Thursday, September 30, 2010

Viking Classic

The USA PGA Tour is now playing the extended season tournaments (i.e. the tournaments after the FedEx Playoff events), with the first of the tournaments being played in Mississippi, the Viking Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Viking Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Charlie Wi   14.0
2 Woody Austin  15.0
3 Jonathan Byrd  17.1
4 Bill Haas  17.4
5 David Toms  18.3
6 Troy Matteson  18.6
7 Boo Weekley  19.8
8 D.J. Trahan  23.7
9 Will MacKenzie  24.8
10 Brett Wetterich  25.9
11 Brett Quigley  26.7
12 Rocco Mediate  27.0
13 Aaron Baddeley  28.2
14 Heath Slocum  35.2
15 Chad Campbell  37.4

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Wi, Austin, Byrd, Haas, and Toms.

Don't have time to explain why, except to say that I am just going with the formula.

Below are my 5 picks for the Viking Championship :

# Player CLi
1 Charlie Wi   14.0
2 Woody Austin  15.0
3 Jonathan Byrd  17.1
4 Bill Haas  17.4
5 David Toms  18.3


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. D.J. Trahan
  2. Charlie Wi
  3. Bill Haas
  4. Heath Slocum
  5. Tom Gillis
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Viking Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Wi and Haas.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Viking Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

TOUR Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the TOUR Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Adam Scott | 27 | $124,500
  2. Retief Goosen | 3 | $517,500
  3. Steve Stricker | 25 | $127,500
  4. Hunter Mahan | 15 | $162,000
  5. Jim Furyk | 1 | $1,350,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 25 | $127,500
  2. Matt Kuchar | 25 | $127,500
  3. Jim Furyk | 1 | $1,350,000
  4. Paul Casey | 4 | $330,000
  5. Adam Scott | 27 | $124,500
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $2,281,500 $2,059,500 TO
Avg Rank 14.2 16.4 TO
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 17 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

TOUR Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the final leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Atlanta with the TOUR Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95
6 Luke Donald  9.30
7 Zach Johnson  10.55
8 Dustin Johnson  10.95
9 Phil Mickelson  11.35
10 Camilo Villegas  11.75
11 Ben Crane  13.80
12 Nick Watney  15.20
13 Kevin Na  15.55
14 Matt Kuchar  15.60
15 Charley Hoffman  16.05

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Scott, Goosen, Stricker, Mahan, and Furyk.

All the players look good since the tournament has a field of just 30 players and these players having earned their position in the field due to the previous 3 events. So all 30 players are playing well. In addition, there is no cut in the event and thus all the players will earn a check no matter how well they play. Thus players don't have the same motivation to finish well if they are not playing well early on in the tournament. Therefore, they won't grind it out to finish well if they are not playing well. That makes it difficult to pick who will finish well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship :


# Player Cli
1 Adam Scott   7.20
2 Retief Goosen  8.45
3 Steve Stricker  8.85
4 Hunter Mahan  8.90
5 Jim Furyk  8.95


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Jim Furyk
  4. Paul Casey
  5. Adam Scott
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Stricker, Furyk, and Scott.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

BMW Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the BMW Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 8 | $217,500
  2. Matt Kuchar | 3 | $360,000
  3. Adam Scott | 15 | $116,250
  4. Jim Furyk | 15 | $116,250
  5. Stewart Cink | 21 | $84,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Steve Stricker | 8 | $217,500
  2. Luke Donald | 37 | $33,000
  3. Jason Day | 54 | $17,250
  4. Stewart Cink | 21 | $84,000
  5. Matt Kuchar | 3 | $360,000
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $894,000 $711,750 TO
Avg Rank 12.4 24.6 TO
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

BMW Championship

Am behind again...due to exams.  So I am just going to do a quick post with my picks for the BMW Championship tonight.  My picks are:

  1. Steve Stricker
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Adam Scott
  4. Jim Furyk
  5. Stewart Cink

I will expand on my posting next week --- after the tournament -- to ensure that I have the full posting in the archives.......

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Dustin Johnson | 57 | $16,725
  2. Matt Kuchar | 11 | $148,929
  3. Jason Dufner | 18 | $101,250
  4. Steve Stricker | 9 | $217,500
  5. Jim Furyk | 37 | $34,500
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Dustin Johnson | 57 | $16,725
  2. Steve Stricker | 9 | $217,500
  3. Matt Kuchar | 11 | $148,929
  4. Jason Day | 2 | $560,000
  5. Ben Crane | 72 (MC) | $0
Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $518,904 $943,154 TI
Avg Rank 26.4 30.2 TO
Made Cut 5 4 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 17 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

[ Note: This entry was posted on October 13, 2010, and not on the date that is shown as the posting date. To keep the postings in order, the date that this entry was suppose to be posted on was used. The entry was late to post since I was focusing on my work in my doctoral studies. ]

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

The USA PGA Tour is playing the 2nd leg of the Fedex Cup Playoff this week in Boston with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60
6 Padraig Harrington  18.90
7 Marc Leishman  23.05
8 Retief Goosen  24.25
9 Kevin Streelman  26.65
10 J.J. Henry  27.55
11 Jason Day  28.60
12 Martin Laird  29.75
13 Charlie Wi  30.30
14 Justin Leonard  31.05
15 Sean O'Hair  31.65

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Johnson, Kuchar, Dufner, Stricker, and Furyk.

Dufner is an interesting pick when looking at these 5 players since his world ranking is the losest of the 5. As well, he missed the cut last week at the Barclays Classic. Then on top of that, picking Dufner is especially interesting when Padraig Harrington is in 6th position in the rankings. Harrington's CLi (18.90) is not much different than the Cli values of the first 5 players in the list. However, in the two instances that Dufner has played the Deutsche Bank event, he has missed the cut in the preceeding tournaments and has finished 2nd and 37th. Both times he made the cut, so it seems that he likes this course. Thus, I am going to stick with him as a pick this week rather than dropping him for Harrington.

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :


# Player CLi
1 Dustin Johnson   12.70
2 Matt Kuchar  15.05
3 Jason Dufner  15.15
4 Steve Stricker  17.35
5 Jim Furyk  18.60


Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Dustin Johnson
  2. Steve Stricker
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. Jason Day
  5. Ben Crane
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Johnson, Stricker, and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%