The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-02-06

Last week I posted the Golf CLi calculation results for the 2013 Masters.  The post was spurred by Alex Miceli's article regarding the current odds for the tournament.  So to continue with that I have rerun the Golf CLi calculation for the 2013 Masters.  The updated odds from Vegas (via Miceli's updated article) and the updated results from the Golf CLi are posted below.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-06.

#	Player	Odds
1	TIGER WOODS	5-1
2	RORY McILROY	13-2
3	PHIL MICKELSON	12-1
4	LUKE DONALD	25-1
5	LEE WESTWOOD	25-1
6	ADAM SCOTT	25-1
7	JUSTIN ROSE	25-1
8	BUBBA WATSON	25-1
9	DUSTIN JOHNSON	25-1
10	LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN	25-1
11	BRANDT SNEDEKER	25-1
12	JASON DUFNER	30-1
13	RICKIE FOWLER	30-1
14	CHARL SCHWARTZEL	30-1
15	NICK WATNEY	30-1

Source: Miceli's article, slightly re-sorted to put the players in the proper order

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-06.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	1.50
2	Charl Schwartzel	5.00
3	Brandt Snedeker	9.50
4	Bubba Watson	10.25
5	Matt Kuchar	11.00
6	Adam Scott	12.25
7	Ryan Moore	12.50
8	Tiger Woods	12.50
9	Fred Couples	14.75
10	Jason Day	15.50
11	Jim Furyk	15.50
12	Luke Donald	15.75
13	Louis Oosthuizen	17.00
14	Lee Westwood	17.50
15	Ian Poulter	19.00

Mickelson won the Waste Management Phoenix Open last week, which has changes the results in the odds and the CLi rankings from last week.  In the odds from Vegas, Mickelson is still third behind McIlroy and Woods, but his odds improved from 15-1 to 12-1.  Whereas, in the CLi rankings, Mickelson jumped from 14th (and a CLi of 21.00) to 1st (and a CLi of 1.50).  [ Note: this large jump makes me wonder how affective the CLi is at predicting which player will play well this far in advance of the tournament being played.  Maybe the CLi configuration settings need to be modified -- I am learning. :-) ]

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.