Wednesday, September 22, 2010

TOUR Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the final leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Atlanta with the TOUR Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95
6 Luke Donald  9.30
7 Zach Johnson  10.55
8 Dustin Johnson  10.95
9 Phil Mickelson  11.35
10 Camilo Villegas  11.75
11 Ben Crane  13.80
12 Nick Watney  15.20
13 Kevin Na  15.55
14 Matt Kuchar  15.60
15 Charley Hoffman  16.05

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Scott, Goosen, Stricker, Mahan, and Furyk.

All the players look good since the tournament has a field of just 30 players and these players having earned their position in the field due to the previous 3 events. So all 30 players are playing well. In addition, there is no cut in the event and thus all the players will earn a check no matter how well they play. Thus players don't have the same motivation to finish well if they are not playing well early on in the tournament. Therefore, they won't grind it out to finish well if they are not playing well. That makes it difficult to pick who will finish well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship :


# Player Cli
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Jim Furyk
  4. Paul Casey
  5. Adam Scott
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Stricker, Furyk, and Scott.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

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