Wednesday, February 13, 2013

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-02-13

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started several weeks ago in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  As mentioned before, the post was spurred by Alex Miceli's article regarding the current odds for the tournament.

I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-12.

# Player Odds
1 Tiger Woods  4/1
2 Rory McIlroy  13/2
3 Phil Mickelson  12/1
4 Luke Donald  25/1
5 Bubba Watson  25/1
6 Justin Rose  25/1
7 Lee Westwood  25/1
8 Adam Scott  25/1
9 Jason Dufner  30/1
10 Rickie Fowler  30/1
11 Dustin Johnson  30/1
12 Louis Oosthuizen  40/1
13 Nick Watney  40/1
14 Hunter Mahan  40/1
15 Matt Kuchar  40/1

Source: Vegas Insider

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-13.

# Player CLi 
1  Phil Mickelson 2.50
2  Charl Schwartzel 6.75
3  Jason Day 9.25
4  Brandt Snedeker 9.25
5  Bubba Watson 10.00
6  Matt Kuchar 11.00
7  Tiger Woods 11.50
8  Adam Scott 13.25
9  Fred Couples 14.25
10  Luke Donald 15.75
11  Ian Poulter 18.00
12  Lee Westwood 18.00
13  Hunter Mahan 18.75
14  Jim Furyk 19.50
15  Ryan Moore 20.25

Compared to last week, Mickelson has stayed on top, but his CLi figure has increased from 1.50 to 2.50.  And actually, all of the CLi figures has increased slightly compared to last week.  This indicates that the CLi predication is slightly weaker as compared to last week.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
300%0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
425%25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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