Shell Houston Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Shell Houston Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Steve Stricker | 38 | $25,420
2. Keegan Bradley | 10 | $137,433
3. Chris Kirk | 22 | $59,520
4. Hunter Mahan | 78 (MC) | $0
5. Phil Mickelson | 16 | $96,100

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Keegan Bradley | 10 | $137,433
2. Steve Stricker | 38 | $25,420
3. Hunter Mahan | 78 (MC) | $0
4. Phil Mickelson | 16 | $96,100
5. Rory McIlroy | 45 | $18,154

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$318,473	$277,107	TO
Avg Rank	32.8	37.4	TO
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 4 wins to the Tour Outsider, 8 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-27

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 13th, Feb 6th, Feb 13th, Feb 20th, Feb 27th, Mar 6th, Mar 13th, and Mar 20th.  This is the 9th weekly update of the predictions.  Next week will be the last one of these types of posts as the Masters is less than two weeks away.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-26.

#	Player	Odds
1	Tiger Woods	3/1
2	Phil Mickelson	10/1
3	Rory McIlroy	12/1
4	Brandt Snedeker	18/1
5	Charl Schwartzel	25/1
6	Justin Rose	25/1
7	Lee Westwood	30/1
8	Luke Donald	30/1
9	Bubba Watson	30/1
10	Dustin Johnson	30/1
11	Adam Scott	30/1
12	Matt Kuchar	30/1
13	Jason Dufner	40/1
14	Rickie Fowler	40/1
15	Louis Oosthuizen	40/1

...6 other players also have 40/1 odds (Watney, Mahan, Bradley, Garcia, Poulter, and Day)

Source: Vegas Insider

The top 3 players didn't change much this week, with Woods, Mickelson, and McIlroy ranked 1st, 2nd, and 3rd.  Snedeker moved ahead of Schwartzel.  Last week Snedeker wasn't in the top 15 list, but he should have been.  There was an error in the Odds.  Looks like it is now fixed.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-27.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	3.00
2	Brandt Snedeker	9.25
3	Justin Rose	9.75
4	Adam Scott	10.25
5	Phil Mickelson	11.25
6	Charl Schwartzel	11.50
7	Steve Stricker	13.75
8	Matt Kuchar	16.00
9	Fredrik Jacobson	17.50
10	Fred Couples	18.25
11	Graeme McDowell	19.50
12	Keegan Bradley	21.50
13	Hunter Mahan	22.25
14	Peter Hanson	22.50
15	Jason Day	24.00

Tiger stayed on top of the CLi rankings for the Masters.  Mickelson, who was 2nd last week, dropped to 5th after his missed cut at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week.  Schwartzel also dropped (to 6th) while Rose and Scott both moved up the rankings, to 3rd and 4th respectively.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Shell Houston Open

The US PGA Tour moves to Texas this week to play the Shell Houston Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Shell Houston Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Steve Stricker	7.50
2	Keegan Bradley	9.20
3	Chris Kirk	10.45
4	Hunter Mahan	15.05
5	Graham Delaet	16.80
6	Henrik Stenson	17.50
7	Phil Mickelson	22.45
8	Boo Weekley	23.45
9	Geoff Ogilvy	29.00
10	Bryce Molder	29.40
11	Cameron Tringale	30.80
12	Greg Chalmers	31.25
13	Lee Westwood	35.35
14	Shawn Stefani	39.10
15	Michael Thompson	41.00

I am going to go with the top 4 in the CLi rankings: Stricker (analysis), Bradley (analysis), Kirk (analysis), and Mahan (analysis).  For my fifth pick, I am going to skip over Delaet (analysis) and Stenson (analysis) to pick Mickelson (analysis).

Stricker, who is on a limited schedule this year, has finished 2nd, 5th, and 2nd in the three tournaments he has played in since the first of the year.  As for this event, his best finishes have been 4th (2011), 9th (2007), and 3rd (2006).

Bradley finished 4th in this event last year, and has finished 3rd (Arnold Palmer Invitational), 7th (Cadillac Championship), and 4th (Honda Classic) in the last three events he has played in.

Kirk finished 2nd in this event two years ago -- the only time he has played in the event.  He finished 16th last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and has a 2nd place finish earlier in the year (AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am).

Mahan won this event last year, which goes along with a 8th place finish (2011), a 6th place finish (2009), and a 5th place finish (2007) in previous years.  In his last 4 outings, he has finished 21st (Arnold Palmer Invitational, 25th (Cadillac Championship), 2nd (Accenture World Match Play), and 8th (Northern Trust Open).

Mickelson won this event two years ago, and finished 4th last year.  He didn't play well last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, missing the cut.  But he finished 3rd in the tournament before that -- the Cadillac Championship.

Below are my 5 picks for the Shell Houston Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Steve Stricker	7.50
2	Keegan Bradley	9.20
3	Chris Kirk	10.45
4	Hunter Mahan	15.05
5	Phil Mickelson	22.45

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Keegan Bradley
2. Steve Stricker
3. Hunter Mahan
4. Phil Mickelson
5. Rory McIlroy

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Shell Houston Open

We have 4 players in common this week: Bradley, Stricker, Mahan, and Mickelson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Shell Houston Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,116,000
2. Sergio Garica | 131 (WD) | $0
3. Justin Rose | 2 | $669,600
4. Hunter Mahan | 21 | $62,000
5. Phil Mickelson | 114 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,116,000
2. Sergio Garcia | 131 (WD) | $0
3. Graeme McDowell | 45 | $18,154
4. Justin Rose | 2 | $669,600
5. Jim Furyk | 65 | $12,834

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,847,600	$1,816,588	TO
Avg Rank	53.8	48.8	TI
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 3 wins to the Tour Outsider, 8 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

Even though I won the total earnings, I lost the average rank and made cut categories.  Mickelson, who had been playing well lately, pulled me down on this one.  All Phil had to do was finish 89th or better....three shots better than his 79 on day two would have done the trick.  Ah, well.

As for Sergio, he had to climb the tree on Sunday and then withdraw to throw the average rankings off for both Bolton and I.

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-20

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 13th, Feb 6th, Feb 13th, Feb 20th, Feb 27th, Mar 6th, and Mar 13th.  This is the 8th update of the predictions for next month's Masters.  The tournament is less than a month away.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-19.

#	Player	Odds
1	Tiger Woods	4/1
2	Phil Mickelson	10/1
3	Rory McIlroy	12/1
4	Charl Schwartzel	25/1
5	Justin Rose	25/1
6	Lee Westwood	30/1
7	Luke Donald	30/1
8	Bubba Watson	30/1
9	Dustin Johnson	30/1
10	Adam Scott	30/1
11	Matt Kuchar	30/1
12	Jason Dufner	40/1
13	Rickie Fowler	40/1
14	Louis Oosthuizen	40/1
15	Nick Watney	40/1

Source: Vegas Insider

The top players didn't change much this week.  Woods, Mickelson, and McIlroy had the same order and same odds as last week.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-20.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	3.25
2	Phil Mickelson	8.50
3	Brandt Snedeker	9.25
4	Charl Schwartzel	9.75
5	Adam Scott	11.75
6	Hunter Mahan	12.50
7	Peter Hanson	13.75
8	Justin Rose	13.75
9	Steve Stricker	13.75
10	Fred Couples	16.00
11	Lee Westwood	17.00
12	Graeme McDowell	17.25
13	Matt Kuchar	17.75
14	Fredrik Jacobson	19.00
15	Jason Day	21.00

This week there is a change in the top spot in the CLi rankings for the Masters.  Woods is now on top, with Mickelson now taking 2nd place in the CLi rankings.  Snedeker and Schwartzel moved up the list to 3rd and 4th place respectively.  A big new-comer this week is Hanson, who jumped into the top 15th in the 7th position.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Arnold Palmer Invitational

The US PGA Tour stays in Florida this week to play Arnie's tournament in Orlando: the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	1.35
2	Sergio Garcia	10.55
3	Justin Rose	13.40
4	Hunter Mahan	17.15
5	Phil Mickelson	17.70
6	Graeme McDowell	17.95
7	Bubba Watson	21.70
8	Lee Westwood	23.75
9	Jim Furyk	24.20
10	Lucas Glover	27.65
11	Geoff Ogilvy	28.75
12	Kevin Streelman	29.75
13	Ian Poulter	31.40
14	Brian Harman	32.50
15	Webb Simpson	32.50

I am going to go with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Woods (analysis), Garcia (analysis), Rose (analysis), Mahan (analysis), and Mickelson (analysis).

Woods is a clear favorite per the low CLi (1.35) and the next player (Garcia) being over 10 points higher in terms of the CLi figures.  Woods won the event last year, and has won this event 7 times since 2000.  He won in his last outing, which was at the Cadillac Championship two weeks ago.  So he has played well in this tournament and on this course in the past, and is playing well coming into this tournament.

Garcia has placed in the top 10 in this event 4 of the last 6 years.  He has a 7th and 3rd place finish in his last two outings.  He hasn't finished worse than 17th place in the 6 tournaments he has played in this year.

Rose has finished 8th and 4th in his last two outings, and like Garcia, hasn't finished worse than 17th place (in the 5 tournaments he has played in this year).  At Bay Hill, the course that this event is played on, he has finished 15th and 3rd the last two years.

Mahan has made the cut the last 5 years in this event, with this best finish being 6th (in 2008).  Excluding the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, he hasn't finished outside of 16th this season (he has played 7 tournaments so far this year).  His best finish was 2nd in the Accenture Match Play event a month ago.

Mickelson has won this year (Waste Management Phoenix Open) and finished 3rd in his last outing (Cadillac Championship).  He has only played in Arnie's tournament 5 times since 2000, and has made the cut ever time.  He has finished between 21st and 36th, so he hasn't played spectacular in this event, but he has played solidly.

Below are my 5 picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational:

#	Player	CLi
1	Tiger Woods	1.35
2	Sergio Garcia	10.55
3	Justin Rose	13.40
4	Hunter Mahan	17.15
5	Phil Mickelson	17.70

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Tiger Woods
2. Sergio Garcia
3. Graeme McDowell
4. Justin Rose
5. Jim Furyk

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Arnold Palmer Invitational

We have 3 players in common this week: Woods, Garcia, and Rose

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Arnold Palmer Invitational:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Tampa Bay Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Tampa Bay Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Webb Simpson | 17 | $79,750
2. Luke Donald | 4 | $227,333
3. Sergio Garcia | 7 | $148,893
4. Matt Kuchar | 14 | $99,000
5. Jim Furyk | 7 | $148,893

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Sergio Garcia | 7 | $148,893
2. Webb Simpson | 17 | $79,750
3. Adam Scott | 30 | $31,969
4. Luke Donald | 4 | $227,333
5. Jason Dufner | 21 | $55,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$703,869	$542,945	TO
Avg Rank	9.8	15.8	TO
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 3 wins to the Tour Outsider, 7 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

It was good to get a win this week after having 2 draws last week.  Both Bolton and I had good picks this week.  Although we didn't pick a winner, we had our picks make the cut, and the worst for both of us was 30th place.  My worst was 17.  It is not too shabby to have an average rank of 9.8 for 5 players when the field consist of 156 players.

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-13

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 6th, Feb 13th, Feb 20th, Feb 27th, and Mar 6th.  This is the 7th update of the predictions for next month's Masters.  The tournament is a month away.

As with the last two weeks, I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-12.

#	Player	Odds
1	Tiger Woods	4/1
2	Phil Mickelson	10/1
3	Rory McIlroy	12/1
4	Charl Schwartzel	25/1
5	Justin Rose	25/1
6	Lee Westwood	30/1
7	Luke Donald	30/1
8	Bubba Watson	30/1
9	Dustin Johnson	30/1
10	Adam Scott	30/1
11	Matt Kuchar	30/1
12	Jason Dufner	40/1
13	Rickie Fowler	40/1
14	Louis Oosthuizen	40/1
15	Nick Watney	40/1

Source: Vegas Insider

Tiger stayed on top with the best odds, but his odds improved from 11/2 to 4/1 (equivalent to 8/2) compared to last week.  Mickelson was the big mover this week, from 10th to 2nd.  Even though McIlroy dropped to 3rd, his odds actually improved (from 18/1 to 12/1).  Schwartzel stayed in 4th, but his odds dropped from 18/1 to 25/1.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-13.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	1.75
2	Tiger Woods	3.00
3	Jason Day	6.50
4	Adam Scott	7.50
5	Brandt Snedeker	9.25
6	Charl Schwartzel	10.00
7	Hunter Mahan	12.25
8	Steve Stricker	13.75
9	Justin Rose	15.50
10	Bubba Watson	17.00
11	Fred Couples	17.50
12	Lee Westwood	18.00
13	Fredrik Jacobson	19.50
14	Graeme McDowell	19.50
15	Matt Kuchar	23.00

Mickelson has stayed in the top spot for a 2nd week in a row (last week), and his CLi figure stayed the same (1.75).  Woods moved from 3rd to 2nd with his CLi figure dropping from 5.00 to 3.00.  Day dropped to 3rd place as his CLi figure increased from 3.50 to 6.50.  Scott was a big mover, placing 4th after not being in the top 15 last week.  He was 14th two weeks ago, and 10th three weeks ago.  So he has started to play better over the last couple of tournaments, and he is distancing himself from the poor finishes earlier in the season.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Tampa Bay Championship

The US PGA Tour is on the west coast of Florida this week to play the Tampa Bay Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Tampa Bay Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Webb Simpson	8.90
2	Luke Donald	10.85
3	Sergio Garcia	11.40
4	Matt Kuchar	13.45
5	Sang-moon Bae	14.20
6	Scott Stallings	15.40
7	Scott Piercy	21.35
8	Michael Thompson	23.35
9	Jim Furyk	24.85
10	Jimmy Walker	26.25
11	K.J. Choi	30.05
12	David Toms	31.65
13	Bryce Molder	34.90
14	Jason Day	36.20
15	Ernie Els	36.25

I am going with the top 3 players in the CLi rankings: Simpson (analysis), Donald (analysis), Garcia (analysis), and Kuchar (analysis).

Simpson has finished 10th, 2nd, and 3rd in this event the past three years.  Prior to his 20th place finish last week at the Cadillac Championship, he finished 5th (Accenture World Match Play) and 6th (Northern Trust Open).

Donald, although he didn't do well when I picked him last week in the Cadillac Championship, he is playing well overall coming into this tournament.  Prior to his 43rd place finish last week, he had finished 17th (Accenture World Match Play) and 16th (Northern Trust Open).  He likes this event, having won this event last year and finished 6th the previous year.

Garcia finished 3rd in the Cadillac Championship last week..and could have finished solo 2nd if he hadn't hit his 2nd shot in the water on the 72nd hole.  Prior to last week he had finished 17th (Accenture World Match Play) and 13th (Northern Trust Open).  He has finished 16th and 15th in this event the past two years.

Kuchar has finished 10th and 12th in this event the past two years, and seems to like the Innsbruck course and this event.  He is playing well coming into the tournament having won the Accenture World Match Play several weeks ago.  However, he only had a lackluster showing last week in the Cadillac Championship, finishing in the middle of the pack (35th).

For my fifth pick, I am going to skip down several spots and pick Furyk (analysis).  He has finished 2nd and 1st two of the last three years in this event.  He has made the cut in all 4 events he has played in this year, with his lowest finish being 13th in the Northern Trust Open.

Below are my 5 picks for the Tampa Bay Championship:

#	Player	CLi
1	Webb Simpson	8.90
2	Luke Donald	10.85
3	Sergio Garcia	11.40
4	Matt Kuchar	13.45
5	Jim Furyk	24.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Sergio Garcia
2. Webb Simpson
3. Adam Scott
4. Luke Donald
5. Jason Dufner

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Tampa Bay Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Garcia, Simpson, and Donald

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Tamp Bay Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Puerto Rico Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Puerto Rico Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Kevin Stadler | 71 | $6,825
2. Scott Brown | 1 | $630,000
3. George McNeill | 56 | $7,700
4. Bryce Molder | 30 | $19,911
5. Graham Delaet | 18 | $44,100

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Bryce Molder | 30 | $19,911
2. Matt Jones | 14 | $61,250
3. Kevin Stadler | 71 | $6,825
4. Josh Teater | 38 | $12,295
5. Graham Delaet | 18 | $44,100

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$708,536	$144,381	TO
Avg Rank	35.2	34.2	TI
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	DRAW

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 2 wins to the Tour Outsider, 7 wins to the Tour Insider, and 2 draws.

Dang it, another tournament that was a wash (a draw) this week.  As with the Cadillac Championship, I won the earnings category, Bolton won the average rank category, and the cut category was a draw.  One of my picks, Brown, won his PGA event (Congratulations to Brown!!!), but my other picks couldn't stand up to Bolton's in terms of playing decently -- although all 10 of our players made the cut (veyr nice).  It all boiled down to the final round when McNeill (one of my picks) shot 76 and dropped from 8th place to 56th place.  Ouch for McNeill, and for me.

I wasn't able to capitalize on the two tournaments this week, even after winning the total earnings categories for both the Puerto Rico Open and the Cadillac Championship.

Cadillac Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Cadillac Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Matt Kuchar | 35 | $68,500
2. Charl Schwartzel | 16 | $98,000
3. Luke Donald | 43 | $60,500
4. Steve Stricker | 2 | $880,000
5. Justin Rose | 8 | $163,750

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Matt Kuchar | 35 | $68,500
2. Charl Schwartzel | 16 | $98,000
3. Justin Rose | 8 | $163,750
4. Hunter Mahan | 25 | $79,000
5. Graeme McDowell | 3 | $417,500

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,270,750	$826,750	TO
Avg Rank	20.8	17.4	TI
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	DRAW

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 2 wins to the Tour Outsider, 7 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

This tournament was a wash (a draw).  I won the earnings category, Bolton won the average rank category, and the cut category was a draw since there wasn't a cut in this event.  I just needed Donald to finish 26th or better and I would have won this tournament over Bolton.  Instead, Donald finished 43rd and will probably turn on the burners and play well this coming week in the Tampa Bay Championship (as opposed to the Cadillac Championship last week).  Thus, the question becomes....do I include Donald in my picks for the Tampa Bay Championship since he won it last year?

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-06

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  The post was spurred by Alex Miceli's article regarding the current odds for the tournament.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 6th, Feb 13th, Feb 20th, and Feb 27th.  Therefore, this is the 6th update of the predictions for next month's Masters.  The tournament is just over a month away.

As with the last two weeks, I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-06.

#	Player	Odds
1	Tiger Woods	11/2
2	Rory McIlroy	18/1
3	Charl Schwartzel	18/1
4	Justin Rose	18/1
5	Luke Donald	20/1
6	Matt Kuchar	20/1
7	Lee Westwood	25/1
8	Keegan Bradley	25/1
9	Graeme McDowell	30/1
10	Phil Mickelson	30/1
11	Bubba Watson	30/1
12	Nick Watney	30/1
13	Webb Simpson	30/1
14	Ian Poulter	30/1
15	Rickie Fowler	30/1

Source: Vegas Insider

Tiger stayed on top with the best odds.  Actually, the first 4 players didn't change as compared to last week's odds: Woods, McIlroy, Schwartzel, and Rose.  Oosthuizen fell out of the top 15, and Donald and Kuchar were big movers up.  Mickelson and Watson moved into the top 15 as well.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-06.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	1.75
2	Jason Day	3.50
3	Tiger Woods	5.00
4	Matt Kuchar	6.50
5	Charl Schwartzel	8.25
6	Brandt Snedeker	9.25
7	Hunter Mahan	9.50
8	Steve Stricker	14.00
9	Justin Rose	15.50
10	Lee Westwood	15.75
11	Luke Donald	16.75
12	Ryan Moore	16.75
13	Bubba Watson	16.75
14	Fred Couples	17.50
15	Fredrik Jacobson	17.75

Mickelson has regained the top spot after being moved to 2nd place last week.  As a result, Day moved down a spot to 2nd.  Tiger moved up to 3rd from 5th.  Stricker and Rose also moved up several spots.  Westwood was a big mover, placing 10th this week after not being in the top 15 last week.  The last time Westwood was in the top 15h was back on Feb 13th.  Jacobson moved down from 9th to 15th. 

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Puerto Rico Open

The US PGA Tour has two tournament taking place this week: 1) the Cadillac Championship, and 2) the Puerto Rico Open.  This post is for the Puerto Rico Open.  The post for the Cadillac Championship can be found here.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Puerto Rico Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Kevin Stadler	8.15
2	Scott Brown	10.55
3	George McNeill	12.80
4	Brendon De Jonge	13.40
5	Bryce Molder	13.60
6	Graham Delaet	14.80
7	Boo Weekley	16.60
8	Henrik Stenson	16.75
9	Matt Jones	16.80
10	Nicholas Thompson	22.85
11	Justin Hicks	23.90
12	Angel Cabrera	25.95
13	Matthew Every	27.30
14	Bill Lunde	29.55
15	James Driscoll	32.00

For this tournament, I am going with the top 3 in the CLi rankings: Stadler (analysis), Brown (analysis), and McNeill (analysis).

Stadler didn't finish too well last week in the Honda Classic (58th place), however, has finished 3rd (AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am) and 11th (Waste Management Phoenix Open) in two of his last three events.  In addition, he has not missed a cut in this event yet, and placed 7th last year.

Brown finished 5th in this event last year, the only time he has played in the event.  He is also coming in playing hot this week, with a 7th and 3rd place finish in the Colombia Championship and the Panama Claro Championship -- both Web.com Tour events.  He finished 30th in the AT&T Pebble Beach Prom Am in early February, his only US PGA tour event this season.

McNeill won this event last year, and placed 5th the previous year -- the only two times he has played in the event.  He comes into this week having finished 41st in the Honda Classic last week, and 33rd in the Northern Turst Open the previous week.  He has played in 5 tournaments this season, and has made the cut in all 5 events.

I am going to skip over De Jonge (analysis), and pick Molder (analysis) and Delaet (analysis).

Molder missed the cut in this event in 2011, but finished 7th and 13th the previous two years.  He has yet to miss a cut this season (has played in 5 events), with his best finish being 12th at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am a month ago.

Delaet finished 8th in this event last year, and finished 9th last week at the Honda Classic.  In addition, he finished 21st in the Northern Trust Open several weeks ago, and 9th in the Farmer Insurance Open.  However, he did miss the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

Below are my 5 picks for the Puerto Rico Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Kevin Stadler	8.15
2	Scott Brown	10.55
3	George McNeill	12.80
4	Bryce Molder	13.60
5	Graham Delaet	14.80

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Bryce Molder
2. Matt Jones
3. Kevin Stadler
4. Josh Teater
5. Graham DeLaet

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Puerto Rico Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Molder, Stadler, and DeLaet

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Puerto Rico Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.