Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Zurich Classic

This week the US PGA Tour is in Louisiana to play the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

# Player CLi
1 K.J. Choi 17.50
2 Ian Poulter 20.20
3 Jeff Maggert 25.00
4 Tommy Armour III 26.55
5 Bubba Watson 29.55
6 Stuart Appleby 30.85
7 Charles Howell III 31.10
8 Woody Austin 31.95
9 Brian Davis 32.05
10 Jerry Kelly 32.25
11 Justin Rose 35.25
12 Chris Couch 36.70
13 J.J. Henry 39.30
14 John Senden 41.55
15 Steve Marino 42.65

Wow, what is happening with the CLi. For the past 3 weeks, there has not been a player with a CLi figure less than 10. And in the case this week, only one player has a CLi figure less than 20.

I will go with the top 3: Choi, Poulter, and Maggert. Maggert missed the cut last week in Hilton Head. However, I see him bouncing back and playing well in Louisiana. He plays well in this tournament, and it is close to his home in Texas.

After that I am going to skip over Armour (the 50 year old might party too much in New Orleans on Bourbon street). Then I will go with Bubba Watson. I would normally pick Appleby as I think he would be a good pick for this tournament. However, I think Howell is an even better pick as he has been quietly playing well this year and could possibly break through with a win this week. If not a win, at least a top 10. That means that I have a player with a CLi figure of over 30 in my picks. Let's see if that works or not this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans:

# Player CLi
1 K.J. Choi 17.50
2 Ian Poulter 20.20
3 Jeff Maggert 25.00
4 Bubba Watson 29.55
5 Charles Howell III 31.10

Below is the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

  1. Charles Howell III
  2. Steve Marino
  3. Steve Stricker
  4. Rory Sabbatini
  5. Brian Davis

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Zurich Classic of New Orleans

We have 1 player in common this week: Howell.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

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