Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Tour Outsider: Buick Invitational

[ Sorry for being late in posting this week. I was tied up studying for and taking an exam --- the fun GMAT -- for my Ph.D. work. ]

The US PGA Tour is in southern California this week to play the Buick Invitational.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.20
2 Mark Calcavecchia 10.45
3 Stewart Cink 13.35
4 Charles Howell III 13.50
5 Brandt Snedeker 16.10
6 Jesper Parnevik 16.70
7 Bubba Watson 19.20
8 Tim Clark 20.90
9 Phil Mickelson 22.45
10 Shigeki Maruyama 23.45
11 Nick Watney 23.55
12 Ben Crane 25.20
13 Stephen Marino 26.05
14 Jerry Kelly 28.10
15 Troy Matteson 28.70

This week there is only one player that has a CLi below 10, and that is Tiger Woods. His CLi is a low 1.20, whereas the next player in the list, Mark Calcavecchia, has a CLi of 10.45. So the CLi is basically saying that Woods has a very, very good chance of playing well. Go figure, he likes southern California and Torrey Pines. Therefore, it would be foolish not to pick Woods in this tournament. Other than that, I will have to use my judgment going down the CLi list to see who looks good this week.

I am going to skip Calcavecchia. He is playing well, but he might be a little tired having played 3 straight tournaments leading up to this tournament. Plus, he missed the cut at the Bob Hope last week. He played well the first round in that tournament, but then tailed off each round after that (he played 4 rounds before the cut was made).

After passing over Calcavecchia, I am going to go with Cink and Howell next in the list. Then I will skip over Snedeker as he doesn't have a whole lot of experience in this tournament -- even though he did place 3rd here last year. After skipping over Snedeker, I am going to pick Parnevik. Then I will skip Watson and make the gutsy Tim Clark my fifth pick.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Buick Invitational:

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.20
2 Stewart Cink 13.35
3 Charles Howell III 13.50
4 Jesper Parnevik 16.70
5 Tim Clark 20.90

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have one player in common: Woods.

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