As I normally do, I am taking a break this time of the year until the next season starts on the USA PGA Tour. Thanks for all of your support.
In the meantime, if you want to run your own Golf CLi you can do so for any of the tournaments on the major tours by setting up an account on golfcli.com. There are some good tournaments taking place this month and next month on the European, Japan, Asian, AsiaOne, and South African tours, along with the Q-schools.
Wishing everyone happy holidays, where ever you are located. See you in the new year.
Sunday, November 27, 2011
Summing Up The Year
This is a post to sum up the results for the year between the Tour Outsider (me) and the Tour Insider (Rob Bolton -- for a 2nd year).
For a second year in a row, I have lost to the Rob Bolton, who has graciously and unknowingly played the Tour Insider role in my competition between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider.
Prior to having Bolton as the Tour Insider, I had not lost to the Tour Insider (the first 3 years of the competition). However, last year I lost to Bolton -- 19-21-4 (TO, TI, Draws). That was a close race. However, this year, I lost in a big fashion to Bolton -- 12-30-3 (TO, TI, Draws). I am going to need to ante up my game next year so I don't have a third straight losing season.
Now in analyzing the results this year, I have put together a summary of some of the results. When looking at our combined picks, we did rather well (so if you use both of our picks, things turn out well).
In the 45 tournaments that we made picks, we had some winners, along with a good number of top 5s, top 10s, and top 25s.
Below is a summary of the aggregate figures for the season.
When looking at the results, it doesn't look like I lost as bad as I did. It probably means that I was close on many of the tournaments, and when I had my good picks, he also picked those players as well.
Here's to next year!!!
For a second year in a row, I have lost to the Rob Bolton, who has graciously and unknowingly played the Tour Insider role in my competition between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider.
Prior to having Bolton as the Tour Insider, I had not lost to the Tour Insider (the first 3 years of the competition). However, last year I lost to Bolton -- 19-21-4 (TO, TI, Draws). That was a close race. However, this year, I lost in a big fashion to Bolton -- 12-30-3 (TO, TI, Draws). I am going to need to ante up my game next year so I don't have a third straight losing season.
Now in analyzing the results this year, I have put together a summary of some of the results. When looking at our combined picks, we did rather well (so if you use both of our picks, things turn out well).
In the 45 tournaments that we made picks, we had some winners, along with a good number of top 5s, top 10s, and top 25s.
Below is a summary of the aggregate figures for the season.
| TO | TI | |||
| Number of Tournaments | 45 | 45 | ||
| Number of Picks | 225 | 225 | ||
| Total Earnings | $25,327,129 | $31,753,627 | ||
| Average Rank | 40.65 | 35.95 | ||
| Number of Made Cuts | 173 | 183 | ||
| % of Made Cuts | 77% | 81% | ||
| Number of Winners | 7 | 10 | ||
| % of Winners | 16% | 22% | ||
| Number of Top 5s | 30 | 37 | ||
| % of Top 5s | 13% | 16% | ||
| Number of Top 10s | 53 | 67 | ||
| % of Top 10s | 24% | 30% | ||
| Number of Top 25s | 113 | 123 | ||
| % of Top 25s | 50% | 55% |
When looking at the results, it doesn't look like I lost as bad as I did. It probably means that I was close on many of the tournaments, and when I had my good picks, he also picked those players as well.
Here's to next year!!!
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic Review
It is now time to review the picks for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic to see how the results turned out.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 30 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
The Tour Insider capped off the last tournament with a spectulactor win. Bolton did a wonderful job this year, and kicked by butt by achieving 30 wins. That is awesome, as there there are only 45 tournaments that we competed against one another. That means he won 66.7% of the time, which is Tiger-esque (pre marriage break-down).
This is the second year in a row that Bolton has won. I will need to get my act in gear next year to make sure he doesn't get the 3-peat. That gives me some incentive to up my game.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
- Justin Rose | 93 (MC) | $0
- Spencer Levin | 37 | $20,210
- Trevor Immelman | 6 | $147,110
- Nick O'Hern | 6 | $147,110
- Charles Howell III | 76 (MC) | $0
- Justin Rose | 93 (MC) | $0
- Luke Donald | 1 | $846,000
- Spencer Levin | 37 | $20,210
- Webb Simpson | 6 | $147,110
- Gary Woodland | 12 | $95,175
| Tour Outsider | Tour Insider | Winner | |
| Total Earnings | $314,430 | $1,108,495 | TI |
| Avg Rank | 43.6 | 29.8 | TI |
| Made Cut | 3 | 4 | TI |
| Outcome | -- | -- | TI |
The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 30 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
The Tour Insider capped off the last tournament with a spectulactor win. Bolton did a wonderful job this year, and kicked by butt by achieving 30 wins. That is awesome, as there there are only 45 tournaments that we competed against one another. That means he won 66.7% of the time, which is Tiger-esque (pre marriage break-down).
This is the second year in a row that Bolton has won. I will need to get my act in gear next year to make sure he doesn't get the 3-peat. That gives me some incentive to up my game.
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic
This week is the last official event of the U.S. PGA Tour's season this year. The event, the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic, is played at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando (Florida). Orlando and Disney World are good places to be at this time of year....especially with family.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic.
As with last week, I am going to stick with the CLi rankings for my picks. At least this week there are several players with CLi figures below 10....which is a better sign that the CLi calculation is more accurate.
Below are my 5 picks for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic :
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic
We have 2 players in common this week: Rose and Levin.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Justin Rose | 6.95 |
| 2 | Spencer Levin | 9.95 |
| 3 | Trevor Immelman | 10.65 |
| 4 | Nick O'Hern | 11.70 |
| 5 | Charles Howell III | 13.30 |
| 6 | Kevin Streelman | 13.95 |
| 7 | John Senden | 15.55 |
| 8 | Jerry Kelly | 15.90 |
| 9 | Roland Thatcher | 20.10 |
| 10 | Tom Lehman | 22.25 |
| 11 | Davis Love III | 23.90 |
| 12 | Jeffrey Overton | 25.10 |
| 13 | John Rollins | 25.85 |
| 14 | Mark Calcavecchia | 26.40 |
| 15 | Michael Allen | 26.90 |
As with last week, I am going to stick with the CLi rankings for my picks. At least this week there are several players with CLi figures below 10....which is a better sign that the CLi calculation is more accurate.
Below are my 5 picks for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic :
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Justin Rose | 6.95 |
| 2 | Spencer Levin | 9.95 |
| 3 | Trevor Immelman | 10.65 |
| 4 | Nick O'Hern | 11.70 |
| 5 | Charles Howell III | 13.30 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Justin Rose
- Luke Donald
- Spencer Levin
- Webb Simpson
- Gary Woodland
Bolton's Power Rankings: Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic
We have 2 players in common this week: Rose and Levin.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Sunday, October 16, 2011
McGladrey Classic Review
It is now time to review the picks for the McGladrey Classic to see how the results turned out.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
The Total Earnings category was a draw.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was a draw.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 29 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
This week it boiled down to if Toms or Rollins played better. Both players missed the cut. However, Toms, was one shot better and 14 spots better in rankings. Thus, we tied in two of the categories, and Bolton won the rank average category.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
- John Rollins | 85 (MC) | $0
- Webb Simpson | 2 | $432,000
- Charles Howell III | 32 | $19,467
- Bo Van Pelt | 85 (MC) | $0
- Matt Kuchar | 20 | $43,333
- Webb Simpson | 2 | $432,000
- Charles Howell III | 32 | $19,467
- David Toms | 71 (MC) | $0
- Matt Kuchar | 20 | $43,333
- Bo Van Pelt | 85 (MC) | $0
| Tour Outsider | Tour Insider | Winner | |
| Total Earnings | $494,800 | $494,800 | Draw |
| Avg Rank | 44.8 | 42.0 | TI |
| Made Cut | 3 | 3 | DRAW |
| Outcome | -- | -- | TI |
The Total Earnings category was a draw.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was a draw.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 29 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
This week it boiled down to if Toms or Rollins played better. Both players missed the cut. However, Toms, was one shot better and 14 spots better in rankings. Thus, we tied in two of the categories, and Bolton won the rank average category.
Monday, October 10, 2011
McGladrey Classic
Back to the east coast we go. This week the US PGA Tour is on the Atlantic seaboard in Sea Island, Georgia to play the McGladrey Classic.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the McGladrey Classic.
Although there are no players with CLi figures below 10 (which is usually a sign that the CLi is not going to be a good predictor this week), I am going to stick with the CLi rankings.
Below are my 5 picks for the McGladrey Classic :
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: McGladrey Classic
We have 4 players in common this week: Simpson, Howell III, Kuchar, and Van Pelt. Come'n Rollins!!!
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the McGladrey Classic:
As you will notice, I have changed my standard CLi settings this week. I have changed the number of previous instances of the tournament from 5 to 1 and put less emphasis on the previous instance of the tourmament and more emphasis on the most recent playing of the players. The reason is because this tournament is young as it was started last year (2010). So the data from this tournament is limited to only 1 year, and thus I want to put more emphasis on the data leading up to the tournament this year.
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the McGladrey Classic.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | John Rollins | 11.0 |
| 2 | Webb Simpson | 12.0 |
| 3 | Charles Howell III | 14.7 |
| 4 | Bo Van Pelt | 17.4 |
| 5 | Matt Kuchar | 20.4 |
| 6 | Jerry Kelly | 21.3 |
| 7 | David Toms | 22.0 |
| 8 | Robert Allenby | 23.7 |
| 9 | Chris Stroud | 29.5 |
| 10 | Chad Campbell | 29.7 |
| 11 | Arjun Atwal | 30.8 |
| 12 | Carl Pettersson | 33.6 |
| 13 | Heath Slocum | 34.4 |
| 14 | Tim Petrovic | 36.4 |
| 15 | Mark Wilson | 36.5 |
Although there are no players with CLi figures below 10 (which is usually a sign that the CLi is not going to be a good predictor this week), I am going to stick with the CLi rankings.
Below are my 5 picks for the McGladrey Classic :
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | John Rollins | 11.0 |
| 2 | Webb Simpson | 12.0 |
| 3 | Charles Howell III | 14.7 |
| 4 | Bo Van Pelt | 17.4 |
| 5 | Matt Kuchar | 20.4 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Webb Simpson
- Charles Howell III
- David Toms
- Matt Kuchar
- Bo Van Pelt
Bolton's Power Rankings: McGladrey Classic
We have 4 players in common this week: Simpson, Howell III, Kuchar, and Van Pelt. Come'n Rollins!!!
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the McGladrey Classic:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 1 | 15% | 15% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 15% | 15% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
As you will notice, I have changed my standard CLi settings this week. I have changed the number of previous instances of the tournament from 5 to 1 and put less emphasis on the previous instance of the tourmament and more emphasis on the most recent playing of the players. The reason is because this tournament is young as it was started last year (2010). So the data from this tournament is limited to only 1 year, and thus I want to put more emphasis on the data leading up to the tournament this year.
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Sunday, October 9, 2011
Frys.com Open Review
It is now time to review the picks for the Frys.com Open to see how the results turned out.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 28 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
We both had Molder, who capped off this week with his first US PGA Tour event by winning the tournament in a playoff over Briny Baird. Both players were going after their first win on the big tour, so they were hungry for a win. Congrats to both of them.
Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.
- Tim Herron | 105 (MC) | $0
- Bryce Molder | 1 | $900,000
- Ben Crane | 112 (MC) | $0
- Nick O'Hern | 81 (MC) | $0
- Chad Campbell | 49 | $12,175
- Spencer Levin | 7 | $130,313
- Bryce Molder | 1 | $900,000
- Brandt Jobe | 42 | $16,088
- Hunter Haas | 42 | $16,088
- Scott Piercy | 67 | $10,200
| Tour Outsider | Tour Insider | Winner | |
| Total Earnings | $912,175 | $1,072,689 | TI |
| Avg Rank | 69.6 | 31.8 | TI |
| Made Cut | 2 | 5 | TI |
| Outcome | -- | -- | TI |
The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.
The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.
The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.
The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 28 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.
We both had Molder, who capped off this week with his first US PGA Tour event by winning the tournament in a playoff over Briny Baird. Both players were going after their first win on the big tour, so they were hungry for a win. Congrats to both of them.
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