Monday, August 11, 2008

Tour Outsider: PGA Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the PGA Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Vijay Singh 16.60 MC MC 105 90 $2,500
2 S Chad Campbell 19.20 MC MC 105 90 $2,500
3 S Hunter Mahan 21.15 MC MC 149 147 $2,500
4 S Phil Mickelson 23.75 7 13 14 8 $231,250
5 S Robert Allenby 34.45 31 47 59 63 $38,825

Ugh, another week with multiple players missing the cut. The past 4-5 weeks have not been good to me in regards to picking players that stay for the weekend to finish out a tournament.

Congrats for Shedloski picking a winner in Harrington.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $277,575 $1,634,100 TI
Avg Rank 79.4 49.4 TI
Made Cut 2 3 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Tour Insider won Made Cut category for the clean sweep of all three categories.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 13 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Kenny Perry 11.80 WD WD WD 136 $0
2 S Ken Duke 13.75 13 18 7 3 $137,250
3 S Vijay Singh 16.60 MC MC 105 90 $2,500
4 S Chad Campbell 19.20 MC MC 105 90 $2,500
5 S Hunter Mahan 21.15 MC MC 149 147 $2,500
6 S Tommy Armour III 22.55 MC MC 105 136 $2,500
7 S Phil Mickelson 23.75 7 13 14 8 $231,250
8 S Anthony Kim 23.95 55 39 26 8 $15,750
9 S Stewart Cink 24.75 MC MC 95 75 $2,500
10 S Briny Baird 29.90 42 22 14 14 $24,500
11 S Heath Slocum 31.15 MC MC 95 61 $2,500
12 S Robert Karlsson 31.85 20 22 26 1 $78,900
13 S Graeme McDowell 33.20 15 13 35 52 $107,060
14 S Lee Westwood 33.45 MC MC 125 109 $2,500
15 S Robert Allenby 34.45 31 47 59 63 $38,825

Posted by at 9:00 PM 0 comments

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Tour Outsider: PGA Championship

This week offers up the final major of the year. All tours around the world will look to Detroit, Michigan to see how their players will fair in the US PGA Championship.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 S Kenny Perry 11.80
2 S Ken Duke 13.75
3 S Vijay Singh 16.60
4 S Chad Campbell 19.20
5 S Hunter Mahan 21.15
6 S Tommy Armour III 22.55
7 S Phil Mickelson 23.75
8 S Anthony Kim 23.95
9 S Stewart Cink 24.75
10 S Briny Baird 29.90
11 S Heath Slocum 31.15
12 S Robert Karlsson 31.85
13 S Graeme McDowell 33.20
14 S Lee Westwood 33.45
15 S Robert Allenby 34.45

In looking at the Golf CLi rankings, this is a tough pick this week.

Kenny Perry is first in the list, and has been playing well lately. However, I think he is tired out and has already accomplished his goal of making the Ryder Cup team. And he does play well at PGA Championship venues. However, since he is tired both physically and mentally, I am going to pass on him.

Then you have Ken Duke showing up second in the Golf CLi rankings. He played well in his first PGA Championship last year (placed 18th) and has placed no higher than 18th in this past 3 starts. However, he doesn't have much experience in majors, having only played in 3 of them (2007 PGA Championship, 2007 and 2006 U.S. Open Championships). So, I am going to pass over Duke as well.

I don't normally pass over the first player, much less the first two players, in the Golf CLi rankings. So, it will be interesting to see if that hurts me when looking at the results come next Monday.

I will then pick the next 3 players in the list: Singh (who won last week at Bridgestone), Campbell (who plays well at the PGA and is playing well of late), and Mahan. Out of these 3, Mahan is the one that is a question mark for most. He doesn't have a lot of experience in majors, but he is playing well of late and has a very solid head on his shoulders. Hopefully, he will use his head and be patient this week to make a strong showing.

For my 4th pick, I need to pick Mickelson. He is the highest ranked player in the field, and without Tiger in the field, he looks to capitalize on adding another major to his resume.

For my final pick, I am going to go all the way down to the 15th spot and pick Allenby. There is not much difference in the CLi figures for the players ranked 10th through 15th in the CLi rankings. So the CLi is saying that those players all have around the same probability of playing well this week (i.e. placing 35th or better in this case).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the PGA Championship are:

Rank Player CLi
1 S Vijay Singh 16.60
2 S Chad Campbell 19.20
3 S Hunter Mahan 21.15
4 S Phil Mickelson 23.75
5 S Robert Allenby 34.45

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Mickelson and Singh.

Posted by at 8:40 AM 6 comments

Monday, August 4, 2008

Tour Outsider: Legends Reno-Tahoe Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Tim Herron 4.45 43 34 33 54 $9,620
2 S Joe Ogilvie 6.40 21 6 8 28 $28,162
3 S Bob Estes 8.85 49 25 6 19 $7,485
4 S Scott McCarron 11.35 MC MC 77 107 $0
5 S Kevin Na 18.60 11 25 24 38 $69,000

As with the previous couple of weeks, my picks didn't place in the top 10 and I had at least one player missed the cut. However, looking on the bright side, I am on the upward swing here in terms of getting better. I just wish I had no players miss the cut, and had 1 or 2 players place in the top 10. Maybe that will happen next week in the year's final major (the US PGA Championship).

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $114,267 $547,950 TI
Avg Rank 40.2 59.4 TO
Made Cut 4 3 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider. Even with two players withdrawing, Shedloski pulled in more than $500k. That is nice work. Too bad he had two players withdraw.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won Made Cut category.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 16 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Tim Herron 4.45 43 34 33 54 $9,620
2 S Joe Ogilvie 6.40 21 6 8 28 $28,162
3 S Bob Estes 8.85 49 25 6 19 $7,485
4 S John Merrick 10.30 8 4 2 2 $87,000
5 S Scott McCarron 11.35 MC MC 77 107 $0
6 S Patrick Sheehan 12.10 53 20 41 54 $6,980
7 S Michael Allen 12.20 43 34 21 6 $9,620
8 S Brian Davis 13.65 2 2 2 2 $264,000
9 S Charles Warren 13.95 58 25 12 6 $6,630
10 S Jeffrey Overton 17.75 37 55 24 1 $13,200
11 S Alexander Cejka 18.00 MC MC 86 83 $0
12 S Kevin Na 18.60 11 25 24 38 $69,000
13 S Chris Riley 18.75 WD WD WD 128 $0
14 S Nicholas Thompson 19.15 MC MC 77 38 $0
15 S Carlos Franco 21.35 14 10 12 6 $48,000

Posted by at 8:49 AM 0 comments

Tour Outsider: Bridgestone Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Bridgestone Invitational to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Jim Furyk 6.40 27 18 12 6 $60,000
2 S Kenny Perry 9.15 66 64 53 73 $35,750
3 S Stewart Cink 14.40 43 31 7 6 $46,600
4 S Sergio Garcia 15.25 36 23 35 20 $52,000
5 S Robert Allenby 15.50 20 33 35 49 $71,000

For a second week in a row, I have several players that missed the cut. Not good. Plus, there were no players in my picks that ended up on the top 5. My best result was with Furyk, who placed 14th.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $265,350 $512,350 TI
Avg Rank 38.4 33.4 TI
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.....because there was no cut in this tournament.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 12 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Jim Furyk 6.40 27 18 12 6 $60,000
2 S Kenny Perry 9.15 66 64 53 73 $35,750
3 S Stewart Cink 14.40 43 31 7 6 $46,600
4 S Sergio Garcia 15.25 36 23 35 20 $52,000
5 S Robert Allenby 15.50 20 33 35 49 $71,000
6 S Rod Pampling 18.75 56 59 29 20 $40,000
7 S Chris DiMarco 18.80 12 6 18 6 $111,000
8 S Lucas Glover 20.55 63 68 65 34 $37,000
9 S Hunter Mahan 21.85 10 11 12 49 $133,000
10 S Justin Leonard 22.55 20 18 18 6 $71,000
11 S Ian Poulter 22.75 16 11 18 34 $82,625
12 S Vijay Singh 24.00 1 1 1 2 $1,350,000
13 S David Toms 24.20 48 54 59 60 $44,250
14 S Padraig Harrington 24.35 20 38 59 20 $71,000
15 S Peter Lonard 24.55 6 11 3 20 $220,000

Posted by at 8:39 AM 0 comments
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)