Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the 2nd leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Boston with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60
6 Padraig Harrington  18.90
7 Marc Leishman  23.05
8 Retief Goosen  24.25
9 Kevin Streelman  26.65
10 J.J. Henry  27.55
11 Jason Day  28.60
12 Martin Laird  29.75
13 Charlie Wi  30.30
14 Justin Leonard  31.05
15 Sean O'Hair  31.65

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Johnson, Kuchar, Dufner, Stricker, and Furyk.

Dufner is an interesting pick when looking at these 5 players since his world ranking is the losest of the 5. As well, he missed the cut last week at the Barclays Classic. Then on top of that, picking Dufner is especially interesting when Padraig Harrington is in 6th position in the rankings. Harrington's CLi (18.90) is not much different than the Cli values of the first 5 players in the list. However, in the two instances that Dufner has played the Deutsche Bank event, he has missed the cut in the preceeding tournaments and has finished 2nd and 37th. Both times he made the cut, so it seems that he likes this course. Thus, I am going to stick with him as a pick this week rather than dropping him for Harrington.

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :


# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Dustin Johnson
  2. Steve Stricker
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. Jason Day
  5. Ben Crane
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Johnson, Stricker, and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

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