Wednesday, February 20, 2013

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-02-20

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started several weeks ago in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  The post was spurred by Alex Miceli's article regarding the current odds for the tournament.

As with last week, I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-19.

# Player Odds 
1 Tiger Woods  10/1
2 Rory McIlroy  12/1
3 Charl Schwartzel  15/1
4 Luke Donald  15/1
5 Ian Poulter  20/1
6 Hunter Mahan  25/1
7 Louis Oosthuizen  25/1
8 Adam Scott  25/1
9 Justin Rose  25/1
10 Lee Westwood  25/1
11 Martin Kaymer  30/1
12 Jason Dufner  30/1
13 Matt Kuchar  30/1
14 Keegan Bradley  30/1
15 Webb Simpson  30/1

Source: Vegas Insider

The big change in the Vegas odds this week is that Mickelson dropped out of the top 15 for some reason.  He was third last week.  Poulter moved to 5th place this week.  He wasn't in the top 15 last week.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-20.

# Player CLi 
1  Phil Mickelson 3.75
2  Charl Schwartzel 5.50
3  Jason Day 8.25
4  Brandt Snedeker 9.25
5  Tiger Woods 9.50
6  Bubba Watson 12.50
7  Hunter Mahan 13.75
8  Matt Kuchar 14.00
9  Steve Stricker 14.00
10  Adam Scott 14.25
11  Luke Donald 16.00
12  Fredrik Jacobson 16.50
13  Fred Couples 17.25
14  Ryan Moore 18.25
15  Rory McIlroy 19.75

Compared to last week, the top four stayed the same (Mickelson, Schwartzel, Day, and Snedeker).  Woods moved up two spots from 7th to 5th, and Mahan moved from 13th to 7th.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
300%0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
425%25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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