Sunday, February 17, 2008

Tour Outsider: Northern Trust Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Northern Trust Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Adam Scott 5.95 14 29 38 62 $96,100
2 Rory Sabbatini 6.65 44 41 13 49 $21,080
3 Phil Mickelson 7.35 1 1 1 5 $1,116,000
4 Anthony Kim 8.35 MC MC 119 75 $0
5 Padraig Harrington 19.95 3 7 9 14 $359,600

This week I had a winner in Mickelson. Actually, both Shedloski and I had a winner with Mickelson. Hopefully my other picks out did his, including my pick of Harrington who placed 3rd.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $1,592,780 $1,435,641 TO
Avg Rank 36.2 26.4 TI
Made Cut 4 4 DRAW
Outcome -- -- DRAW

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament was a draw overall.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 4 wins to the Tour Outsider, 2 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Adam Scott 5.95 14 29 38 62 $96,100
2 Rory Sabbatini 6.65 44 41 13 49 $21,080
3 Phil Mickelson 7.35 1 1 1 5 $1,116,000
4 Anthony Kim 8.35 MC MC 119 75 $0
5 Lee Westwood 11.35 MC MC 126 90 $0
6 Trevor Immelman 17.45 MC MC 87 56 $0
7 Charles Howell III 18.65 55 54 30 33 $14,074
8 Fred Funk 19.45 70 54 58 68 $12,152
9 Padraig Harrington 19.95 3 7 9 14 $359,600
10 Robert Allenby 23.70 7 23 2 22 $186,775
11 K.J. Choi 26.25 7 7 9 1 $186,775
12 Stuart Appleby 27.65 7 4 13 14 $186,775
13 Chad Campbell 28.55 11 13 4 3 $142,600
14 Steve Elkington 28.90 MC MC 79 75 $0
15 Jim Furyk 28.95 MC MC 112 125 $0

Monday, February 11, 2008

Tour Outsider: Northern Trust Open

The US PGA Tour stays in California this week to play the Northern Trust Open.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Adam Scott 5.95
2 Rory Sabbatini 6.65
3 Phil Mickelson 7.35
4 Anthony Kim 8.35
5 Lee Westwood 11.35
6 Trevor Immelman 17.45
7 Charles Howell III 18.65
8 Fred Funk 19.45
9 Padraig Harrington 19.95
10 Robert Allenby 23.70
11 K.J. Choi 26.25
12 Stuart Appleby 27.65
13 Chad Campbell 28.55
14 Steve Elkington 28.90
15 Jim Furyk 28.95

The top 4 players in the CLi rankings all have CLi figures below 10, so will go with them. Then will go further down the list and pick Harrington, as I need a player that will make the cut first and then place well second (i.e. a player that is almost guaranteed to make the cut and earn a paycheck this week).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Northern Trust Open:

Rank Player CLi
1 Adam Scott 5.95
2 Rory Sabbatini 6.65
3 Phil Mickelson 7.35
4 Anthony Kim 8.35
5 Padraig Harrington 19.95

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have two players in common: Scott and Mickelson.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Tour Outsider: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am Review

It is now time to review the picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Phil Mickelson 5.10 MC 121 52 42 $0
2 Mike Weir 8.15 14 45 63 135 $87,360
3 J.B. Holmes 8.35 MC 61 2 5 $12,540
4 Jim Furyk 12.15 14 25 103 42 $87,360
5 Kevin Sutherland 14.05 MC 149 169 149 $0

This week 3 players missed the cut. That is not good. It didn't help that J.B. Holmes went from 2nd to 61st in the 3rd round to miss the cut. As well, it didn't help that Mickelson made an 11 on the 14th hole during his 3rd round. However, that is what to expect when you are playing at Pebble Beach and on the Monterey peninsula.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $187,260 $131,760 TO
Avg Rank 71.8 103.8 TO
Made Cut 2 2 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw. This one hurts as I essentially had a two player "head start" before the tournament even started as Flesch and Watson (two of Shedloski's picks) were not even in the field. Even with that "head start" all I could "mustard" was a draw in this category....hmmm, not pretty this week.

The Tour Outsider won this tournament.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 4 wins to the Tour Outsider, 2 wins to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Phil Mickelson 5.10 MC 121 52 42 $0
2 Mike Weir 8.15 14 45 63 135 $87,360
3 J.B. Holmes 8.35 MC 61 2 5 $12,540
4 Daniel Chopra 11.60 MC 94 63 15 $0
5 Jim Furyk 12.15 14 25 103 42 $87,360
6 Kevin Sutherland 14.05 MC 149 169 149 $0
7 Padraig Harrington 22.70 14 19 38 61 $87,360
8 Brandt Snedeker 25.75 58 45 86 84 $13,320
9 Vijay Singh 26.50 2 1 12 26 $648,000
10 Ryan Moore 27.45 48 45 21 42 $15,264
11 Doug Labelle II 28.70 MC 71 63 26 $0
12 Fredrik Jacobson 29.80 14 5 12 84 $87,360
13 Jonathan Byrd 29.90 MC 94 127 135 $0
14 Robert Gamez 29.90 MC 83 116 108 $0
15 Tom Pernice Jr 30.55 34 37 63 26 $28,400

Monday, February 4, 2008

Tour Outsider: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

The US PGA Tour is in California this week to play the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Phil Mickelson 5.10
2 Mike Weir 8.15
3 J.B. Holmes 8.35
4 Daniel Chopra 11.60
5 Jim Furyk 12.15
6 Kevin Sutherland 14.05
7 Arron Oberholser 20.60
8 Padraig Harrington 22.70
9 Brandt Snedeker 25.75
10 Vijay Singh 26.50
11 Ryan Moore 27.45
12 Doug Labelle II 28.70
13 Fredrik Jacobson 29.80
14 Jonathan Byrd 29.90
15 Robert Gamez 29.90

This week I am going to go with the top 3 players in the CLi list, as they have a CLi figure below 10. Then I am going to skip Chopra and pick Furyk and Sutherland to round out my five players.

I am skipping over Chopra because he is tired, as he has played in 4 tournaments in the past 5 weeks. He played 3 good rounds at the FBR Open last week before ballooning to a 77 in the final round. However, Chopra has played well at the AT&T in the past, so it is hard to pass over him. In the end, I am thinking his energy level will wan a little as the AT&T is a tournament with long rounds as the pros are paired with amateurs.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am:

Rank Player CLi
1 Phil Mickelson 5.10
2 Mike Weir 8.15
3 J.B. Holmes 8.35
4 Jim Furyk 12.15
5 Kevin Sutherland 14.05

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have two players in common: Mickelson and Furyk.

It is interesting that Shedloski picked Flesch and Watson when both of those players are not even in the field at this time. Maybe he knows something that others don't....being that he is an "insider".

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Tour Outsider: FBR Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the FBR Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 9.90 43 6 25 58 $18,720
2 Mike Weir 16.00 43 36 37 58 $18,720
3 Kenny Perry 17.00 17 12 1 7 $90,000
4 Hunter Mahan 17.40 MC MC 79 58 $0
5 Stewart Cink 17.60 MC MC 71 89 $0

My five player team didn't do too well this week. If the tournament had ended after the 3rd round, I have been looking pretty good except for the two players that missed the cut. However, as it turned out, all three of my players that made the cut played poorly in the final round to drop my team's results dramatically.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $127,440 $752,610 TI
Avg Rank 50.2 43.4 TI
Made Cut 3 3 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TI

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The Tour Insider won this tournament.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 3 wins to the Tour Outsider, 2 wins to the Tour Insider, and 0 draws.

The difference this week was how my team played the final round compared to the way that Shedloski's team played the final round. My team moved down a combined 49 places in the final round. Shedloski's team moved up a combined 25 places in the final round. That is a net loss of 74 places just in the final round. Ouch.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 9.90 43 6 25 58 $18,720
2 Mike Weir 16.00 43 36 37 58 $18,720
3 Camilo Villegas 16.20 34 23 1 3 $28,400
4 Kenny Perry 17.00 17 12 1 7 $90,000
5 Hunter Mahan 17.40 MC MC 79 58 $0
6 Stewart Cink 17.60 MC MC 71 89 $0
7 Heath Slocum 18.60 MC MC 79 102 $0
8 Ryuji Imada 19.80 WD WD WD 122 $0
9 Steve Stricker 19.80 MC MC 108 89 $0
10 J.B. Holmes 20.00 1 1 1 13 $1,080,000
11 Phil Mickelson 22.40 2 6 17 13 $648,000
12 Fred Funk 23.60 54 32 48 32 $13,740
13 Charles Howell III 24.50 25 32 10 7 $46,800
14 Vijay Singh 24.60 MC MC 71 77 $0
15 Joe Durant 26.20 68 44 48 102 $12,240