.55
11  Matt Kuchar 20.70
12  Brendan Steele 21.60
13  Bryce Molder 22.70
14  Keegan Bradley 23.50
15  Jerry Kelly 24.70

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.  This week the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has a better indication of who has the highest probability of playing well.

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 2.95
2  Adam Scott 5.50
3  Jim Furyk 6.50
4  Jason Dufner 7.40
5  Steve Stricker 8.75

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Adam Scott
  3. Jim Furyk
  4. Phil Mickelson
  5. Keegan Bradley
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Scott, and Furyk.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Thursday, August 22, 2013

The Barclays

This week the US PGA Tour is kicking off the FedEx Playoffs with The Barclays.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for The Barclays.

# Player CLi 
1  Brian Harman 12.05
2  William McGirt 13.15
3  Dustin Johnson 15.00
4  Brandt Snedeker 16.05
5  Matt Kuchar 16.25
6  Tiger Woods 16.40
7  Jim Furyk 17.30
8  Nicholas Thompson 19.80
9  Rory Sabbatini 20.10
10  Webb Simpson 24.90
11  Gary Woodland 28.30
12  David Hearn 29.20
13  Lee Westwood 29.75
14  Jason Day 30.30
15  Roberto Castro 32.95

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings (even though the CLi figures are high, with none of the players having a CLi figure less than 10).

Below are my 5 picks for The Barclays:

# Player CLi 
1  Brian Harman 12.05
2  William McGirt 13.15
3  Dustin Johnson 15.00
4  Brandt Snedeker 16.05
5  Matt Kuchar 16.25

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Jason Day
  2. Webb Simpson
  3. Henrik Stenson
  4. Adam Scott
  5. Tiger Woods
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: The Barclays

We have 0 players in common in this tournament.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for The Barclays:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Thursday, August 15, 2013

Wyndham Championship

This week the US PGA Tour will play the last tournament of the year before the FedEx Playoffs start:  the Wyndham Championship.  The tournament takes place in Greensboro, North Carolina at Sedgefield Country Club.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wyndham Championship.

# Player CLi 
1  Jason Bohn 8.70
2  Chad Campbell 11.80
3  Zach Johnson 12.30
4  Bill Haas 20.35
5  J.J. Henry 23.95
6  Richard Lee 24.05
7  Jonathan Byrd 24.85
8  Webb Simpson 25.85
9  Mark Wilson 26.25
10  Brandt Snedeker 27.00
11  Jerry Kelly 27.55
12  Daniel Summerhays 27.65
13  Sergio Garcia 27.75
14  Andres Romero 28.70
15  Chez Reavie 30.75

Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship:

# Player CLi 
1  Jason Bohn 8.70
2  Chad Campbell 11.80
3  Zach Johnson 12.30
4  Bill Haas 20.35
5  Richard Lee 24.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Zach Johnson
  2. Webb Simpson
  3. Brandt Snedeker
  4. Bill Haas
  5. Sergio Garcia
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Johnson and Haas.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

PGA Championship

This week is the last major of the year: The PGA Championship.  It is being held at Oak Hill Country Club in New York.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the PGA Championship.

# Player CLi 
1  Keegan Bradley 4.00
2  Phil Mickelson 8.70
3  Tiger Woods 9.90
4  Henrik Stenson 10.10
5  Jason Dufner 11.90
6  Zach Johnson 13.10
7  Steve Stricker 13.40
8  Bill Haas 15.30
9  Ian Poulter 17.20
10  Dustin Johnson 18.30
11  Justin Rose 21.90
12  Matt Kuchar 22.50
13  Martin Kaymer 28.80
14  Lee Westwood 28.80
15  Chris Kirk 29.40

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.

Below are my 5 picks for the PGA Championship:

# Player
CLi 
1  Keegan Bradley 4.00
2  Phil Mickelson 8.70
3  Tiger Woods 9.90
4  Henrik Stenson 10.10
5  Jason Dufner 11.90

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Henrik Stenson
  3. Keegan Bradley
  4. Zach Johnson
  5. Matt Kuchar
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: PGA Championship

We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Stenson, and Bradley.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the PGA Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
520%20%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
3010%10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Reno-Tahoe Open

This week the US PGA Tour has two events taking place: 1) The Bridgestone Invitational, and 2) The Reno-Tahoe Open.  This post is for the Reno-Tahoe Open, which is taking place in between Reno, Nevada and Tahoe, California at the Jack Nicklaus-designed Montreux Golf Club (a course that I scouted and the company did work on).  The event is a modified Stableford format.

[ View the Bridgestone Invitational post ]

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Reno-Tahoe Open.

# Player CLi 
1  J.J. Henry 6.70
2  Chad Campbell 7.85
3  Mark Wilson 10.35
4  Nick O'Hern 11.60
5  Jim Herman 13.15
6  Glen Day 16.55
7  Bryce Molder 16.60
8  Bill Lunde 17.85
9  Tom Pernice Jr 19.40
10  Stuart Appleby 20.15
11  Tag Ridings 20.30
12  Andres Romero 20.50
13  Alexander Cejka 20.70
14  Cameron Beckman 23.65
15  Matt Bettencourt 23.70

I am going to stick with the top 3 in the CLi rankings (Henry, Campbell, and Wilson), but will skip down to pick Lunde and Appleby for my final two picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open:

# Player CLi 
1  J.J. Henry 6.70
2  Chad Campbell 7.85
3  Mark Wilson 10.35
4  Bill Lunde 17.85
5  Stuart Appleby 20.15

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Mark Wilson
  2. Rory Sabbatini
  3. J.J. Henry
  4. Russell Knox
  5. Chad Campbell
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Reno-Tahoe Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Wilson, Henry, and Campbell.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Reno-Tahoe Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Bridgestone Invitational

This week the US PGA Tour has two events taking place: 1) The Bridgestone Invitational, and 2) The Reno-Tahoe Open.  This post is for the Bridgestone Invitational, which is taking place in Akron, Ohio and is played on the Firestone Country Club.

[ View the Reno-Tahoe Open post ]

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Bridgestone Invitational.

# Player CLi 
1  Steve Stricker 8.35
2  Zach Johnson 11.25
3  Phil Mickelson 13.20
4  Keegan Bradley 15.70
5  Jason Dufner 16.00
6  Bubba Watson 17.20
7  Paul Casey 17.35
8  Justin Rose 18.05
9  Angel Cabrera 18.20
10  Tiger Woods 18.75
11  Matt Kuchar 19.90
12  Bill Haas 19.95
13  Jason Day 20.20
14  Ryan Moore 20.90
15  Adam Scott 21.50

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.

Stricker (analysis) finished 2nd last year in this event, and has finished no worse than 14th since 2009.  Playing a limited schedule this year (has only played 8 tournaments since the beginning of the year), he has not missed a cut and has finished in the top-10 five times with two second place finishes (Cadillac Championship and Hyundai Tournament of Champions).

Johnson (analysis) has finished in the top-16 of this tournament five times since 2004, with an average ranking of 20.9.  In his last two tournaments he has finished 6th (British Open) and 2nd (John Deere Classic --- losing in a playoff to Jordan Speith).

Mickelson (analysis) doesn't necessary play well at this tournament, having an average rank of 41.6 since 2003 with a low finish of 4th.  However, prior to 2003 he finished 9th (2002), 8th (2001), and 4th (2000).  He is playing well leading up to the tournament (2 wins in his last two outings -- the British Open and the Scottish Open), which could lead to a good finish this week at Firestone.

Bradley (analysis) won this event last year and placed 15th in 2011 (he has only played the event twice).  With a strong finish at the British Open several weeks ago (placed 15th) and an 18th placed finish at the Travelers Championship in mid-June, he could be riding a wave of confidence this week.

Dufner (analysis) finished 7th in this event last year, and had a 26th and 4th place finishes in the British Open and the U.S. Open this summer.  Although these are great finishes, they are definitely solid finishes in tough tournaments.  This could be a sign that he will play well this week at Firestone.

Below are my 5 picks for the Bridgestone Invitational:

# Player CLi 
1  Steve Stricker 8.35
2  Zach Johnson 11.25
3  Phil Mickelson 13.20
4  Keegan Bradley 15.70
5  Jason Dufner 16.00

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Adam Scott
  3. Henrik Stenson
  4. Bill Haas
  5. Lee Westwood
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Bridgestone Invitational

We have 0 players in common in this tournament.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Bridgestone Invitational:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

RBC Canadian Open

Canada holds its own major tournament this week: RBC Canadian Open.  The event is being played in Oakville, Ontario at Glen Abby Golf Club, a Jack Nicklaus design.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the RBC Canadian Open.

# Player CLi 
1  Daniel Summerhays 16.00
2  Andres Romero 16.70
3  Chris Kirk 17.40
4  Martin Flores 19.20
5  Chez Reavie 19.70
6  J.J. Henry 21.90
7  Nicholas Thompson 21.90
8  Woody Austin 22.00
9  Morgan Hoffmann 24.30
10  Jason Kokrak 26.20
11  Chad Campbell 28.60
12  Chris Stroud 35.30
13  James Driscoll 35.40
14  Ryan Palmer 36.30
15  Charlie Wi 37.60

Below are my 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:

# Player CLi 
1  Daniel Summerhays 16.00
2  Andres Romero 16.70
3  Martin Flores 19.20
4  Chez Reavie 19.70
5  Nicholas Thompson 21.90

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Brandt Snedeker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Hunter Mahan
  4. Graeme DeLaet
  5. Charl Schwartzel
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: RBC Canadian Open

We have 0 players in common this week.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the RBC Canadian Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
520%20%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
3010%10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

British Open

The third major of the year is upon us: The British Open. The game's oldest major, the British Open is being played at Muirfield Golf Links this year.  Muirfield is a classic course. The British Open has previously been held at the course 15 times since 1892.  Over the past 35 years, the winners of the British Open when it was played at Muirfield have been Tom Watson in 1980, Nick Faldo in 1987 and 1992, and Ernie Els in 2002.  At the end of this week, another prime championship shall be crowned.  Enjoy the week of competition!!!

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the British Open.

# Player CLi 
1  Phil Mickelson 13.80
2  Ernie Els 14.40
3  Thomas Bjorn 15.80
4  Harris English 21.30
5  Henrik Stenson 21.90
6  Tiger Woods 25.50
7  Zach Johnson 25.90
8  Rickie Fowler 29.30
9  Keegan Bradley 30.50
10  Bill Haas 31.00
11  Webb Simpson 31.90
12  Justin Rose 32.00
13  Nicolas Colsaerts 34.80
14  Boo Weekley 35.40
15  Louis Oosthuizen 35.60

No player has a CLi figure less than 10.  This is an indication that my CLi calculation can't easily determine which players will play well this week -- i.e. it is difficult to pick which players will play well in the British Open.  Thus, my work is cut out for me...and the players this week.

I am going to go with the first two players in the CLi rankings: Mickelson (analysis) and Els (analysis). Mickelson won the Scottish Open last week, need I say more; he has a record of playing well in a major when he wins the week before -- case in point is with his record at the Masters.  Maybe that trend will continue this week at the British Open.

Els won the event last year, and he won the BMW International Open several weeks ago. However, on the down side, he missed the cut last week at the Scottish Open and few players have won back-to-back British Opens.

I am going to skip over Bjorn (analysis) and English (analysis). Bjorn has been playing well this year.  However, he withdrew after the 1st round of the Scottish Open last week.  I am not sure why he withdrew, but if it is for an injury, that would make it tough to pick him this week.  English won his first U.S. PGA Tour event last month in Memphis, and has played solidly in several tournaments after that.  However, he lacks the experience in a major like the British Open, which is important this week -- the conditions can be mentally grueling at the British Open, especially for a youngster.

My next pick is Stenson (analysis).  Although he didn't play in the event last year, he has two 3rd place finishes in the previous four years -- in 2010 and 2008.  He is playing well leading up to this week having finished 3rd last week in the Scottish Open and 10th in the BMW International Open in late June.

For my final two picks, I am going to skip over Woods (analysis) to pick Johnson (analysis) and Fowler (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the British Open:

# Player CLi 
1  Phil Mickelson 13.80
2  Ernie Els 14.40
3  Henrik Stenson 21.90
4  Zach Johnson 25.90
5  Rickie Fowler 29.30

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Phil Mickelson
  2. Tiger Woods
  3. Justin Rose
  4. Ernie Els
  5. Graeme McDowell
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: British Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Mickelson and Els.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the British Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
720%20%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
4510%10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
620%20%

I made some changes from my regular confirmation.  I changed the weights a little by putting less emphasis on the past tournament results.  Then I increased the number of days looking back from 30 to 45, and increased the number of tournaments looking back from 4 to 6.

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.