RBC Canadian Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the RBC Canadian Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Scott Piercy | 1 | $936,000
2. Charlie Wi | 129 (MC) | $0
3. Hunter Mahan | 48 | $12,805
4. Ken Duke | 19 | $54,716
5. Jerry Kelly | 61 | $10,868

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Hunter Mahan | 48 | $12,805
2. Matt Kuchar | 34 | $28,080
3. Jim Furyk | 80 (MC) | $0
4. Brandt Snedeker | 34 | $28,080
5. Scott Piercy | 1 | $936,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,014,389	$1,004,965	TO
Avg Rank	51.6	39.4	TI
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	DRAW

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

This week both Bolton and I picked a winner in Piercy. I edged Bolton out in the total earnings, but he edged me out in the average rank. With both of us having a player that missed the cut, this tournament was a draw.

RBC Canadian Open

I am traveling all this week with limited access to the Internet, which has resulted in me posting my picks for the RBC Canadian Open late. So I am only going to post my 5 picks and the Tour Insider's (Rob Bolton's) picks in brief for the RBC Canadian Open (i.e. no explanation why I picked the players that I did).

My 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:

1. Scott Piercy
2. Charlie Wi
3. Hunter Mahan
4. Ken Duke
5. Jerry Kelly

Tour Insider's (Bolton's) 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:

1. Hunter Mahan
2. Matt Kuchar
3. Jim Furyk
4. Brandt Snedeker
5. Scott Piercy

True South Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the True South Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Blake Adams | 90 (MC) | $0
2. Brendon De Jonge | 31 | $16,650
3. Ken Duke | 31 | $16,650
4. Billy Horschel | 3 | $204,000
5. Jerry Kelly | 13 | $54,600

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Ken Duke | 31 | $16,650
2. Brendon De Jonge | 31 | $16,650
3. Dicky Pride | 57 | $6,660
4. Blake Adams | 90 (MC) | $0
5. Chris Kirk | 10 | $75,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$291,900	$114,960	TO
Avg Rank	33.6	43.8	TO
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

British Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the British Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Padraig Harrington | 39 | $31,475
2. Tiger Woods | 3 | $456,757
3. Steve Stricker | 23 | $59,014
4. Zach Johnson | 9 | $122,212
5. Luke Donald | 5 | $299,387

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Justin Rose | 84 (MC) | $5,373
2. Tiger Woods | 3 | $456,757
3. Lee Westwood | 45 | $22,782
4. Dustin Johnson | 9 | $122,212
5. Sergio Garcia | 84 (MC) | $5,373

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$968,845	$612,497	TO
Avg Rank	15.8	45.0	TO
Made Cut	5	3	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

True South Classic

This week the US PGA Tour is in England for the British Open, while also in Madison, Mississippi for the True South Classic.  This post is for the True South Classic (click here for the British Open post).

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the True South Classic.

#	Player	CLi
1	Blake Adams	8.0
2	Brendon De Jonge	8.8
3	Ken Duke	10.9
4	Billy Horschel	13.8
5	Tommy Gainey	15.8
6	Lee Janzen	19.8
7	Jerry Kelly	21.7
8	Hunter Haas	22.3
9	Joe Durant	25.8
10	David Hearn	27.9
11	Heath Slocum	28.1
12	Nathan Green	28.3
13	Bill Lunde	30.8
14	Tom Pernice Jr	31.0
15	Kevin Kisner	31.4

I am going to go with the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Adams (analysis), De Jonge(analysis), Duke>(analysis), and Horschel(analysis).

Adams placed 9th here last year and is playing well this year.  Over the past 4 weeks, he has solid showings (25th, 17th, 48th, and 29th) and hasn't missed a cut since early May (in the Wells Fargo Championship).

As has been mentioned in my posts the last 2-3 weeks, De Jonge is playing well.  Over the past 4 weeks he has placed 19th, 52nd, 11th, and 8th.  And he hasn't missed a cut since mid-April (in the Valero Texas Open).  He has finished 13th, 3rd and 29th in the 3 instances he has played this event.

Duke plays well in this event.  He has finished 8th, 25th, 11th, and 69th in the 4 times he has played in the event.  He did miss the cut last week at the John Deere Classic.  However, in the 3 previous events before the John Deere Classic he finished 7th, 47th, and 7th.  [ BTW: He seems to like placing 7th; he has four 7th place finishes in the last 10 events. ]

Horschel placed 18th here last year, the only time he has played in the event.  In the last four events he has made the cut, with a low finish of 24th in the Travelers Championship in mid/late-June.

For my last pick, I am going to skip over Gainey (analysis) and Janzen (analysis) and pick my former Florida neighbor, Kelly (analysis).  Kelly placed 11th here in 2010, the last time he played in the event.  In the past three events, he has placed 36th, 12th, and 37th.  In two of those events (the Greenbrier Classic and the Travelers Championship), he started off with a strong first round.  So he is starting well.  Maybe he will finish well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the True South Classic:

#	Player	CLi
1	Blake Adams	8.0
2	Brendon De Jonge	8.8
3	Ken Duke	10.9
4	Billy Horschel	13.8
5	Jerry Kelly	21.7

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Ken Duke
2. Brendon De Jonge
3. Dicky Pride
4. Blake Adams
5. Chris Kirk

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: True South Classic

We have 3 player in common this tournament: Duke, De Jonge, and Adams

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the True South Classic:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

British Open

This week all the major tours, including the US PGA Tour, is in England to play the British Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the British Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Padraig Harrington	11.7
2	Tiger Woods	14.7
3	Steve Stricker	17.7
4	Tom Lehman	20.0
5	Zach Johnson	21.1
6	Luke Donald	21.6
7	Marcel Siem	22.2
8	Dustin Johnson	23.2
9	Nick Watney	24.3
10	Fredrik Jacobson	28.3
11	Hunter Mahan	29.3
12	Mark Calcavecchia	30.1
13	Sergio Garcia	31.1
14	Francesco Molinari	31.7
15	Justin Rose	32.4

No big surprises here, except that Lehman (analysis) is in the top 5.  He plays the Champions Tour, He has been playing well and the British Open is back at the course he won the championship in 1996.  However, his low finishes are on the Champions Tour, which might be overweighted when comparing results to players on the regular tours.  So, even though the CLi is suggesting that he will play well again this week, I am going to pass on him.

I am going with Harrington (analysis), Woods (analysis), Stricker (analysis), Z. Johnson (analysis), and Donald (analysis).  Harrington has missed the cut in the last two British Open, but he won the event the two years prior.  He went through several years of playing poorly. He has turned it around this year.  He has finished 16th, 7th, 11th, and 4th in his last four events.

Woods has won three times this year and looks to get back into the winner's circle in a major to add a 4th Claret Jug to his trophy cabinet.  This week could be his week, especially if the weather gets bad.  It will be a good test for him mentally if the weather is tough for the field.

Stricker was in the hunt last week at the John Deere Classic before falling back on the back nine during the final round.  So he is hitting it well.  It will all depend on how he handles the weather and how his neck holds up.

Johnson (Zach) won last at the John Deere Classic, and he has made the cut in the British the past 5 years.  He is a steady player, which bodes well in a British Open where steady wins.  This is especially the case when the weather goes south.

Donald won in the BMW PGA Championship in late May.  Since then he has played 3 events in which he has finished 16th, 108th (missed the cut), and 12th.  The missed cut was at the U.S. Open.  And he hasn't played well in the majors of late.  Hopefully being back in his native England will bring out the best in him.  He has the short game and steady play to do well in a tournament like the British Open.

Below are my 5 picks for the British Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Padraig Harrington	11.7
2	Tiger Woods	14.7
3	Steve Stricker	17.7
4	Zach Johnson	21.1
5	Luke Donald	21.6

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Justin Rose
2. Tiger Woods
3. Lee Westwood
4. Dustin Johnson
5. Sergio Garcia

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: British Open

We have 1 player in common this tournament: Woods

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the British Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

John Deere Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the John Deere Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Tim Clark | 36 | $19,806
2. Charley Hoffman | 154 (WD) | $0
3. Brendon De Jonge | 19 | $53,820
4. Zach Johnson | 1 | $828,000
5. Steve Stricker | 5 | $174,800

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Steve Stricker | 5 | $174,800
2. Zach Johnson | 1 | $828,000
3. Charley Hoffman | 154 (WD) | $0
4. Jonathan Byrd | 54 | $10,534
5. Scott Piercy | 3 | $312,800

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,076,426	$1,326,134	TI
Avg Rank	43.0	43.4	TO
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	DRAW

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

We almost had all 10 picks (7 players) make the cut, and in a sense we did. However, Hoffman made the cut and then withdrew after the 3rd round.  A withdraw is equivalent to a missed cut.

With a win (Johnson) and 5th place (Stricker, who was near the lead all four rounds), it was a good tournament for our picks.

The end result was a draw.  Even though I had a lower average ranking of the players, Bolton had higher total earnings (his 3rd place finish by Piercy helped him with that; he was hurt by Byrd's 54th place finish).

John Deere Classic

This week the US PGA Tour goes to the mid-west to play the John Deere Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the John Deere Classic.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tim Clark	7.35
2	Charley Hoffman	11.45
3	Brendon De Jonge	14.50
4	Zach Johnson	14.50
5	Jonathan Byrd	17.20
6	Ken Duke	22.10
7	Jeffrey Overton	29.10
8	Jerry Kelly	29.75
9	Steve Stricker	29.80
10	Jeff Maggert	30.20
11	Chez Reavie	32.75
12	Heath Slocum	33.60
13	Chad Campbell	38.70
14	Daniel Summerhays	38.75
15	Kyle Stanley	39.55

As with last week, only one player has a CLi figure less than 10. That is Clark (analysis) with a CLi figure of 7.35.  He earns this low CLi figure by finishing 7th, 18th, and 2nd the three times he has played this event.  He finished 4th in his last outing, which was the Travelers Championship.  His only hiccup the past two months was a missed cut at the U.S. Open.  Other than the U.S. Open, he has had solid finishes.

Hoffman (analysis) has been playing solid golf the past three weeks, starting with his 2nd place finish 3 weeks ago in the Travelers Championship.  He followed up his strong finish in the Travelers Championship with a 22nd place finish at the AT&T National.  He started off well last week in the Greenbrier Classic with a 66 in the first round.  However, he faded to a 67th finish over the weekend.  He finished 7th in 2010 in this event (the last time he played this event), and 15th the year before.

De Jonge (analysis) was a favorite to play well last week in the Greenbrier Classic, but only could mustard a 52nd finish.  He did throw in a 64 in the second round to show that he is still hitting the ball well.  So along with his recent 11th place finish in the AT&T National and 8th place in the Travelers Championship, his game is probably still going strong. With two 7th place finishes in this event the past two years, he looks like a good pick to me.

Johnson (analysis) loves this tournament.  Being from the mid-west (Iowa), this tournament is close to home for him.  In the past 3 years, he has two top-3 finishes: 3rd in 2011 and 2nd in 2009.  He is now looking for a "W" in this event.  As for his current play, it is lacking, with a 64th finish in the Travelers Championship 3 weeks ago, a 41st in the U.S. Open, and a missed cut in the FedEx St. Jude Classic.  But he does have a win in late May at the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial.

Byrd (analysis) is a hard player to skip over, but I am going to pick Stricker (analysis) as my fifth pick.  Byrd has won this tournament in 2007, finished 2nd in 2003, and has an average ranking of 37.4 in the 8 times he has played the event (and an even lower ranking of 24.0 if you don't include last year's missed cut).  He is playing well coming into the tournament with several top 10 finishes in the past several months.

However, with Stricker (a fellow Illini alumni) having won this tournament the previous three years, it would be foolish not to pick him.  In his limited play (due to his neck issues), he has played well in the past two tournaments he has played in, finishing 22nd last week in the Greenbrier Classic and 15th in the U.S. Open.

Below are my 5 picks for the John Deere Classic:

#	Player	CLi
1	Tim Clark	7.35
2	Charley Hoffman	11.45
3	Brendon De Jonge	14.50
4	Zach Johnson	14.50
5	Steve Stricker	29.80

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Steve Stricker
2. Zach Johnson
3. Charley Hoffman
4. Jonathan Byrd
5. Scott Piercy

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: John Deere Classic

We have 3 players in common this tournament: Stricker, Johnson, and Hoffman

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the John Deere Classic:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Greenbrier Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Greenbrier Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Brendon De Jonge | 52 | $14,549
2. Jim Furyk | 77 (MC) | $0
3. John Rollins | 121 (MC) | $0
4. Webb Simpson | 7 | $177,510
5. Stuart Appleby | 106 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Tiger Woods | 77 (MC) | $0
2. Webb Simpson | 7 | $177,150
3. Dustin Johnson | 33 | $32,940
4. Jim Furyk | 77 (MC) | $0
5. Steve Stricker | 22 | $58,560

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$192,059	$268,650	TI
Avg Rank	72.6	43.2	TI
Made Cut	2	3	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

Lots of missed cuts with these picks in this tournament. Out of our 10 picks, half of the players missed the cut. And it is never good when the (my) average rank is above the cut line (72.6).  Not a good showing.

Congrats to both Ted Potter and Troy Kelly on their finishes. Exciting for both of them.

Greenbrier Classic

This week the US PGA Tour is in West Virginia to play at the famed Greenbrier Resort, famous for being Sam Snead's "local" course.  The tournament is Greenbrier Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Greenbrier Classic.

#	Player	CLi
1	Brendon De Jonge	8.65
2	Jim Furyk	16.20
3	John Rollins	17.20
4	Marc Leishman	17.35
5	Charley Hoffman	20.65
6	Webb Simpson	22.45
7	Stuart Appleby	26.00
8	Roland Thatcher	26.30
9	Jeffrey Overton	26.60
10	John Merrick	27.35
11	Greg Owen	27.65
12	Seung-yul Noh	30.20
13	Andres Romero	30.75
14	Brian Davis	31.05
15	J.B. Holmes	31.20

De Jonge (analysis) is the only player that has a CLi figure below 10.  His CLi figure is 8.65.  The next lowest CLi figure is 16.20 (Furyk).  That would suggest two things: 1) that the CLi doesn't think there is a clear favorite (since only one player has a CLi figure below 10, and it is not much lower than 10), or 2) that De Jonge could be a clear favorite.

De Jonge has been playing well leading up to this tournament.  He was leading after 3 rounds last week at the AT&T National before faltering in the final round (77).  He finished 11th.  Two weeks ago he finished 8th in the Travelers Championship.  As for this tournament, he has finished 4th and 3rd.

Furyk (analysis) has been in the top 5 of the CLi rankings a lot the past two months.  A lot of that has to do with him playing well.  He finished 34th last week at the AT&T National, and prior to that 4th at the U.S. Open (which he was leading up to the last two holes of the tournament).  He has played this tournament once (in 2010) and finished 9th.

Rollins (analysis) has not played well the last 4 tournaments he has played in except in his last event.  He finished 4th in the last tournament he played in -- two week ago, the Travelers Championship. Prior to June he had a good April and May.  He missed the cut here last year, but finished 21st in 2010. He might be back on track and could finish well at Greenbrier, as I am mainly looking at his 4th place finish in his last event. 

I am skipping over Leishman (analysis) and Hoffman (analysis) to pick Simpson (analysis) and Appleby (analysis).  Leishman won two weeks ago in the Travelers Championship, and Hoffman finished 2nd that week.  The reason is because I am looking at supporting the U.S. Open championship (Simpson) and the inaugural winner in the 2010 Greenbrier Classic (Appleby).  Simpson also finished 9th in this tournament last year.

Below are my 5 picks for the Greenbrier Classic:

#	Player	CLi
1	Brendon De Jonge	8.65
2	Jim Furyk	16.20
3	John Rollins	17.20
4	Webb Simpson	22.45
5	Stuart Appleby	26.00

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Tiger Woods
2. Webb Simpson
3. Dustin Johnson
4. Jim Furyk
5. Steve Stricker

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Greenbrier Classic

We have 2 players in common this tournament: Simpson and Furyk

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Greenbrier Classic:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
2	15%	15%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	15%	15%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

Note the change from the normal setting I use when calculating the Golf CLi for a tournament.  Since this tournament is only in it's 3rd year, I set the "number of past tournaments looking back" to 2.  Then I lowered the weight put on the "number of past tournaments looking back" from 25% to 15% for both the scoring average weight and the earnings average weight.  To make up the differences in the weights, I increased the scoring and earnings average weights for the "number of days looking back" from 5% to 15%.

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

AT&T National Review

It is now time to review the picks for the AT&T National to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,170,000
2. Hunter Mahan | 8 | $195,000
3. Jim Furyk | 34 | $31,444
4. Bo Van Pelt | 2 | $702,000
5. J.B. Holmes | 77 (MC) | $12,025

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Jim Furyk | 34 | $31,444
2. Hunter Mahan | 8 | $195,000
3. Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,170,000
4. Dustin Johnson | 44 | $20,202
5. K.J. Choi | 103 (MC) | $0

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$2,110,469	$1,416,646	TO
Avg Rank	24.4	38.0	TO
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 11 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

After two poor performances in the previous three tournaments, I am happy to be able to have 1-2 finish with Woods and Van Pelt in this tournament. Yes!!!