Saturday, December 1, 2007

On Vacation

I am on vacation until the beginning of 2008, at which time I will start posting again for the 2008 US PGA Tour season. Happy holidays everyone.

Friday, November 30, 2007

2007 Season Wrap-up

The 2007 US PGA Tour season is now finished. As everyone knows who reads this blog, that this year I have been competing against the Tour Insider, Dave Shedloski, in terms of player picks each week. Below are the final results for this year:
Tour Outsider: 14 Wins
Tour Insider: 11 Wins
Draws: 4

Monday, November 5, 2007

Tour Outsider: Children's Miracle Network Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tim Clark 5.50 2 9 16 5 $496,800
2 Cameron Beckman 7.00 20 9 5 2 $49,833
3 Mark Calcavecchia 10.00 MC MC 117 106 $0
4 Lucas Glover 13.30 63 70 67 13 $9,568
5 Scott Verplank 15.80 3 1 1 2 $239,200

Had a winner for most of the tournament in Verplank. He was leading going into the final round, but fell back to 3rd with a final round score of 71. Tim Clark did good this week, placing 2nd. So even though Verplank didn't pull through to win, did have a 2nd and 3rd pick in Verplank and Clark.

Those picks, however, were mirrored by Shedloski this week so they were offset.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $795,401 $858,401 TI
Avg Rank 40.8 34.4 TI
Made Cut 4 5 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider the sweep of all 3 categories this week.

The Tour Insider won this tournament to wrap up the US PGA Tour season.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 11 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

With the US PGA Tour complete for the 2007 season, I can claim this year a victory, even though I would have liked to have had more wins. Hopefully next year will be an improvement over this year as I look to refine my picks via the Golf CLi. Until January 2008, enjoy the rest of 2007.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tim Clark 5.50 2 9 16 5 $496,800
2 Cameron Beckman 7.00 20 9 5 2 $49,833
3 Mark Calcavecchia 10.00 MC MC 117 106 $0
4 Lucas Glover 13.30 63 70 67 13 $9,568
5 Scott Verplank 15.80 3 1 1 2 $239,200
6 Ryan Moore 16.35 41 31 25 44 $14,561
7 Jesper Parnevik 16.35 26 41 35 44 $30,025
8 Stewart Cink 16.85 13 9 16 27 $92,000
9 Marco Dawson 17.25 70 77 67 72 $9,062
10 Heath Slocum 18.20 9 8 16 13 $119,600
11 Briny Baird 18.75 83 77 58 106 $7,912
12 Daniel Chopra 20.00 52 47 58 93 $10,672
13 Bill Haas 20.05 MC MC 95 93 $0
14 Sean O'Hair 20.45 15 41 5 13 $73,600
15 Nick Watney 21.70 9 31 16 13 $119,600

Thursday, November 1, 2007

Tour Outsider: Children's Miracle Network Classic

The US PGA Tour heads to Disney World for the Children's Miracle Network Classic. It is the last regular season event for the US PGA Tour, and the last event that I will be making picks until 2008 rolls around.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Tim Clark 5.50
2 Cameron Beckman 7.00
3 Mark Calcavecchia 10.00
4 Lucas Glover 13.30
5 Scott Verplank 15.80
6 Ryan Moore 16.35
7 Jesper Parnevik 16.35
8 Stewart Cink 16.85
9 Marco Dawson 17.25
10 Heath Slocum 18.20
11 Briny Baird 18.75
12 Daniel Chopra 20.00
13 Bill Haas 20.05
14 Sean O'Hair 20.45
15 Nick Watney 21.70

I will stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings to make it simple this week, even though I would have liked to have dipped down to the 6th player in the list: Ryan Moore. Maybe next time. Just will keep it simple this week.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic:

Rank Player CLi
1 Tim Clark 5.50
2 Cameron Beckman 7.00
3 Mark Calcavecchia 10.00
4 Lucas Glover 13.30
5 Scott Verplank 15.80

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have three players in common: Glover, Clark, and Verplank.

Monday, October 29, 2007

Tour Outsider: Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 1.25 26 18 38 66 $31,275
2 Jesper Parnevik 3.25 68 38 56 47 $9,135
3 Tim Clark 4.00 WD WD WD WD $0
4
Heath Slocum
4.50 MC MC 74 47 $0
5 Lucas Glover 7.75 23 26 16 31 $43,200

Tim Clark ended up withdrawing before the tournament started, but I couldn't change my picks as that would not have been fair to Shedloski. In any event, both of us included him in our picks, so it was a wash.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $83,610 $176,063 TI
Avg Rank 64.4 83.2 TO
Made Cut 3 2 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won this tournament, even while losing the total earnings category and even though the average rank was close to the cut line (not good). Both of us had bad weeks, but I ended up having a better bad week to pull it out this week. With this win, and only one more tournament left in the 2007 US PGA Tour season, it means I have one for the year.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 10 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 1.25 26 18 38 66 $31,275
2 Jesper Parnevik 3.25 68 38 56 47 $9,135
3 Heath Slocum 4.50 MC MC 74 47 $0
4 Robert Allenby 6.75 MC MC 109 96 $0
5 Johnson Wagner 7.00 39 50 56 66 $18,000
6 Lucas Glover 7.75 23 26 16 31 $43,200
7 Sean O'Hair 8.50 5 4 4 6 $158,063
8 Mathias Gronberg 8.75 MC MC 74 111 $0
9 Cameron Beckman 9.00 5 7 23 20 $158,063
10 Carl Pettersson 9.25 MC MC 86 31 $0
11 Chris Stroud 10.00 12 11 16 20 $91,125
12 Steve Flesch 10.50 51 26 30 6 $10,733
13 Kent Jones 11.00 16 33 23 12 $67,500
14 Fredrik Jacobson 12.25 2 4 11 31 $396,000
15 Ryan Armour 13.75 34 58 56 47 $23,220

Monday, October 22, 2007

Tour Outsider: Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro

The US PGA Tour heads back to the east coast for the Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 1.50
2 Tim Clark 4.00
3 Jesper Parnevik 4.00
4 Heath Slocum 5.25
5 Robert Allenby 8.25
6 Johnson Wagner 8.25
7 Lucas Glover 9.00
8 Sean O'Hair 9.75
9 Mathias Gronberg 10.25
10 Cameron Beckman 10.50
11 Carl Pettersson 10.50
12 Steve Flesch 11.25
13 Chris Stroud 12.00
14 Kent Jones 12.75
15 Pat Perez 12.75

I am going to stick with the top 4 in the CLi: Leonard, Clark, Parnevik (he is playing at home this week as he lives in nearby Jupiter, Florida), and Slocum.

Then will skip over Allenby and Wagner to get to Glover. Glover hasn't played in the past 4 weeks except in the President's Cup. That could be a positive or a negative. I will take it as a positive. He is rested and the President's Cup experience should get him going this week before he winds down for the season. He also likes playing in Florida, which should help his chances this week.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Ginn sur Mer Classic:

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 1.50
2 Tim Clark 4.00
3 Jesper Parnevik 4.00
4 Heath Slocum 5.25
5 Lucas Glover 9.00

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have one player in common: Clark.

Sunday, October 21, 2007

Tour Outsider: Fry's Electronics Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Fry's Electronics Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 2.00 6 6 26 22 $151,250
2 Steve Flesch 5.75 27 38 26 22 $33,281
3 Bo Van Pelt 6.25 44 31 42 61 $16,000
4 Mathias Gronberg 8.50 35 21 26 22 $22,583
5 Charley Hoffman 9.50 MC MC 129 124 $0

Just had one player miss the cut, that was Hoffman. He came in last place out of the players that played both of the first two rounds. He wasn't a good pick this week. Hopefully the results from the other 4 players will pull me through this week.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $223,115 $9,800 TO
Avg Rank 48.0 94.4 TO
Made Cut 4 1 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won this tournament with a sweep of all 3 categories. Even though I didn't have a great week, Shedloski had a very bad week. That helped with the sweep. Shedloski only had one player make the cut for him, and that player placing last in the players that did make the cut.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 13 wins to the Tour Outsider, 10 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 2.00 6 6 26 22 $151,250
2 John Mallinger 5.25 70 49 33 80 $9,800
3 Steve Flesch 5.75 27 38 26 22 $33,281
4 George McNeill 5.75 16 9 33 41 $82,500
5 Bo Van Pelt 6.25 44 31 42 61 $16,000
6 Mathias Gronberg 8.50 35 21 26 22 $22,583
7 Robert Garrigus 9.50 MC MC 119 61 $0
8 Charley Hoffman 9.50 MC MC 129 124 $0
9 Bill Haas 10.25 51 43 66 61 $12,150
10 J.J. Henry 12.00 MC MC 99 41 $0
11 Cameron Beckman 12.50 35 28 66 109 $22,583
12 Dean Wilson 13.75 25 43 42 61 $42,000
13 Mathew Goggin 19.00 MC MC 87 109 $0
14 Robert Allenby 19.25 MC MC 76 61 $0
15 Mark Calcavecchia 21.25 MC MC 119 80 $0