Thursday, January 31, 2013

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-01-30

With Alex Miceli writing an article earlier this week about the current odds for the 2013 Masters, I thought I would run a Golf CLi calculation and compare the CLi results at this time with what Vegas is saying the odds are at this time for this year's Masters.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-01-29.

# Player Odds
1 TIGER WOODS 9-2
2 RORY McILROY 6-1
3 PHIL MICKELSON 15-1
4 LUKE DONALD 25-1
5 LEE WESTWOOD 25-1
6 ADAM SCOTT 25-1
7 JUSTIN ROSE 25-1
8 BUBBA WATSON 25-1
9 DUSTIN JOHNSON 25-1
10 LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN 25-1
11 JASON DUFNER 30-1
12 RICKIE FOWLER 30-1
13 CHARL SCHWARTZEL 30-1
14 NICK WATNEY 30-1
15 BRANDT SNEDEKER 30-1

Source: Miceli's article, slightly re-sorted to put the players in the proper order

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-01-30.

# Player CLi 
1  Charl Schwartzel 5.50
2  Bubba Watson 10.00
3  Brandt Snedeker 10.25
4  Matt Kuchar 10.75
5  Tiger Woods 11.50
6  Adam Scott 11.75
7  Fred Couples 12.50
8  Ryan Moore 13.75
9  Luke Donald 15.50
10  Jim Furyk 15.50
11  Jason Day 16.00
12  Louis Oosthuizen 16.75
13  Ian Poulter 18.50
14  Phil Mickelson 21.00
15  Padraig Harrington 22.00


Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
300%0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
425%25%
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

No comments:

Post a Comment