Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Crowne Plaza Invitational

This week the US PGA Tour is back in my native state of Texas. This time it is to play the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial in Fort Worth.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial.

# Player CLi 
1 Jason Day  11.60
2 Zach Johnson  11.95
3 Pat Perez  13.00
4 David Toms  17.15
5 Scott Verplank  17.65
6 Ben Crane  18.85
7 Brian Davis  20.00
8 Tom Lehman  21.70
9 Stewart Cink  21.75
10 Tim Herron  25.45
11 Kevin Na  27.65
12 Ricky Barnes  28.80
13 Brandt Snedeker  29.95
14 Matt Kuchar  30.00
15 Steve Marino  30.15

There are no players with a CLi figure less than 10; nor is there a player with a CLi figure that is much different than any of the other players.  So there is not a clear favorite this week.

However, as with last week, I am going to stick with the CLi rankings for the most part and pick the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Day, Johnson, Perez, and Toms.

Day (analysis) has finished in the top 10 in the last 3 tournaments he has played in, including a 2nd in the Masters in early April. In addition, he has a 4th place finish in this tournament back in 2009.

Johnson (analysis) won this tournament last year and has a 6th place and a 12th place finish the past 30 days.

Perez (analysis) has finished in the top 10 in this tournament the last 3 times he has played this tournament (in 2010, 2008, and 2007). In addition, he has two 6th place finishes in the past 30 days.

Toms (analysis), who lost in a playoff last week at the PLAYERS Championship, has been playing well of late. He has finished in the top 25 in his past 5 starts. Since 2000, he he not missed a cut at this tournament and has placed in the top 10 four times.

As for my fifth pick, I am going to skip over Verplank and pick Crane.

Verplank (analysis) plays courses like Colonial well, has been playing well lately, and is playing in his native state of Texas (although, he has lived in Oklahoma since his college days at OSU). However, Crane (analysis) has a similar CLi figure as Verplank. He plays Colonial well and has been playing well lately. Then to top it off, he lives just north of the DFW area...so he will be sleeping in his own bed this week and eating home-style cooking.  That should help him.

Below are my 5 picks for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial :

# Player CLi 
1 Jason Day  11.60
2 Zach Johnson  11.95
3 Pat Perez  13.00
4 David Toms  17.15
5 Ben Crane  18.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Jason Day
  2. Steve Marino
  3. Hunter Mahan
  4. David Toms
  5. Pat Perez
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

We have 3 players in common this week: Day, Toms, and Perez.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

1 comment:

  1. I do like agreeing with 3 of your top 5 picks. The value on Toms seems pretty good to me at 30-to-1.

    ReplyDelete