Tuesday, September 13, 2011

BMW Championship

After a week off, this week the US PGA Tour goes to Chicago to play the BMW Championship at Cog Hill. This is the 3rd tournament in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, leaving only the the Tour Championship after this tournament. The top 30 players in the FedEx Cup points after the BMW Championship will make it to the field of the Tour Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the BMW Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 Matt Kuchar  7.20
2 Jim Furyk  8.30
3 Camilo Villegas  8.40
4 Adam Scott  8.70
5 Dustin Johnson  11.85
6 Luke Donald  12.20
7 Chez Reavie  13.30
8 Brandt Snedeker  15.40
9 Carl Pettersson  15.85
10 Steve Stricker  17.40
11 Vijay Singh  19.30
12 David Toms  21.20
13 Zach Johnson  23.25
14 Sergio Garcia  23.45
15 Justin Rose  23.75

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings: Kuchar (analysis), Furyk (analysis), Villegas (analysis), Scott (analysis), and Johnson (analysis). The top 4 have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign they will play well. The interesting inclusion is Villegas. However, he does play well in this event and has placed in the top 10 in 2 out of the last 3 tournaments...with the 3rd one being a 25th finish.

Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship :

# Player CLi 
1 Matt Kuchar  7.20
2 Jim Furyk  8.30
3 Camilo Villegas  8.40
4 Adam Scott  8.70
5 Dustin Johnson  11.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Matt Kuchar
  2. Luke Donald
  3. Adam Scott
  4. Webb Simpson
  5. Dustin Johnson
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Kuchar, Scott, and Johnson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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