Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Season Finished; Taking a Break Until the Start of 2011 Season

It looks like I lost for the first time to the Tour Insider.  Rob Bolton, the Tour Insider this year, won 21 of the 44 events we made picks.  I won 19 events, and we drew the remaining 4 events.  Congrats Bolton!!!!  Hopefully I will do better next year.

For now, I am going to be taking a break until the end of the year.  It is now my time to finish up teaching this semester and do some work on my dissertation.  See you all at the start of the 2011 US PGA Tour golf season in January. Thanks for all of your support.

In the meantime, if you want to run your own Golf CLi you can do so for any of the tournaments on the major tours by setting up an account on golfcli.com.

Monday, November 15, 2010

Children's Miracle Network Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Joe Durant | 40 | $18,330
  2. Charles Howell III | 9 | $126,900
  3. Tom Pernice Jr | 30 | $26,179
  4. Davis Love III | 19 | $58,985
  5. Justin Leonard | 85 (MC) | $0
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Webb Simpson | 40 | $18,330
  2. Brendon De Jonge | 30 | $26,179
  3. Spencer Levin | 3 | $244,400
  4. Charles Howell III | 9 | $126,900
  5. John Senden | 12 | $92,120
 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$230,394$507,919TI
Avg Rank36.618.8TI
Made Cut45TI
Outcome----TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 19 wins to the Tour Outsider, 21 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Children's Miracle Network Classic

This week the US PGA Tour is back in the USA playing the last of the Fall Finish tournament. The Children's Miracle Network Classic is being played in Florida at the Disney World Resort --- where dreams come true.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Children's Miracle Network Classic.

# Player CLi
1 Joe Durant  7.55
2 Charles Howell III  9.80
3 Tom Pernice Jr  13.65
4 Davis Love III  14.10
5 Brian Davis  15.50
6 Justin Leonard  16.05
7 Pat Perez  16.40
8 George McNeill  18.50
9 Chris Stroud  18.80
10 Mark Wilson  21.30
11 John Senden  21.80
12 Cameron Beckman  21.95
13 Tom Lehman  22.25
14 Heath Slocum  22.25
15 Ryan Palmer  23.80

I like the top 4 in the CLi rankings: Durant, Howell III, Pernice, and Love. I actually like the player in the 5th position: Brian Davis. He placed 2nd in the recent tournament in Malaysia. However, I am looking at the 6th player, Justin Leonard, and his record in this tournament and leading up to this tournament. He has played well at Disney, and has played solidly leading up to this tournament. He hasn't placed in the top ten recently, but I could see him push it hard this week to try to end the season on a good note.

Below are my 5 picks for the Children's Miracle Network Classic :

# Player CLi
1 Joe Durant  7.55
2 Charles Howell III  9.80
3 Tom Pernice Jr  13.65
4 Davis Love III  14.10
5 Justin Leonard  16.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Webb Simpson
  2. Brendon De Jonge
  3. Spencer Levin
  4. Charles Howell III
  5. John Senden
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Children's Miracle Network Classic

We have 1 player in common this week: Howell III.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Children's Miracle Network Classic :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Sunday, November 7, 2010

HSBC Champions Tournament Review

It is now time to review the picks for the HSBC Champions Tournament to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
  1. Nick Watney | 21 | $68,000
  2. Ernie Els | 6 | $145,714
  3. Luke Donald | 3 | $372,500
  4. Adam Scott | 25 | $60,200
  5. Ryo Ishikawa | 41 | $44,000
Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.
  1. Martin Kaymer | 30 | $55,500
  2. Graeme McDowell | 34 | $51,000
  3. Luke Donald | 3 | $372,500
  4. Nick Watney | 21 | $68,000
  5. Padraig Harrington | 16 | $77,200
 Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour OutsiderTour InsiderWinner
Total Earnings$690,414$624,200TO
Avg Rank19.220.8TO
Made Cut55DRAW
Outcome----TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 19 wins to the Tour Outsider, 20 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

HSBC Champions Tournament

This week the US PGA Tour stays in Asia to play a World Golf Championship event, the HSBC Champions Tournament.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the HSBC Champions Tournament.

# Player CLi
1 Nick Watney  5.6
2 Ernie Els  6.4
3 Luke Donald  8.3
4 Adam Scott  8.6
5 Robert Allenby  11.2
6 Ryo Ishikawa  13.1
7 Kyung-tae Kim  13.8
8 Arjun Atwal  15.4
9 K.J. Choi  16.5
10 Martin Kaymer  17.4
11 Padraig Harrington  17.7
12 Retief Goosen  17.9
13 Paul Casey  20.8
14 Lee Westwood  23.1
15 Tiger Woods  23.8

I like the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Watney, Els, Donald, Scott, and Allenby. However, none of them are Asia-based. And with this tournament being played in Asia (China), I want to have at least one player in this "World Golf Championship" that is "local". So I will by pass Allenby to pick Ishikawa. Allenby is playing well, but so is Ishikawa....in the Japanese events he has played over the past month. Hopefully he will take his play to China and play well this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the HSBC Champions Tournament :

# Player CLi
1 Nick Watney  5.6
2 Ernie Els  6.4
3 Luke Donald  8.3
4 Adam Scott  8.6
5 Ryo Ishikawa  13.1


Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Martin Kaymer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Luke Donald
  4. Nick Watney
  5. Padraig Harrington
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: HSBC Champions Tournament

We have 2 players in common this week: Donald and Watney.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the HSBC Champions Tournament :

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%