Tuesday, August 18, 2009

PGA Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the PGA Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 2 | $810,000
  • 2 Retief Goosen | 51 | $16,260
  • 3 Steve Stricker | 109 (MC) | $0
  • 4 David Toms | 36 | $31,736
  • 5 Stewart Cink | 67 | $14,050

Here are the results for Paul's picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 2 | $810,000
  • 2 Lee Westwood | 3 | $435,000
  • 3 Padraig Harrington | 10 | $150,633
  • 4 Geoff Ogilvy | 43 | $21,113
  • 5 Retief Goosen | 51 | $16,260

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Paul Ginn Winner
Total Earnings $872,046 $1,433,006 Paul
Avg Rank 53.0 21.8 Paul
Made Cut 4 5 Paul
Outcome -- -- Paul

The Total Earnings category was won by Paul.

The Avg Rank category was won by Paul.

The Made Cut category was won by Paul.

This tournament overall was won by Paul.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and Paul is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 2 wins to Paul, and 0 draws.

This marks the end of the competition between Paul and I. It looks like I got the better of Paul during this competition, having won 5 of the 7 tournaments that we made picks for. On a positive note for Paul, the one of the two wins that Paul had did include a major (the PGA Championship).

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

PGA Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is playing it's 4th and final major of the year, the US PGA Championship. The tournament is being held in Minnesota at Hazeltine, which is where Rich Beem won the event in 2002.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the US PGA Championship.

# Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.00
2 Retief Goosen 15.10
3 Steve Stricker 15.20
4 David Toms 17.00
5 Brandt Snedeker 18.00
6 Bo Van Pelt 20.00
7 Phil Mickelson 20.30
8 Stewart Cink 20.50
9 John Senden 22.30
10 Kenny Perry 23.70
11 Woody Austin 27.30
12 Nathan Green 28.80
13 Lucas Glover 29.70
14 Hunter Mahan 30.80
15 Jim Furyk 31.10

I am going to go with the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Woods, Goosen, Stricker, and Toms. Then I am going to skip down the 8th player and pick Cink. He played well at Hazeltine in 2002 and is playing well this summer, having won the British Open.

Note: It is hard to pass over Mickelson. It was a choice between Toms and Mickelson. I decided to take a chance on Toms to see if he can rekindle his 2001 win at the US PGA Championship.

Below are my 5 picks for the US PGA Championship:

# Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.00
2 Retief Goosen 15.10
3 Steve Stricker 15.20
4 David Toms 17.00
5 Stewart Cink 20.50

Below are Paul Ginn's 5 picks for the US PGA Championship:

# Player
1 Tiger Woods
2 Lee Westwood
3 Padraig Harrington
4 Geoff Ogilvy
5 Retief Goosen

In this tournament, we have two players in common: Woods and Goosen.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the US PGA Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
7 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
60 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
6 20% 20%

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Bridgestone Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Bridgestone Invitational to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,400,00
  • 2 Lee Westwood | 9 | $160,000
  • 3 Stewart Cink | 6 | $214,333
  • 4 Retief Goosen | 29 | $67,000
  • 5 Luke Donald | 45 | $51,500

Here are the results for Paul's picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,400,000
  • 2 Lee Westwood | 9 | $160,000
  • 3 Rory McIlory | 68 | $39,250
  • 4 Kenny Perry | 11 | $112,500
  • 5 Paul Casey | 80 (WD) | $0

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Paul Ginn Winner
Total Earnings $1,892833 $1,711,750 TI
Avg Rank 18.0 33.8 TI
Made Cut 5 4 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and Paul is 5 wins to the Tour Outsider, 1 win to Paul, and 0 draws.

Legends Reno-Tahoe Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

  • 1 John Rollins | 1 | $540,000
  • 2 J.J. Henry | 9 | $75,000
  • 3 Aaron Baddeley | 90 (MC) | $0
  • 4 Vaughn Taylor | 26 | $20,850
  • 5 Steve Flesch | 34 | $14,829

Here are the results for Paul's picks.

  • 1 Greg Chalmers | 90 (MC) | $0
  • 2 James Nitties | 26 | $20,850
  • 3 Charlie Wi | 82 (MC) | $0
  • 4 J.J. Henry | 9 | $75,000
  • 5 Steve Elkington | 22 | $30,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Paul Ginn Winner
Total Earnings $650,679 $125,850 TI
Avg Rank 32.0 45.8 TI
Made Cut 4 3 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and Paul is 4 wins to the Tour Outsider, 1 win to Paul, and 0 draws.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Bridgestone Invitational

The second tournament for the week for the US PGA Tour is the Bridgestone Invitational. The tournament is part of the World Golf Championship (aka: the elite US PGA Tour events). Only 80 players are in the field and there is no cut.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Bridgestone Invitational.

# Player Cli
1 Tiger Woods 1.25
2 Lee Westwood 8.30
3 Stewart Cink 11.10
4 Zach Johnson 13.80
5 Davis Love III 13.95
6 Lucas Glover 14.35
7 Hunter Mahan 15.20
8 Retief Goosen 15.95
9 Jim Furyk 16.95
10 Anthony Kim 16.95
11 Luke Donald 17.20
12 Kenny Perry 17.90
13 David Toms 18.60
14 Vijay Singh 19.10
15 Scott Verplank 20.10

I am going to go with the first 3 players in the CLi rankings: Woods, Westwood, and Cink. Then I am going to skip down the 8th player and pick Goosen. Then I will skip down to the 11th player and pick Donald.

Of note, the 7th player to the 15th player (the 2nd half of the top 15 player in the CLi rankings) have CLi figures with 5 points. So it is hard to distinguish between which of these players will play well in this tournament. Thus I needed to think through these players to pick Goosen and Donald.

Below are my 5 picks for the Bridgestone Invitational:

# Player Cli
1 Tiger Woods 1.25
2 Lee Westwood 8.30
3 Stewart Cink 11.10
4 Retief Goosen 15.95
5 Luke Donald 17.20

Below are Paul Ginn's 5 picks for the Bridgestone Invitational:

# Player
1 Tiger Woods
2 Lee Westwood
3 Rory McIlroy
4 Kenny Perry
5 Paul Casey

In this tournament, we have two player in common: Woods and Westwood.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Bridgestone Invitational:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Legends Reno-Tahoe Open

The US PGA Tour has two tournaments this week. One of them, the Bridgestone Invitational, is part of the World Golf Championship (aka: the elite US PGA Tour events). The other one is the Legends Reno-Taheo Open. This post is for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open.

# Player CLi
1 John Rollins 7.85
2 J.J. Henry 8.05
3 Aaron Baddeley 8.25
4 Vaughn Taylor 10.45
5 Martin Laird 10.70
6 Steve Flesch 11.95
7 Michael Allen 16.90
8 Spencer Levin 17.45
9 Daniel Chopra 17.80
10 Jason Gore 18.50
11 Brendon De Jonge 19.00
12 Scott McCarron 19.20
13 Steve Elkington 19.75
14 Harrison Frazar 20.20
15 Jonathan Byrd 20.70

I am going to go with the first 4 players in the CLi rankings: Rollins, Henry, Baddeley, and Taylor. Then I am going to skip over Laird. Then I am going to pick Flesch to round out my 5 picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open:

# Player CLi
1 John Rollins 7.85
2 J.J. Henry 8.05
3 Aaron Baddeley 8.25
4 Vaughn Taylor 10.45
5 Steve Flesch 11.95

Below are Paul Ginn's 5 picks for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open:

# Player
1 Greg Chalmers
2 James Nitties
3 Charlie Wi
4 J.J. Henry
5 Steve Elkington

This week we have one player in common: J.J. Henry.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Legends Reno-Tahoe Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Buick Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Buick Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 1 | $918,000
  • 2 Woody Austin | 8 | $132,600
  • 3 Jim Furyk | 25 | $41,650
  • 4 Brandt Snedeker | 99 (MC) | $0
  • 5 Kevin Na | 46 | $13,872

Here are the results for Paul's picks.

  • 1 Tiger Woods | 1 | $918,000
  • 2 Jim Furyk | 25 | $41,650
  • 3 Woody Austin | 8 | $132,600
  • 4 Brian Gay | 37 | $20,910
  • 5 Rod Pampling | 73 (MC) | $0

This week we both had a winner in Woods --- he was a no-brainer pick.

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

Tour Outsider Paul Ginn Winner
Total Earnings $1,106,122 $1,113,160 Paul
Avg Rank 35.8 28.8 Paul
Made Cut 4 4 Draw
Outcome -- -- Paul

The Total Earnings category was won by Paul.

The Avg Rank category was won by Paul.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by Paul.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and Paul is 3 wins to the Tour Outsider, 1 win to Paul, and 0 draws.