Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Season Finished; Taking a Break Until the Start of 2011 Season

It looks like I lost for the first time to the Tour Insider.  Rob Bolton, the Tour Insider this year, won 21 of the 44 events we made picks.  I won 19 events, and we drew the remaining 4 events.  Congrats Bolton!!!!  Hopefully I will do better next year.

For now, I am going to be taking a break until the end of the year.  It is now my time to finish up teaching this semester and do some work on my dissertation.  See you all at the start of the 2011 US PGA Tour golf season in January. Thanks for all of your support.

In the meantime, if you want to run your own Golf CLi you can do so for any of the tournaments on the major tours by setting up an account on golfcli.com.

Monday, November 15, 2010

Children's Miracle Network Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Joe Durant | 40 | $18,330
  2. Charles Howell III | 9 | $126,900
  3. Tom Pernice Jr | 30 | $26,179
  4. Davis Love III | 19 | $58,985
  5. Justin Leonard | 85 (MC) | $0
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Webb Simpson | 40 | $18,330
  2. Brendon De Jonge | 30 | $26,179
  3. Spencer Levin | 3 | $244,400
  4. Charles Howell III | 9 | $126,900
  5. John Senden | 12 | $92,120
 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$230,394$507,919TI
Avg Rank36.618.8TI
Made Cut45TI
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 19 wins to the Tour Outsider, 21 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Children's Miracle Network Classic

This week the US PGA Tour is back in the USA playing the last of the Fall Finish tournament. The Children's Miracle Network Classic is being played in Florida at the Disney World Resort --- where dreams come true.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Children's Miracle Network Classic.

# Player CLi
1 Joe Durant  7.55
2 Charles Howell III  9.80
3 Tom Pernice Jr  13.65
4 Davis Love III  14.10
5 Brian Davis  15.50
6 Justin Leonard  16.05
7 Pat Perez  16.40
8 George McNeill  18.50
9 Chris Stroud  18.80
10 Mark Wilson  21.30
11 John Senden  21.80
12 Cameron Beckman  21.95
13 Tom Lehman  22.25
14 Heath Slocum  22.25
15 Ryan Palmer  23.80

I like the top 4 in the CLi rankings: Durant, Howell III, Pernice, and Love. I actually like the player in the 5th position: Brian Davis. He placed 2nd in the recent tournament in Malaysia. However, I am looking at the 6th player, Justin Leonard, and his record in this tournament and leading up to this tournament. He has played well at Disney, and has played solidly leading up to this tournament. He hasn't placed in the top ten recently, but I could see him push it hard this week to try to end the season on a good note.

Below are my 5 picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic :

# Player CLi
1 Joe Durant  7.55
2 Charles Howell III  9.80
3 Tom Pernice Jr  13.65
4 Davis Love III  14.10
5 Justin Leonard  16.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Webb Simpson
  2. Brendon De Jonge
  3. Spencer Levin
  4. Charles Howell III
  5. John Senden
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Children's Miracle Network Classic

We have 1 player in common this week: Howell III.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Children's Miracle Network Classic :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Sunday, November 7, 2010

HSBC Champions Tournament Review

It is now time to review the picks for the HSBC Champions Tournament to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Nick Watney | 21 | $68,000
  2. Ernie Els | 6 | $145,714
  3. Luke Donald | 3 | $372,500
  4. Adam Scott | 25 | $60,200
  5. Ryo Ishikawa | 41 | $44,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Martin Kaymer | 30 | $55,500
  2. Graeme McDowell | 34 | $51,000
  3. Luke Donald | 3 | $372,500
  4. Nick Watney | 21 | $68,000
  5. Padraig Harrington | 16 | $77,200
 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$690,414$624,200TO
Avg Rank19.220.8TO
Made Cut55DRAW
Outcome----TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 19 wins to the Tour Outsider, 20 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

HSBC Champions Tournament

This week the US PGA Tour stays in Asia to play a World Golf Championship event, the HSBC Champions Tournament.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the HSBC Champions Tournament.

# Player CLi
1 Nick Watney  5.6
2 Ernie Els  6.4
3 Luke Donald  8.3
4 Adam Scott  8.6
5 Robert Allenby  11.2
6 Ryo Ishikawa  13.1
7 Kyung-tae Kim  13.8
8 Arjun Atwal  15.4
9 K.J. Choi  16.5
10 Martin Kaymer  17.4
11 Padraig Harrington  17.7
12 Retief Goosen  17.9
13 Paul Casey  20.8
14 Lee Westwood  23.1
15 Tiger Woods  23.8

I like the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Watney, Els, Donald, Scott, and Allenby. However, none of them are Asia-based. And with this tournament being played in Asia (China), I want to have at least one player in this "World Golf Championship" that is "local". So I will by pass Allenby to pick Ishikawa. Allenby is playing well, but so is Ishikawa....in the Japanese events he has played over the past month. Hopefully he will take his play to China and play well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the HSBC Champions Tournament :

# Player CLi
1 Nick Watney  5.6
2 Ernie Els  6.4
3 Luke Donald  8.3
4 Adam Scott  8.6
5 Ryo Ishikawa  13.1


Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Martin Kaymer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Luke Donald
  4. Nick Watney
  5. Padraig Harrington
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: HSBC Champions Tournament

We have 2 players in common this week: Donald and Watney.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the HSBC Champions Tournament :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Sunday, October 31, 2010

CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia Review

It is now time to review the picks for the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia to see how the results turned out.


Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Bill Haas | 26 | $63,000
  2. Ernie Els | 5 | $237,500
  3. Robert Allenby | 5 | $237,500
  4. Rickie Fowler | 5 | $237,500
  5. Tim Clark | 18 | $78,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

  1. Luke Donald | 3 | $403,000
  2. Ernie Els | 5 | $237,500
  3. Heath Slocum | 36 | $53,000
  4. Seung-yul Noh | 36 | $53,000
  5. Robert Allenby | 5 | $237,500

 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.


Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$853,500$984,000TI
Avg Rank11.817.0TO
Made Cut55DRAW
Outcome----DRAW


The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 18 wins to the Tour Outsider, 20 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia

This week the US PGA Tour heads to Malaysia to take a break before the tour's last Fall Season tournament. This week's tournament, which is not an official money event, is the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia.

# Player CLi
1 Bill Haas  2.0
2 Ernie Els  3.5
3 Robert Allenby  6.0
4 Martin Laird  6.3
5 Ryan Palmer  6.5
6 Rickie Fowler  7.5
7 Tim Clark  8.5
8 Kevin Na  8.5
9 Heath Slocum  9.3
10 John Senden  9.5
11 Kevin Streelman  11.8
12 D.J. Trahan  12.3
13 Tom Gillis  13.0
14 Arjun Atwal  13.3
15 Charlie Wi  15.8

I will go with the first 3 players in the CLi rankings: Haas, Els, and Allenby. Then I am going to skip over Laird and Palmer to pick Fowler and Clark.

Below are my 5 picks for the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia :

# Player CLi
1 Bill Haas  2.0
2 Ernie Els  3.5
3 Robert Allenby  6.0
4 Rickie Fowler  7.5
5 Tim Clark  8.5


Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Luke Donald
  2. Ernie Els
  3. Heath Slocum
  4. Seung-yul Noh
  5. Robert Allenby
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia

We have 2 players in common this week: Els and Allenby.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the CIMB Asia Pacific Classic Malaysia :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 0% 0%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 25% 25%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 25% 25%

Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Charley Hoffman | 89 (MC) | $0
  2. Rickie Fowler | 22 | $39,918
  3. John Mallinger | 81 (MC) | $0
  4. D.J. Trahan | 75 (MC) | $0
  5. Kevin Na | 45 | $12,590

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Nick Watney | 6 | $149,245
  2. Rickie Fowler | 22 | $39,918
  3. Hunter Mahan | 50 | $10,159
  4. Chad Champbell | 28 | $26,803
  5. Charley Hoffman | 89 (MC) | $0

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$51,788$226,125TI
Avg Rank62.439.0TI
Made Cut24TI
Outcome----TI


The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 18 wins to the Tour Outsider, 20 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

The US PGA Tour's Fall Season continues this week by heading to Las Vegas to play the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

# Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman   5.7
2 Rickie Fowler  10.5
3 John Mallinger  12.5
4 D.J. Trahan  14.6
5 John Senden  16.6
6 Kevin Na  17.2
7 Charles Howell III  21.4
8 Tim Herron  21.4
9 Chad Campbell  22.2
10 Nick Watney  22.4
11 Hunter Mahan  23.0
12 Arjun Atwal  23.8
13 Martin Laird  24.8
14 Chris Stroud  26.0
15 Davis Love III  26.5

I will go with the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Hoffman, Fowler, Mallinger, and Trahan. I am going to skip over Senden as he has not played in Vegas since 2005. As well, I like Na's chance. So I will skip Senden, and pick Na.

Below are my 5 picks for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open :

# Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman   5.7
2 Rickie Fowler  10.5
3 John Mallinger  12.5
4 D.J. Trahan  14.6
5 Kevin Na  17.2


Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Nick Watney
  2. Rickie Fowler
  3. Hunter Mahan
  4. Chad Campbell
  5. Charley Hoffman
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Hoffman and Fowler.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Frys.com Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Frys.com Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Pat Perez | 38 | $21,000
  2. Joe Durant | 27 | $37,000
  3. Tim Clark | 6 | $146,071
  4. Justin Leonard | 24 | $44,000
  5. Bo Van Pelt | 2 | $440,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Bo Van Pelt | 2 | $440,000
  2. Tim Clark | 6 | $146,071
  3. Arjun Atwal | 132 (WD) | $0
  4. Ben Curtis | 44 | $14,450
  5. Aron Price | 63 | $10,600
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $668,071 $611,121 TO
Avg Rank 19.4 49.4 TO
Made Cut 5 4 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 18 wins to the Tour Outsider, 19 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Frys.com Open

The US PGA Tour's Fall Season continues this week by heading to California to play the Frys.com Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Frys.com Open.

# Player CLi
1 Pat Perez   14.8
2 Joe Durant  22.0
3 Tim Clark  24.3
4 Justin Leonard  24.7
5 Webb Simpson  26.5
6 Chris Stroud  26.6
7 Bo Van Pelt  27.1
8 Jonathan Byrd  27.4
9 Jeff Quinney  28.2
10 Charlie Wi  28.6
11 Rocco Mediate  29.7
12 Mathew Goggin  30.2
13 Bill Lunde  31.5
14 Kevin Streelman  32.2
15 Billy Mayfair  32.3

No player has a CLi figure less than 10. This indicates that there are not any clear set of players taht will play well in this tournament. This could be because the tournament is playing at a new location in a different state...moving from Arizona to California. This is exhibited in the CLi configuration with the weights for the past instances of this tournament being less than I normally put on past instances of the tournament.

That said, Perez does have a 7.2 point CLi lead over the next closest player in the CLi rankings. Thus, I am going to pick Perez.

Then I am going to go with the next 3 players in the list as Durant, Clark, and Leonard are playing consistly well.

As for my fifth pick, I am going with Van Pelt. He placed 6th last week at the inaugural instance of the McGladrey Classic. This could imply that he plays better than others on first-time courses. Let's hope that is the case this week with this tournament playing a new course.

Below are my 5 picks for the Frys.com Open :

# Player CLi
1 Pat Perez   14.8
2 Joe Durant  22.0
3 Tim Clark  24.3
4 Justin Leonard  24.7
5 Bo Van Pelt  27.1


Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Bo Van Pelt
  2. Tim Clark
  3. Arjun Atwal
  4. Ben Curtis
  5. Aron Price
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Frys.com Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Van Pelt and Clark.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Frys.com Open :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 15% 15%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 15% 15%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

McGladrey Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the McGladrey Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Matt Kuchar | 25 | $29,250
  2. Brett Wetterich | 120 (MC) | $0
  3. Bill Haas | 2 | $432,000
  4. Jonathan Byrd | 66 | $8,120
  5. Zach Johnson | 12 | $84,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Jonathan Byrd | 66 | $8,120
  2. Robert Allenby | 3 | $208,000
  3. John Rollins | 12 | $84,000
  4. Brendon de Jonge | 15 | $54,480
  5. David Toms | 3 | $208,000
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $553,370 $562,600 TI
Avg Rank 45.0 19.8 TI
Made Cut 4 5 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 17 wins to the Tour Outsider, 19 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

McGladrey Classic

The US PGA Tour's Fall Season continues this week by heading to Sea Island, Georgia to play the inaugural McGladrey Classic.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the McGladrey Classic.

# Player CLi
1 Matt Kuchar   8.0
2 Chris Kirk  10.0
3 Tom Gillis  11.3
4 Brett Wetterich  11.3
5 Bill Haas  11.5
6 Jonathan Byrd  13.8
7 Zach Johnson  15.8
8 Marc Leishman  21.8
9 Rocco Mediate  23.0
10 Josh Teater  23.3
11 Charlie Wi  23.5
12 Chris Stroud  24.0
13 Jeff Quinney  24.3
14 D.A. Points  26.8
15 David Toms  27.0

Even though Kuchar has struggled in the past couple of tournaments, I am still going to include him in my picks. He tends to play well in Georgia and likes playing in the Southeast for the most part.

I am going to skip Kirk. He has mainly played on the Nationwide Tour this year, and it seems as though his high finishes in that tour's events has catapulted him to a high ranking in the CLi. Even though it is not a big jump in competition level between the Nationwide Tour and the US PGA Tour, mentally it will be a big hurdle for him to get comfortable playing on the bigger tour. Thus, I am going to skip over him.

I am also going to pass over Gillis, and pick Wetterich. Gillis has a good chance to play well this week. However, both Gillis and Wetterich have the same CLi, Wetterich placed 8th last week in the Viking Classic (a recent tournament), and there are 3 solid players after both Gillis and Wetterich that I want to pick (i.e. Haas, Byrd, and Johnson). So I will pick Wetterich over Gillis.

Then I will round out my five picks with Haas, Byrd, and Johnson. These 3 players play well in this area of the country...not to mention that they are playing well at this time.

Below are my 5 picks for the McGladrey Classic :

# Player CLi
1 Matt Kuchar   8.0
2 Brett Wetterich  11.3
3 Bill Haas  11.5
4 Jonathan Byrd  13.8
5 Zach Johnson  15.8


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Jonathan Byrd
  2. Robert Allenby
  3. John Rollins
  4. Brendan de Jonge
  5. David Toms
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: McGladrey Classic

We have 1 player in common this week: Byrd.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the McGladrey Classic :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 0% 0%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 25% 25%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 25% 25%

Getting Caught Up

Well, I am finally past one of the major hurdles in my doctoral studies.  I recently found out that I passed my comprehensive exams.  These exams are a major component to any doctoral program, and represent one of the most difficult aspects of doctoral studies.  So it is nice to have these exams completely successfully, as it means I can move into the dissertation phase of doctoral studies.  As well, hopefully I will now be able to get caught up on the postings for Tour Outsider.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Viking Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Viking Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Charlie Wi | 29 | $22,397
  2. Woody Austin | 80 (MC) | $0
  3. Jonathan Byrd | 5 | $131,400
  4. Bill Haas | 1 | $648,000
  5. David Toms | 11 | $73,800
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. D.J. Trahan | 3 | $208,800
  2. Charlie Wi | 29 | $22,397
  3. Bill Haas | 1 | $648,000
  4. Heath Slocum | 45 | $10,090
  5. Tom Gillis | 36 | $16,590
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $875,597 $905,877 TI
Avg Rank 25.2 22.8 TI
Made Cut 4 5 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 17 wins to the Tour Outsider, 18 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Viking Classic

The USA PGA Tour is now playing the extended season tournaments (i.e. the tournaments after the FedEx Playoff events), with the first of the tournaments being played in Mississippi, the Viking Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Viking Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Charlie Wi   14.0
2 Woody Austin  15.0
3 Jonathan Byrd  17.1
4 Bill Haas  17.4
5 David Toms  18.3
6 Troy Matteson  18.6
7 Boo Weekley  19.8
8 D.J. Trahan  23.7
9 Will MacKenzie  24.8
10 Brett Wetterich  25.9
11 Brett Quigley  26.7
12 Rocco Mediate  27.0
13 Aaron Baddeley  28.2
14 Heath Slocum  35.2
15 Chad Campbell  37.4

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Wi, Austin, Byrd, Haas, and Toms.

Don't have time to explain why, except to say that I am just going with the formula.

Below are my 5 picks for the Viking Championship :

# Player CLi
1 Charlie Wi   14.0
2 Woody Austin  15.0
3 Jonathan Byrd  17.1
4 Bill Haas  17.4
5 David Toms  18.3


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. D.J. Trahan
  2. Charlie Wi
  3. Bill Haas
  4. Heath Slocum
  5. Tom Gillis
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Viking Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Wi and Haas.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Viking Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

TOUR Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the TOUR Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Adam Scott | 27 | $124,500
  2. Retief Goosen | 3 | $517,500
  3. Steve Stricker | 25 | $127,500
  4. Hunter Mahan | 15 | $162,000
  5. Jim Furyk | 1 | $1,350,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 25 | $127,500
  2. Matt Kuchar | 25 | $127,500
  3. Jim Furyk | 1 | $1,350,000
  4. Paul Casey | 4 | $330,000
  5. Adam Scott | 27 | $124,500
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $2,281,500 $2,059,500 TO
Avg Rank 14.2 16.4 TO
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 17 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

TOUR Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the final leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Atlanta with the TOUR Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95
6 Luke Donald  9.30
7 Zach Johnson  10.55
8 Dustin Johnson  10.95
9 Phil Mickelson  11.35
10 Camilo Villegas  11.75
11 Ben Crane  13.80
12 Nick Watney  15.20
13 Kevin Na  15.55
14 Matt Kuchar  15.60
15 Charley Hoffman  16.05

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Scott, Goosen, Stricker, Mahan, and Furyk.

All the players look good since the tournament has a field of just 30 players and these players having earned their position in the field due to the previous 3 events. So all 30 players are playing well. In addition, there is no cut in the event and thus all the players will earn a check no matter how well they play. Thus players don't have the same motivation to finish well if they are not playing well early on in the tournament. Therefore, they won't grind it out to finish well if they are not playing well. That makes it difficult to pick who will finish well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship :


# Player Cli
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Jim Furyk
  4. Paul Casey
  5. Adam Scott
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Stricker, Furyk, and Scott.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

BMW Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the BMW Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 8 | $217,500
  2. Matt Kuchar | 3 | $360,000
  3. Adam Scott | 15 | $116,250
  4. Jim Furyk | 15 | $116,250
  5. Stewart Cink | 21 | $84,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 8 | $217,500
  2. Luke Donald | 37 | $33,000
  3. Jason Day | 54 | $17,250
  4. Stewart Cink | 21 | $84,000
  5. Matt Kuchar | 3 | $360,000
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $894,000 $711,750 TO
Avg Rank 12.4 24.6 TO
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

BMW Championship

Am behind again...due to exams.  So I am just going to do a quick post with my picks for the BMW Championship tonight.  My picks are:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Adam Scott
  4. Jim Furyk
  5. Stewart Cink

I will expand on my posting next week --- after the tournament -- to ensure that I have the full posting in the archives.......

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Dustin Johnson | 57 | $16,725
  2. Matt Kuchar | 11 | $148,929
  3. Jason Dufner | 18 | $101,250
  4. Steve Stricker | 9 | $217,500
  5. Jim Furyk | 37 | $34,500
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Dustin Johnson | 57 | $16,725
  2. Steve Stricker | 9 | $217,500
  3. Matt Kuchar | 11 | $148,929
  4. Jason Day | 2 | $560,000
  5. Ben Crane | 72 (MC) | $0
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $518,904 $943,154 TI
Avg Rank 26.4 30.2 TO
Made Cut 5 4 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the 2nd leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Boston with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60
6 Padraig Harrington  18.90
7 Marc Leishman  23.05
8 Retief Goosen  24.25
9 Kevin Streelman  26.65
10 J.J. Henry  27.55
11 Jason Day  28.60
12 Martin Laird  29.75
13 Charlie Wi  30.30
14 Justin Leonard  31.05
15 Sean O'Hair  31.65

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Johnson, Kuchar, Dufner, Stricker, and Furyk.

Dufner is an interesting pick when looking at these 5 players since his world ranking is the losest of the 5. As well, he missed the cut last week at the Barclays Classic. Then on top of that, picking Dufner is especially interesting when Padraig Harrington is in 6th position in the rankings. Harrington's CLi (18.90) is not much different than the Cli values of the first 5 players in the list. However, in the two instances that Dufner has played the Deutsche Bank event, he has missed the cut in the preceeding tournaments and has finished 2nd and 37th. Both times he made the cut, so it seems that he likes this course. Thus, I am going to stick with him as a pick this week rather than dropping him for Harrington.

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :


# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Dustin Johnson
  2. Steve Stricker
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. Jason Day
  5. Ben Crane
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Johnson, Stricker, and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%