Wednesday, March 27, 2013

The Masters CLi Prediction as of 2013-03-27

This is a continuation of the weekly posts I started on January 30th in which I post the current Golf CLi calculations for the 2013 Masters.  I have since posted an update each week: Feb 13thFeb 6thFeb 13thFeb 20thFeb 27thMar 6th, Mar 13th, and Mar 20th.  This is the 9th weekly update of the predictions.  Next week will be the last one of these types of posts as the Masters is less than two weeks away.

Here are the odds for the top 15 players for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-26.

# Player Odds 
1 Tiger Woods  3/1
2 Phil Mickelson  10/1
3 Rory McIlroy  12/1
4 Brandt Snedeker  18/1
5 Charl Schwartzel  25/1
6 Justin Rose  25/1
7 Lee Westwood  30/1
8 Luke Donald  30/1
9 Bubba Watson  30/1
10 Dustin Johnson  30/1
11 Adam Scott  30/1
12 Matt Kuchar  30/1
13 Jason Dufner  40/1
14 Rickie Fowler  40/1
15 Louis Oosthuizen  40/1

...6 other players also have 40/1 odds (Watney, Mahan, Bradley, Garcia, Poulter, and Day)

Source: Vegas Insider

The top 3 players didn't change much this week, with Woods, Mickelson, and McIlroy ranked 1st, 2nd, and 3rd.  Snedeker moved ahead of Schwartzel.  Last week Snedeker wasn't in the top 15 list, but he should have been.  There was an error in the Odds.  Looks like it is now fixed.

Here are the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the 2013 Masters as of 2013-03-27.

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 3.00
2  Brandt Snedeker 9.25
3  Justin Rose 9.75
4  Adam Scott 10.25
5  Phil Mickelson 11.25
6  Charl Schwartzel 11.50
7  Steve Stricker 13.75
8  Matt Kuchar 16.00
9  Fredrik Jacobson 17.50
10  Fred Couples 18.25
11  Graeme McDowell 19.50
12  Keegan Bradley 21.50
13  Hunter Mahan 22.25
14  Peter Hanson 22.50
15  Jason Day 24.00

Tiger stayed on top of the CLi rankings for the Masters.  Mickelson, who was 2nd last week, dropped to 5th after his missed cut at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week.  Schwartzel also dropped (to 6th) while Rose and Scott both moved up the rankings, to 3rd and 4th respectively.

Here is the Golf CLi calculation configuration for these results:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
300%0%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
425%25%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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