Wednesday, February 27, 2013

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-02-27

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started several weeks ago in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  The post was spurred by Alex Miceli's article regarding the current odds for the tournament.

As with the last two weeks, I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-26.

# Player Odds
1 Tiger Woods  11/2
2 Rory McIlroy  13/1
3 Charl Schwartzel  15/1
4 Justin Rose  15/1
5 Louis Oosthuizen  25/1
6 Lee Westwood  25/1
7 Graeme McDowell  25/1
8 Fredrik Jacobson  25/1
9 Jason Day  30/1
10 Keegan Bradley  30/1
11 Jason Dufner  30/1
12 Dustin Johnson  35/1
13 Martin Kaymer  35/1
14 Rickie Fowler  40/1
15 Peter Hanson  55/1

Source: Vegas Insider

There are no changes in the Vegas odds this week in the top 3.  Woods, McIlroy, and Schwartzel remained 1-2-3.  Rose was a big mover up, as he moved 4 spots compared to last week (from 8th to 4th).

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-02-27.

# Player CLi 
1  Jason Day 3.25
2  Phil Mickelson 3.50
3  Matt Kuchar 6.25
4  Charl Schwartzel 6.75
5  Tiger Woods 9.00
6  Brandt Snedeker 9.25
7  Hunter Mahan 9.50
8  Bubba Watson 12.25
9  Fredrik Jacobson 14.50
10  Steve Stricker 14.50
11  Justin Rose 15.00
12  Luke Donald 16.00
13  Ian Poulter 16.75
14  Adam Scott 16.75
15  Louis Oosthuizen 17.25

This week Mickelson lost his top spot to Day, as Day moved from 2nd to 1st in the CLI rankings.  Schwartzel dropped 2 spots to 4th, while Kuchar was a big mover up -- moving from 8th to 3rd.  his win last week at in the Accentur World Match Play was a big factor in that move.  Last year's Masters runner-up, Oosthuizen, is back in the top 15 after dropping out for two weeks.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
300%0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
425%25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

No comments:

Post a Comment