HP Byron Nelson Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the HP Byron Nelson Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Jason Day | 5 | $260,000
2. Rory Sabbatini | 141 (MC) | $0
3. Brian Gay | 14 | $107,250
4. Carl Pettersson | 40 | $26,650
5. Charlie Wi | 89 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Dustin Johnson | 20 | $70,417
2. Nick Watney | 8 | $169,000
3. Rory Sabbatini | 141 (MC) | $0
4. K.J. Choi | 40 | $26,650
5. Brian Gay | 14 | $107,250

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$393,900	$373,317	TO
Avg Rank	57.8	44.6	TI
Made Cut	3	4	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 15 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

A second week in a row where I won the earnings category, but lost the overall tournament. The missed cuts category is doing me in at the moment, as several of the players I pick can't seem to stay above the cut line.

HP Byron Nelson Championship

This week the US PGA Tour stays in my native state of Texas, but travels half-way across the DFW metroplex to Las Colinas to play the HP Byron Nelson Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the HP Byron Nelson Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Jason Day	1.55
2	Rory Sabbatini	6.35
3	Brian Gay	15.70
4	Carl Pettersson	19.60
5	Brett Wetterich	21.15
6	Charlie Wi	21.45
7	John Senden	22.75
8	Charley Hoffman	23.75
9	Brian Davis	25.80
10	K.J. Choi	26.80
11	Greg Chalmers	29.85
12	Ben Crane	30.45
13	Blake Adams	34.15
14	Rod Pampling	34.25
15	Fredrik Jacobson	34.30

Two players have CLi figures under 10: Day (analysis) and Sabbatini (analysis). So those two players are no-brainers to pick.

For my next two picks, I will stick with the next two players in the CLi rankings: Gay (analysis) and Pettersson (analysis).

For my fifth pick, I will skip over Wetterich (analysis) since his good finishes recently have been on the Nationwide Tour rather than the big tour. So even though he has won here at the Nelson, I am going to skip over him and pick Wi (analysis). Their CLi figures are very similar, and Wi has finished well in recent tournaments on the big tour -- 2nd last week at the Colonial in nearby Fort Worth.

Below are my 5 picks for the HP Byron Nelson Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Jason Day	1.55
2	Rory Sabbatini	6.35
3	Brian Gay	15.70
4	Carl Pettersson	19.60
5	Charlie Wi	21.45

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Dustin Johnson
2. Nick Watney
3. Rory Sabbatini
4. K.J. Choi
5. Brian Gay

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: HP Byron Nelson Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Sabbatini and Gay.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the HP Byron Nelson Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Crowne Plaza Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Jason Day | 31 | $33,687
2. Zach Johnson | 4 | $297,600
3. Pat Perez | 62 | $13,268
4. David Toms | 1 | $1,116,000
5. Ben Crane | 124 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Jason Day | 31 | $33,687
2. Steve Marino | 16 | $67,787
3. Hunter Mahan | 10 | $137,433
4. David Toms | 1 | $1,116,000
5. Pat Perez | 62 | $13,268

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,460,555	$1,368,175	TO
Avg Rank	44.4	24.0	TI
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 14 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

I was looking good until my 5th pick with Crane. :-( I guess Crane didn't enjoy playing at home, placing 3rd to last.  Aw, shucks.....

Crowne Plaza Invitational

This week the US PGA Tour is back in my native state of Texas. This time it is to play the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial in Fort Worth.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial.

#	Player	CLi
1	Jason Day	11.60
2	Zach Johnson	11.95
3	Pat Perez	13.00
4	David Toms	17.15
5	Scott Verplank	17.65
6	Ben Crane	18.85
7	Brian Davis	20.00
8	Tom Lehman	21.70
9	Stewart Cink	21.75
10	Tim Herron	25.45
11	Kevin Na	27.65
12	Ricky Barnes	28.80
13	Brandt Snedeker	29.95
14	Matt Kuchar	30.00
15	Steve Marino	30.15

There are no players with a CLi figure less than 10; nor is there a player with a CLi figure that is much different than any of the other players.  So there is not a clear favorite this week.

However, as with last week, I am going to stick with the CLi rankings for the most part and pick the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Day, Johnson, Perez, and Toms.

Day (analysis) has finished in the top 10 in the last 3 tournaments he has played in, including a 2nd in the Masters in early April. In addition, he has a 4th place finish in this tournament back in 2009.

Johnson (analysis) won this tournament last year and has a 6th place and a 12th place finish the past 30 days.

Perez (analysis) has finished in the top 10 in this tournament the last 3 times he has played this tournament (in 2010, 2008, and 2007). In addition, he has two 6th place finishes in the past 30 days.

Toms (analysis), who lost in a playoff last week at the PLAYERS Championship, has been playing well of late. He has finished in the top 25 in his past 5 starts. Since 2000, he he not missed a cut at this tournament and has placed in the top 10 four times.

As for my fifth pick, I am going to skip over Verplank and pick Crane.

Verplank (analysis) plays courses like Colonial well, has been playing well lately, and is playing in his native state of Texas (although, he has lived in Oklahoma since his college days at OSU). However, Crane (analysis) has a similar CLi figure as Verplank. He plays Colonial well and has been playing well lately. Then to top it off, he lives just north of the DFW area...so he will be sleeping in his own bed this week and eating home-style cooking.  That should help him.

Below are my 5 picks for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial :

#	Player	CLi
1	Jason Day	11.60
2	Zach Johnson	11.95
3	Pat Perez	13.00
4	David Toms	17.15
5	Ben Crane	18.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Jason Day
2. Steve Marino
3. Hunter Mahan
4. David Toms
5. Pat Perez

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

We have 3 players in common this week: Day, Toms, and Perez.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

PLAYERS Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the PLAYERS Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Phil Mickelson | 33 | $50,192
2. Luke Donald | 4 | $418,000
3. Matt Kuchar | 54 | $21,850
4. Ben Crane | 45 | $27,816
5. Jim Furyk | 102 (MC) | $0

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Luke Donald | 4 | $418,000
2. Hunter Mahan | 6 | $287,375
3. Ben Crane | 45 | $27,816
4. Phil Mickelson | 33 | $50,192
5. Bill Haas | 64 | $19,760

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$517,858	$803,143	TI
Avg Rank	47.6	30.4	TI
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 13 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

I should have picked Toms this week, who pulled through for me last week at the Wells Fargo Championship. As well, I should have gone with Garcia, who had a wonderful final round today (65) to get him 8-under and a share of 12th place.  But there is no use to "Monday Quarterback" as that will not change the results.

PLAYERS Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is in the city of the tour's headquarters, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, to play the tour's flagship event, the PLAYERS Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the PLAYERS Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	5.35
2	Luke Donald	17.40
3	Matt Kuchar	17.45
4	Ben Crane	18.15
5	Sergio Garcia	18.95
6	Brandt Snedeker	19.55
7	Jim Furyk	23.85
8	Tim Clark	26.45
9	Greg Chalmers	29.45
10	Tiger Woods	30.55
11	K.J. Choi	30.85
12	Jason Dufner	32.70
13	J.B. Holmes	33.50
14	Pat Perez	33.70
15	Jonathan Byrd	35.50

I am going to go with the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Mickelson, Donald, Kuchar, and Crane.

Mickelson (analysis) seems like a clear favorite based upon his CLi figure compared to the next players in the list. His CLi figure is below 10 and is almost 12 points ahead of the next player's CLi figure.

Donald (analysis), Kuchar (analysis), and Crane (analysis) are playing well leading up to the tournament and have played well in this tournament in the past couple of years.

As for my fifth pick, I am skipping over Garcia and Snedeker to pick Furyk.

In the 10 times he has played in the tournament, Furyk (analysis) has only missed the cut once in this tournament since 2000 and has placed in the top ten 3 times (best finish is 3rd in 2006). After a slow start in the first couple of tournaments this year, his worst finish has been 49th place (at Doral). In his last 8 tournaments, his average finish has been 26th, with one top 10 (in the Arnold Palmer Invitational).

Garcia has similar results as Furyk. Garcia (analysis) has won here in the past (in 2008), has only missed the cut twice in this tournament since 2000 (has played the tournament 11 times), and has been playing solid golf the past 4 weeks or so. So it was a difficult choice between Garcia and Furyk. However, the difference is that this tournament is basically a "home game" for Furyk since he lives in Ponte Vedra Beach. In addition, it is his birthday this week...he turns 41 on Thursday (May 12th). Hopefully the birthday celebration will be a catalyst to a good finish and not a distration. :-)

As for Snedeker (analysis), he has played well 3 of the past 4 tournaments he has played in, including a win at The Heritage. However, he missed the cut in his last tournament, the Zurich Classic.

Below are my 5 picks for the PLAYERS Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	5.35
2	Luke Donald	17.40
3	Matt Kuchar	17.45
4	Ben Crane	18.15
5	Jim Furyk	23.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Luke Donald
2. Hunter Mahan
3. Ben Crane
4. Phil Mickelson
5. Bill Haas

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: PLAYERS Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Donald, Crane, and Mickelson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the PLAYERS Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wells Fargo Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Wells Fargo Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Bubba Watson | 48 | $16,157
2. Rory McIlroy | 113 (MC) | $0
3. Jim Furyk | 24 | $55,413
4. Phil Mickelson | 9 | $150,429
5. David Toms | 24 | $55,413

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Phil Mickelson | 9 | $150,429
2. Bubba Watson | 48 | $16,157
3. Rory McIlroy | 113 (MC) | $0
4. Jim Furyk | 24 | $55,413
5. Martin Laird | 101 (MC) | $0

 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$277,411	$221,999	TO
Avg Rank	43.6	59.0	TO
Made Cut	4	3	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Toms pulled through this week. Yeah!!!!

Wells Fargo Championship

The US PGA Tour is in North Carolina this week to play the Wells Fargo Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wells Fargo Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Bubba Watson	10.40
2	Rory McIlroy	11.10
3	Jim Furyk	11.95
4	Phil Mickelson	14.35
5	David Toms	16.95
6	Nick Watney	18.65
7	Geoff Ogilvy	19.85
8	Trevor Immelman	21.70
9	George McNeill	24.70
10	Martin Kaymer	25.95
11	Angel Cabrera	27.10
12	John Senden	27.60
13	Robert Allenby	29.05
14	Sergio Garcia	30.20
15	Fredrik Jacobson	33.30

As with last week, I am going to stick with the CLi rankings this week and pick according to the CLi rankings.  Thus, my picks are Watson - last week's winner in New Orleans (analysis), McIlroy - who has continued to play well after his let down at The Masters (analysis), Furyk - who played well two weeks ago at Hilton Head and has won here in the past (analysis), Mickelson (analysis), and Toms - who has won here in the past (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the Wells Fargo Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Bubba Watson	10.40
2	Rory McIlroy	11.10
3	Jim Furyk	11.95
4	Phil Mickelson	14.35
5	David Toms	16.95

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Phil Mickelson
2. Bubba Watson
3. Rory McIlroy
4. Jim Furyk
5. Martin Laird

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Wells Fargo Championship

We have 4 players in common this week: Mickelson, Watson, McIlroy, and Furky.  Come on Toms!!!!

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wells Fargo Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Zurich Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Zurich Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Steve Stricker | 13 | $123,733
2. Nick Watney | 20 | $69,333
3. David Toms | 18 | $92,800
4. Rory Sabbatini | 123 (MC) | $0
5. Chris Couch | 51 | $15,155

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Justin Rose | 137 (MC) | $0
2. Nick Watney | 20 | $69,333
3. Steve Stricker | 13 | $123,733
4. Luke Donald | 8 | $172,800
5. Charley Hoffman | 40 | $24,320

 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$301,021	$390,186	TI
Avg Rank	45.0	43.6	TI
Made Cut	4	4	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 4 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.