Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

This week the US PGA Tour starts it's Fall Finish tournaments with a tournament in Vegas, the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

#	Player	CLi
1	George McNeill	7.00
2	Chad Campbell	13.90
3	John Mallinger	13.90
4	Kyle Stanley	14.60
5	Cameron Tringale	16.45
6	Charley Hoffman	17.70
7	Jonathan Byrd	19.95
8	Nick Watney	22.60
9	Martin Laird	22.80
10	Ryan Moore	24.45
11	Josh Teater	24.95
12	Spencer Levin	25.00
13	Jason Bohn	25.25
14	Chez Reavie	26.95
15	Kevin Na	28.00

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings this week: McNeill (analysis), Campbell (analysis), Mallinger (analysis), Stanley (analysis), and Tringale (analysis).

The pick of Mallinger and Tringale might seem strange, especially with Hoffman (who has won here), Byrd (who won here last year), and Watney (and who is a native of Vegas) waiting in the wings. However, Mallinger is coming in with confidence. Rather than wait for the big tour to come to him, he spent time playing on the Nationwide Tour. He finished 2nd in two Nationwide events, and 6th in a 3rd event. Whereas, Tringale finished 11th last year in this event and has been having a solid outing this season on the big tour. Although he has no top 3s or wins this year, look for that to possibly change this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open :

#	Player	CLi
1	George McNeill	7.00
2	Chad Campbell	13.90
3	John Mallinger	13.90
4	Kyle Stanley	14.60
5	Cameron Tringale	16.45

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Ryan Moore
2. Nick Watney
3. Kyle Stanley
4. George McNeill
5. Spencer Levin

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

We have 2 players in common this week: Stanley and McNeill.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

TOUR Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the TOUR Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Luke Donald | 3 | $418,667
2. Justin Rose | 20 | $152,000
3. John Senden | 25 | $137,600
4. Adam Scott | 6 | $272,000
5. Phil Mickelson | 10 | $227,200

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Luke Donald | 3 | $418,667
2. Adam Scott | 6 | $272,000
3. Webb Simpson | 22 | $147,200
4. Nick Watney | 26 | $132,800
5. Justn Rose | 20 | $152,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,206,867	$1,122,667	TO
Avg Rank	12.8	15.4	TO
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 26 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

TOUR Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is in Atlanta to play a limited field tournament (30 players), TOUR Championship. The tournament is the last tournament in the FedEx Playoff series.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Luke Donald	5.05
2	Justin Rose	5.35
3	John Senden	6.90
4	Adam Scott	9.00
5	Vijay Singh	10.40
6	Nick Watney	10.90
7	Phil Mickelson	11.55
8	Geoff Ogilvy	11.85
9	Brandt Snedeker	12.55
10	Hunter Mahan	12.60
11	Matt Kuchar	12.85
12	Jason Day	12.90
13	Jonathan Byrd	14.95
14	Charles Howell III	15.35
15	David Toms	15.45

I am going to stick with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Donald (analysis), Rose (analysis), Senden (analysis), and Scott (analysis).

Then I am going to skip down to Mickelson (analysis) and pick him. He loves playing in Georgia, and hopefully the last tournament in the FedEx Playoff series will inspire him to make some putts and score well.

Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Luke Donald	5.05
2	Justin Rose	5.35
3	John Senden	6.90
4	Adam Scott	9.00
5	Phil Mickelson	11.55

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Luke Donald
2. Adam Scott
3. Webb Simpson
4. Nick Watney
5. Justin Rose

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Donald, Scott, and Rose.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

BMW Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the BMW Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Matt Kuchar | 22 | $68,444
2. Jim Furyk | 22 | $68,444
3. Camilo Villegas | 6 | $278,000
4. Adam Scott | 37 | $36,000
5. Dustin Johnson | 65 | $16,720

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Matt Kuchar | 22 | $68,444
2. Luke Donald | 4 | $384,000
3. Adam Scott | 37 | $36,000
4. Webb Simpson | 5 | $320,000
5. Dustin Johnson | 65 | $16,720

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$467,608	$825,164	TI
Avg Rank	30.4	26.6	TI
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 11 wins to the Tour Outsider, 26 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

BMW Championship

After a week off, this week the US PGA Tour goes to Chicago to play the BMW Championship at Cog Hill. This is the 3rd tournament in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, leaving only the the Tour Championship after this tournament. The top 30 players in the FedEx Cup points after the BMW Championship will make it to the field of the Tour Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the BMW Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Matt Kuchar	7.20
2	Jim Furyk	8.30
3	Camilo Villegas	8.40
4	Adam Scott	8.70
5	Dustin Johnson	11.85
6	Luke Donald	12.20
7	Chez Reavie	13.30
8	Brandt Snedeker	15.40
9	Carl Pettersson	15.85
10	Steve Stricker	17.40
11	Vijay Singh	19.30
12	David Toms	21.20
13	Zach Johnson	23.25
14	Sergio Garcia	23.45
15	Justin Rose	23.75

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings: Kuchar (analysis), Furyk (analysis), Villegas (analysis), Scott (analysis), and Johnson (analysis). The top 4 have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign they will play well. The interesting inclusion is Villegas. However, he does play well in this event and has placed in the top 10 in 2 out of the last 3 tournaments...with the 3rd one being a 25th finish.

Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Matt Kuchar	7.20
2	Jim Furyk	8.30
3	Camilo Villegas	8.40
4	Adam Scott	8.70
5	Dustin Johnson	11.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Matt Kuchar
2. Luke Donald
3. Adam Scott
4. Webb Simpson
5. Dustin Johnson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Kuchar, Scott, and Johnson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Vijay Singh | 86 (MC) | $0
2. Luke Donald | 3 | $416,000
3. Jason Dufner | 31 | $46,400
4. Jason Day | 3 | $416,000
5. Adam Scott | 8 | $240,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Nick Watney | 61 | $16,960
2. Jason Day | 3 | $416,000
3. Dustin Johnson | 42 | $24,576
4. Matt Kuchar | 25 | $61,067
5. Luke Donald | 3 | $416,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,118,400	$934,603	TO
Avg Rank	26.2	26.8	TO
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 11 wins to the Tour Outsider, 25 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

I squeaked out a win, as my average rank was 0.6 better than Bolton's average rank. Not a pretty win, since my number one pick, Singh, missed the cut.  Singh wasn't even close in making the cut -- a bad week for him on a course and in a tournament that he normally plays well. As well, I was helped with Bolton having a poor finisher in the last round.  Watney balooned to a 80 on the last day and moved down 49 spots in the rankings for the tournament.  That will happen when one shoots in the snow.