Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Sony Open in Hawaii

This week the US PGA Tour stays in Hawaii to play the second tournament of the 2010 season: the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Even though this is the second tournament of the season, it is the first full field tournament. Players should be "moving and grooving" and itching to play well so they get off to a good start for the season.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Sony Open.

# Player Cli
1 Rory Sabbatini 5.80
2 Steve Stricker 9.55
3 Zach Johnson 9.80
4 Troy Matteson 14.10
5 Stewart Cink 19.95
6 Stephen Ames 20.40
7 Y.E. Yang 20.80
8 Tim Clark 21.20
9 George McNeill 21.75
10 Chad Campbell 23.20
11 Pat Perez 24.10
12 Luke Donald 26.00
13 Ernie Els 27.20
14 Jeff Klauk 27.80
15 Shigeki Maruyama 28.60

I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings this week: Sabbatini, Stricker, Johnson, Matteson, and Cink. Out of these 5, Matteson is my questionable player in terms of fans knowing him. However, he has played 31st or better in the last 4 Sony Opens, with an 8th place finish in 2008. Of the 16 rounds he has played in this tournament, he has shot in the 60s 11 times, with the his highest score being 72. So he plays well and consistent in this tournament.

I am solely relying on intelligence of the CLi. Let's hope that is a good strategy this week. Players should at least be enjoying the warm weather when it is still rather cold in many other players in the northern hemisphere.

Below are my 5 picks for the Sony Open:

# Player Cli
1 Rory Sabbatini 5.80
2 Steve Stricker 9.55
3 Zach Johnson 9.80
4 Troy Matteson 14.10
5 Stewart Cink 19.95

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Sony Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
7 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

4 comments:

  1. Hey John,

    This week, my top 5 are Stricker, Z. Johnson, Luke Donald, Ernie Els, and Robert Allenby. I also like Stephen Ames and Tim Clark. The Sony Open tends to have windy conditions, so good ball strikers seem to have good results.

    Baummer

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  2. Baummer,

    Watch out for Allenby's sprained ankle...I like Stricker, Sabbatini, Gay, Kelly and Howell The Third.

    Harvey

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  3. Bummer for Allenby. Did not see that before I made my picks. Hope he does well anyway. Think I would pick Tim Clark in his spot.

    Baummer

    ReplyDelete
  4. Baummer,
    Great job on picking Allenby, I don't know how he did it on that ankle especially for how bad they were saying it was hurting him.

    Harvey

    ReplyDelete