The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-01-30

With Alex Miceli writing an article earlier this week about the current odds for the 2013 Masters, I thought I would run a Golf CLi calculation and compare the CLi results at this time with what Vegas is saying the odds are at this time for this year's Masters.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-01-29.

#	Player	Odds
1	TIGER WOODS	9-2
2	RORY McILROY	6-1
3	PHIL MICKELSON	15-1
4	LUKE DONALD	25-1
5	LEE WESTWOOD	25-1
6	ADAM SCOTT	25-1
7	JUSTIN ROSE	25-1
8	BUBBA WATSON	25-1
9	DUSTIN JOHNSON	25-1
10	LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN	25-1
11	JASON DUFNER	30-1
12	RICKIE FOWLER	30-1
13	CHARL SCHWARTZEL	30-1
14	NICK WATNEY	30-1
15	BRANDT SNEDEKER	30-1

Source: Miceli's article, slightly re-sorted to put the players in the proper order

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-01-30.

#	Player	CLi
1	Charl Schwartzel	5.50
2	Bubba Watson	10.00
3	Brandt Snedeker	10.25
4	Matt Kuchar	10.75
5	Tiger Woods	11.50
6	Adam Scott	11.75
7	Fred Couples	12.50
8	Ryan Moore	13.75
9	Luke Donald	15.50
10	Jim Furyk	15.50
11	Jason Day	16.00
12	Louis Oosthuizen	16.75
13	Ian Poulter	18.50
14	Phil Mickelson	21.00
15	Padraig Harrington	22.00

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Waste Management Phoenix Open

The US PGA Tour moves to Arizona to play in the happy and loud atmosphere commonly known as the Phoenix Open (....officially, the tournament is called the Waste Management Phoenix Open).

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Brian Gay	13.55
2	Brandt Snedeker	13.85
3	Scott Piercy	14.20
4	Nick Watney	16.70
5	Bubba Watson	16.85
6	Phil Mickelson	17.55
7	Charles Howell III	18.00
8	Vijay Singh	19.85
9	Keegan Bradley	20.00
10	Matthew Every	21.25
11	Harris English	22.75
12	Rickie Fowler	23.30
13	Y.E. Yang	23.40
14	Bryce Molder	24.05
15	David Toms	24.05

None of the players have a CLi figure less than 10.  This indicates that the CLi calculation is not as strong as I would like it to be in determining a clear favorites this week.  This also means I will need to do some additional research behind the CLi figures to pick the 5 players that I think will do well this week.  I do this by going to the statistical details of each player either on Golf CLi or on Fanooz.  I usually provide the Fanooz links for the statistical analyses in my posts on this blog.  For example, the analysis for Rory Sabbatini can be found here: Sabbatini (analysis).  So you can see what I am looking at as a "Tour Outsider". :-)

After examining the details of the analysis of the players, I am going to pick Snedeker (analysis), Watney (analysis), Watson (analysis), Mickelson (analysis), and Howell III (analysis) for this tournament.  I skipped over Gay (analysis) and Piercy (analysis).

Snedeker has placed 2nd and 3rd in two of the three tournaments he has played in this season.  So he is playing well leading up the tournament this week.  In addition, he has two top-10 finishes in this tournament -- in 2011 and 2008.

Watney is also playing well coming into this tournament this week.  He has played two tournaments this month, with a 5th place finish last week in the Farmer Insurance Open and a 13th place finish in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.  Last year he finished 5th in this week, which goes along with 24th and 12th place finishes in the previous two years (2011 and 2010).

Watson pulled a WD on me last week when I picked him for the Farmers Insurance Open.  He cited the flu for the reason why he pulled out last week.  Hopefully he is back to being his fun-loving self this week and can capitalize on the excitement of the crowds in Scottsdale.  He plays to the crowd at this event, especially on holes 16 and 17.  This was evident last year when he finished 5th in this event.  As for recent play, he had a good showing in the one tournament he has played in this season, where he finished 4th at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.  He also had a 2nd place finish in a tournament he played in Thailand in December.  He finished 2nd in the Thailand Golf Championship in December.

Mickelson is back in the desert where he played collegiate golf (at ASU).  He didn't play spectacularly last week in San Diego at the Farmers Insurance Open (finishing 51st), but he has won the Phoenix Open twice (1996 and 2005), and has only missed the cut in this event several times during his career.  Like Watson, Mickelson could thrive off the supportive crowd in Scottsdale this week.

Howell III has had a great start to the 2013 season. He is only missing a win, and the Arizona desert could be where he could break through this season if he gets the flat stick going.  He hasn't played extremely well in this tournament, but he also hasn't played poorly.  He has a 4th place finish in 2010, and sprinkle in several missed cuts, his average rank in the event since 2000 is 37.2.

Below are my 5 picks for the Waste Management Phoenix Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Brandt Snedeker	13.85
2	Nick Watney	16.70
3	Bubba Watson	16.85
4	Phil Mickelson	17.55
5	Charles Howell III	18.00

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Jason Dufner
2. Brandt Snedeker
3. Nick Watney
4. Rickie Fowler
5. Charles Howell III

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Waste Management Phoenix Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Snedeker, Watney, and Howell III

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Waste Management Phoenix Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) 5 25% 25% Number of Days Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) 30 5% 5% Number of Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) 4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Farmers Insurance Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Farmers Insurance Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Brandt Snedeker | 2 | $536,800
2. Phil Mickelson | 51 | $14,125
3. Charles Howell III | 9 | $146,400
4. John Huh | 60 | $12,993
5. Bubba Watson | 156 (WD) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Bubba Watson | 156 (WD) | $0
2. Dustin Johnson | 16 | $78,560
3. Charles Howell III | 9 | $146,400
4. Nick Watney | 4 | $268,400
5. Brandt Snedeker | 2 | $536,800

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$709,318	$1,030,160	TI
Avg Rank	55.6	37.4	TI
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 0 wins to the Tour Outsider, 4 wins to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.

Bolton had a wonderful tournament.  Taking out the WD of Bubba, his rank average is 7.75.  The only thing Bolton was missing was a win with his picks.  For me, I continue to dig a hole for myself at the beginning of the season --- even with a good showing this week (albeit, I also had Bubba's WD on my team).  I am now down 4 tournaments, and we have only had 4 tournaments played this season.  So that means I have yet to win a tournament this season. Hmmmmmm.

Farmers Insurance Open

The US PGA Tour stays in southern California to play the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines.  This is another tournament that has changed from being a tournament named by an auto sponsor (Buick) to another name.  My take on these changes over the past 5-6 years is that healthcare and insurance companies are doing much better than auto companies.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Farmers Insurance Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Brandt Snedeker	6.90
2	Phil Mickelson	13.55
3	Charles Howell III	14.20
4	John Huh	16.65
5	Bubba Watson	17.60
6	Keegan Bradley	20.35
7	Dustin Johnson	20.40
8	Vijay Singh	20.85
9	John Rollins	21.70
10	Scott Piercy	21.90
11	Nick Watney	22.95
12	Stewart Cink	25.85
13	Matt Jones	26.20
14	Ryo Ishikawa	29.35
15	Bryce Molder	29.45

Even though there is just one player that has a CLi figure below 10, I am still going with the top 5 players in the CLI rankings: Snedeker (analysis), Mickelson (analysis), Howell III (analysis), Huh (analysis), and Watson (analysis).

Sendeker won this event last year and have placed in the top 10 in the 6 times he has played in the tournament.  Last week he finished 23rd (Humana Challenge) and finished 3rd in the Hyundai tournament of Champions the first week of January.

Mickelson is San Diego's favorite professional golfer and loves playing at Torrey Pines.  He missed hte cut last week, but that was because he might have had something else on his mind (one of his daughter had an health issue).  Prior to last year the only time he has missed the cut since 2000 was in 2003.  He has won the event twice (2000 and 2001), placed 2nd in 2011, and has placed in the top 10 seven times since 2000.  He has only played once this season, and that was last week at the Humana Challenge when placed 37th.

Howell III is playing well this year, having placed 2nd last week at the Human Challenge and 3rd at the Sony Open in Hawaii prior to that.  He has yet to miss the cut in this event, and has placed in the top-15  six of the ten times he has played in the event.

Huh is fairly new to the US PGA Tour, with his rookie season last year. In his rookie season he placed 6th in this event.  He has played two tournaments this year so far and has placed 31st (Sony Open in Hawaii) and 18th (Hyundai Tournament of Champions).

Watson won this event in 2011 and then backed up his win with a 13th place last year.  He has missed the cut once in the seven times he has played in the event, and has finished in the top-15 four times.  He has played only one event this season and that was at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he finished 4th.

Below are my 5 picks for the Farmers Insurance Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Brandt Snedeker	6.90
2	Phil Mickelson	13.55
3	Charles Howell III	14.20
4	John Huh	16.65
5	Bubba Watson	17.60

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Bubba Watson
2. Dustin Johnson
3. Charles Howell III
4. Nick Watney
5. Brandt Snedeker

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Farmers Insurance Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Watson, Howell III, and Snedeker

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Farmers Insurance Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) 5 25% 25% Number of Days Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) 30 5% 5% Number of Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) 4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Humana Challenge Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Humana Challenge to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Tim Clark | 82 (MC) | $0
2. Matt Kuchar | 16 | $78,560
3. Webb Simpson | 93 (MC) | $0
4. Pat Perez | 82 (MC) | $0
5. Brandt Snedeker | 23 | $51,520

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Brandt Snedeker | 23 | $51,520
2. Matt Kuchar | 16 | $78,560
3. Robert Garrigus | 16 | $78,560
4. Bo van Pelt | 27 | $35,728
5. Webb Simpson | 93 (MC) | $0

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$130,080	$244,368	TI
Avg Rank	59.2	35.0	TI
Made Cut	2	4	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 0 wins to the Tour Outsider, 3 wins to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.

Looks like I am digging a hole for myself early on in the season, as I am down 3 tournaments after 3 tournaments have been played. Hmmmmmm....not good for me.

Humana Challenge

The US PGA Tour heads to the mainland to play in the California desert.  The tournament to be played this week was once called the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic, but with sponsor changes the new name of the event is the Humana Challenge.  The Louisville-based company, Humana, has been able to keep the tournament going after Chrysler pulled its sponsorship several years ago when the auto manufacturer ran into financial difficulty.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Humana Challenge.

#	Player	CLi
1	Tim Clark	2.65
2	Matt Kuchar	9.55
3	Webb Simpson	11.20
4	Pat Perez	11.80
5	Robert Garrigus	13.75
6	Brandt Snedeker	13.85
7	Harris English	16.85
8	Chris Kirk	16.95
9	Brian Gay	18.75
10	Charles Howell III	19.25
11	D.J. Trahan	21.40
12	David Toms	22.60
13	Matt Jones	22.90
14	Mark Wilson	24.05
15	John Mallinger	25.65

I am going with the first four in the CLi rankings: Clark (analysis), Kuchar (analysis), Simpson (analysis), and Perez (analysis).  Then I am going to skip over Garrigus (analysis) to pick Snedeker (analysis) for my 5th pick.

With a low CLi figure of 2.65, and the next lowest figure being 9.55 (Kuchar), Clark seems to be a clear favorite to play well this week.  He placed 2nd last week in the Sony Open, and placed 2nd in this tournament the last time he played in it (in 2010).  He has played in this tournament 4 times and has finished in the top-5 three times.

Kuchar has finished 22nd, 7th, and 2nd the last three times he has played in this event.  He also comes into this tournament having finished 5th and 9th in the first two tournaments of the season (in Hawaii).

Simpson has played this event three times, and has finished 13th, 33rd, and 5th.  He has played in the first two tournaments like Kuchar, but has not faired as well as Kuchar.  Simpson has finished 20th and 11th in the first two tournaments of the season.

Perez won this tournament back in 2009.  In the three subsequent years since winning the tournament, he has finished 14th, 54th, and 26th in this event.  He placed 9th last week at the Sony Open.

Snedeker finished 3rd in the first event of the season, the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.  He has finished in the top-10 twice (in 2012 and 2010) in the four times he has played in the event.

Below are my 5 picks for the Humana Challenge:

#	Player	CLi
1	Tim Clark	2.65
2	Matt Kuchar	9.55
3	Webb Simpson	11.20
4	Pat Perez	11.80
5	Brandt Snedeker	13.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Brandt Snedeker
2. Matt Kuchar
3. Robert Garrigus
4. Bo van Pelt
5. Webb Simpson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Humana Challenge

We have 3 players in common this week: Snedeker, Kuchar, and Simpson

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Humana Challenge:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) 5 25% 25% Number of Days Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) 30 5% 5% Number of Tournaments Looking Back Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) 4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Sony Open in Hawaii Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Sony Open in Hawai to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Dustin Johnson | 144 (WD) | $0 <- withdrew due to flu
2. Charles Howell III | 3 | $324,800
3. Brian Gay | 31 | $33,208
4. Matthew Every | 90 (MC) | $0
5. Keegan Bradley | 49 | $13,821

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Tim Clark | 2 | $604,800 <- a 2nd place pick
2. Carl Petterson | 59 | $12,096
3. Charles Howell III | 3 | $324,800 <- along with a 3rd place pick
4. Dustin Johnson | 144 (WD) | $0 <- withdrew due to flu
5. Brendon de Jonge | 54 | $12,824

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$371,829	$2,275,400	TI
Avg Rank	63.4	52.4	TI
Made Cut	3	4	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 0 wins to the Tour Outsider, 2 wins to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.

Bolton had another good tournament, having a 2nd place pick and 3rd place pick.  He has started out well, now leading by 2 tournaments.

Sony Open in Hawaii

The second tournament of the 2013 US PGA Tour season stays in Hawaii to play the Sony Open.   The event is the first full field event of the season, since last week's Hyundai Tournament of Champions (actually the tournament ended early this week due to poor weather conditions) was a limited field of 30 players.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Sony Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	9.70
2	Charles Howell III	9.75
3	Brian Gay	11.05
4	Matthew Every	12.40
5	Keegan Bradley	14.15
6	Brendon De Jonge	20.10
7	Jerry Kelly	20.35
8	Jimmy Walker	20.95
9	Zach Johnson	21.60
10	Scott Piercy	21.85
11	Carl Pettersson	22.65
12	Chad Campbell	22.70
13	Davis Love III	22.75
14	Ryan Palmer	24.10
15	Mark Wilson	24.75

Note the high CLi figures compared to last week's Hyundai Tournament of Champions.  The lowest CLi close to 10 (Johnson, 9.70).  That is one indication that the CLi is not as good an indicator in this tournament as it was for the Hyundai last week.  Both tournaments don't have much data to go on due to the two month lay off between last year's season and the start of this year's season.  However, this tournament has 156 players to compare against one another rather than just 30 players.  The increase in players increases the number of unknown factors which makes it difficult to predict which players have the best chance of playing well.

Even though the CLi figures are high, and the unknowns have increased this tournament, I am going to still stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings: Johnson (analysis), Howell III (analysis), Gay (analysis), Every (analysis), and Bradley (analysis).  3 of the players have solid records in this tournament (Johnson, Howell III, and Gay), and the other two played well last week in the Hyundai (Every and Bradley).  Johnson and Bradley have also played well in this tournament.

Below are my 5 picks for the Sony Open:

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	9.70
2	Charles Howell III	9.75
3	Brian Gay	11.05
4	Matthew Every	12.40
5	Keegan Bradley	14.15

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Tim Clark
2. Carl Pettersson
3. Charles Howell III
4. Dustin Johnson
5. Brendon de Jonge

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Sony Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Howell III and Johnson

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Sony Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Hyundai Tournament of Champions Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions to see how the results turned out....after a Tuesday finish in Hawaii to conclude a 54-hole tournament.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Ian Poulter | 9 | $175,000
2. Ryan Moore | 28 | $63,000 <- ouch, 2nd to last in the tournament
3. Brandt Snedeker | 3 | $432,000
4. Scott Piercy | 13 | $120,400
5. Matt Kuchar | 9 | $175,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Matt Kuchar | 9 | $175,000
2. Dustin Johnson | 1 | $1,140,000 <- congrats, a winner
3. Scott Piercy | 13 | $120,400
4. Ian Poulter | 9 | $175,000
5. Steve Stricker | 2 | $665,000 <- nice, also a 2nd place

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$965,400	$2,275,400	TI
Avg Rank	12.4	6.8	TI
Made Cut	5	5	Draw
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 0 wins to the Tour Outsider, 1 win to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.

Bolton has started out with a bang!! He picked a winner (Johnson) and a 2nd place finisher (Stricker).  So he takes a lead after the first tournament of the season.

Hyundai Tournament of Champions

HAPPY NEW YEAR to everyone!!!

We are now onto a new season: 2013.  This week the tour starts the season off with a limited field tournament in Hawaii, the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Only the players that won an event last year (2012) are invited to play. Of the players that won on the US PGA Tour last year, 30 have accepted the invitation to play in the tournament.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.

#	Player	CLi
1	Ian Poulter	2.80
2	Ryan Moore	3.05
3	Brandt Snedeker	4.60
4	Scott Piercy	6.60
5	Matt Kuchar	6.70
6	Nick Watney	8.10
7	Steve Stricker	8.15
8	Carl Pettersson	8.40
9	Jason Dufner	9.25
10	Bill Haas	9.30
11	Charlie Beljan	10.00
12	Tommy Gainey	10.25
13	Hunter Mahan	10.50
14	Jonas Blixt	10.75
15	Zach Johnson	11.30

As with every year, the first tournament of the season provides two factors that create unknowns.  One unknown factor is the 2 month layoff between the end of the 2012 season and the start of this year's season.  And the second unknown factor is that there are 9 players (1/3 of the field) that have not played in this tournament before.  This makes it more difficult for people to pick who will play well, and makes computer analysis more difficult since there is less data to use in formulas.  However, I am going to stick with the CLi results since it has done a rather respectable job in the past with this tournament (2012 picks, 2011 picks, 2010 picks, 2009 picks, 2008 picks).

The top 5 players in the CLi are Poulter (analysis), Moore (analysis), Snedeker (analysis), Piercy (analysis), and Kuchar (analysis).  There are 11 players that have a CLi figure of 10 or less, which is a very good sign that the CLi calculation is showing some intelligence.  However, there are only 30 players in the field this week, which helps the CLi calculation's odds.

Below are my 5 picks for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions :

#	Player	CLi
1	Ian Poulter	2.80
2	Ryan Moore	3.05
3	Brandt Snedeker	4.60
4	Scott Piercy	6.60
5	Matt Kuchar	6.70

As with the past 3 years, Rob Bolton is the Tour Insider, and the individual that I will compare my picks to this season (for the US PGA Tour).

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Matt Kuchar
2. Dustin Johnson
3. Scott Piercy
4. Ian Poulter
5. Steve Stricker

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Hyundai Tournament of Champions

We have 3 players in common this week: Kuchar, Piercy, and Poulter

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.