The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-13

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 6th, Feb 13th, Feb 20th, Feb 27th, and Mar 6th.  This is the 7th update of the predictions for next month's Masters.  The tournament is a month away.

As with the last two weeks, I didn't see Alex post an updated version of the Vegas odds, so I grabbed them from another web site this week.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-12.

#	Player	Odds
1	Tiger Woods	4/1
2	Phil Mickelson	10/1
3	Rory McIlroy	12/1
4	Charl Schwartzel	25/1
5	Justin Rose	25/1
6	Lee Westwood	30/1
7	Luke Donald	30/1
8	Bubba Watson	30/1
9	Dustin Johnson	30/1
10	Adam Scott	30/1
11	Matt Kuchar	30/1
12	Jason Dufner	40/1
13	Rickie Fowler	40/1
14	Louis Oosthuizen	40/1
15	Nick Watney	40/1

Source: Vegas Insider

Tiger stayed on top with the best odds, but his odds improved from 11/2 to 4/1 (equivalent to 8/2) compared to last week.  Mickelson was the big mover this week, from 10th to 2nd.  Even though McIlroy dropped to 3rd, his odds actually improved (from 18/1 to 12/1).  Schwartzel stayed in 4th, but his odds dropped from 18/1 to 25/1.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-13.

#	Player	CLi
1	Phil Mickelson	1.75
2	Tiger Woods	3.00
3	Jason Day	6.50
4	Adam Scott	7.50
5	Brandt Snedeker	9.25
6	Charl Schwartzel	10.00
7	Hunter Mahan	12.25
8	Steve Stricker	13.75
9	Justin Rose	15.50
10	Bubba Watson	17.00
11	Fred Couples	17.50
12	Lee Westwood	18.00
13	Fredrik Jacobson	19.50
14	Graeme McDowell	19.50
15	Matt Kuchar	23.00

Mickelson has stayed in the top spot for a 2nd week in a row (last week), and his CLi figure stayed the same (1.75).  Woods moved from 3rd to 2nd with his CLi figure dropping from 5.00 to 3.00.  Day dropped to 3rd place as his CLi figure increased from 3.50 to 6.50.  Scott was a big mover, placing 4th after not being in the top 15 last week.  He was 14th two weeks ago, and 10th three weeks ago.  So he has started to play better over the last couple of tournaments, and he is distancing himself from the poor finishes earlier in the season.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	0%	0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	25%	25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.