Monday, September 10, 2007

Tour Outsider: Tour Championship

The US PGA Tour moves to Atlanta for the 4th and final event in this year's FedExCup. The tour will play its Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 2.20
2 Adam Scott 5.80
3 Phil Mickelson 7.50
4 Ernie Els 7.90
5 Rory Sabbatini 8.80
6 K.J. Choi 11.50
7 Geoff Ogilvy 12.50
8 Scott Verplank 12.90
9 Steve Stricker 13.40
10 Aaron Baddeley 14.30
11 Brett Wetterich 14.30
12 Sergio Garcia 14.50
13 Brandt Snedeker 15.10
14 Jim Furyk 15.30
15 Tim Clark 15.90

As with last week, I will stick with the top 5 in the CLi this week.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Tour Championship are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 2.20
2 Adam Scott 5.80
3 Phil Mickelson 7.50
4 Ernie Els 7.90
5 Rory Sabbatini 8.80

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 2 players in common: Woods and Mickelson.

Tour Outsider: BMW Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the BMW Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tiger Woods 1.40 1 3 3 7 $1,260,000
2 Geoff Ogilvy 14.40 61 62 65 65 $15,190
3 Steve Stricker 15.10 3 1 3 12 $480,000
4 Rory Sabbatini 16.30 10 28 35 22 $171,000
5 Adam Scott 16.50 4 7 12 22 $340,000

Had 3 players in the top 4 and 5 players in the top 10 this week, with a win (Woods). Ogilvy, who had been playing well coming into the event, was the only player that fell back. He placed 61st out of 66 players that started the tournament.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Ousider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Ousider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $2,266,190 $1,922,000 TO
Avg Rank 15.8 19.4 TO
Made Cut 5 5 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw..

This tournament was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 6 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tiger Woods 1.40 1 3 3 7 $1,260,000
2 Geoff Ogilvy 14.40 61 62 65 65 $15,190
3 Steve Stricker 15.10 3 1 3 12 $480,000
4 Rory Sabbatini 16.30 10 28 35 22 $171,000
5 Adam Scott 16.50 4 7 12 22 $340,000
6 Trevor Immelman 17.90 38 28 25 29 $28,000
7 Heath Slocum 19.80 46 38 17 38 $21,700
8 Justin Rose 20.20 5 4 3 2 $270,000
9 K.J. Choi 21.50 38 28 12 12 $28,000
10 Scott Verplank 21.70 30 28 17 22 $40,688
11 Carl Pettersson 22.50 10 17 17 38 $171,000
12 Nathan Green 23.60 14 7 12 7 $123,625
13 Billy Mayfair 23.60 38 17 35 44 $28,000
14 John Senden 24.10 52 58 58 38 $16,415
15 Stephen Ames 24.30 38 17 17 38 $28,000

Tuesday, September 4, 2007

Tour Outsider: BMW Championship

The US PGA Tour takes on its 3rd tournament in the FedEx Cup Playoffs by going to Chicago to play the newly renamed BMW Championship (formerly called the Western Open). Only 70 players qualified for the tournament, with 4 players out of that bunch having already withdrawn. Phil Mickelson is one of the players that withdrew from the tournament. That leaves only 66 players in the field this week.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.40
2 Geoff Ogilvy 14.40
3 Steve Stricker 15.10
4 Rory Sabbatini 16.30
5 Adam Scott 16.50
6 Trevor Immelman 17.90
7 Heath Slocum 19.80
8 Justin Rose 20.20
9 K.J. Choi 21.50
10 Scott Verplank 21.70
11 Carl Pettersson 22.50
12 Nathan Green 23.60
13 Billy Mayfair 23.60
14 John Senden 24.10
15 Stephen Ames 24.30

I will stick with the top 5 in the CLi this week. All 5 of them look good on this week's course, Cog Hill.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the BMW Championship are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.40
2 Geoff Ogilvy 14.40
3 Steve Stricker 15.10
4 Rory Sabbatini 16.30
5 Adam Scott 16.50

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

It is nice to see Shedloski going with two mid-west player in Stricker and Kelly. They will have the hometown crowd behind them, even though they are from cheese-land (Wisconsin).

This week we have 2 players in common: Woods and Stricker.

Tour Outsider: Deutsch Bank U.S. Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Deutsch Bank U.S. Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tiger Woods 1.80 2 4 13 73 $522,667
2 Justin Rose 8.40 MC MC 100 56 $0
3 Steve Flesch 18.00 75 65 69 56 $13,300
4 K.J. Choi 21.30 WD WD WD 88 $0
5 Adam Scott 21.60 17 14 38 17 $94,733

Like last week, did not do too hot this week either. Had 1 player miss the cut (Rose), and one player withdraw (Choi withdrew after the first round with a tender back).

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Shedloski was also hurt with Choi withdrawing.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Ousider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Ousider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $630,700 $633,220 TI
Avg Rank 61.8 53 TI
Made Cut 3 3 DRAW
Outcome -- -- TI

By a mer $2,480, the Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 11 wins to the Tour Outsider, 6 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Tiger Woods 1.80 2 4 13 73 $522,667
2 Justin Rose 8.40 MC MC 100 56 $0
3 Tim Petrovic 16.40 MC MC 76 56 $0
4 Steve Flesch 18.00 75 65 69 56 $13,300
5 Jim Furyk 20.80 55 44 48 17 $15,820
6 K.J. Choi 21.30 WD WD WD 88 $0
7 Adam Scott 21.60 17 14 38 17 $94,733
8 Geoff Ogilvy 22.30 6 21 38 43 $243,250
9 Tim Clark 22.90 MC MC 84 30 $0
10 Steve Stricker 25.20 9 8 13 9 $175,000
11 Billy Mayfair 27.90 MC MC 100 88 $0
12 Camilo Villegas 27.90 9 6 8 1 $175,000
13 Carl Pettersson 28.30 MC MC 76 73 $0
14 Jeffrey Overton 29.50 MC MC 84 73 $0
15 Arron Oberholser 30.40 2 2 8 30 $522,667

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Tour Outsider: Deutsch Bank U.S. Championship

The US PGA Tour heads to Boston for the 2nd of 4 FedExCup playoff tournaments. The Deutsch Bank U.S. Championship has a Friday start with a Monday (Labor Day) finish

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.80
2 Justin Rose 8.40
3 Tim Petrovic 16.40
4 Steve Flesch 18.00
6 K.J. Choi 21.30
7 Adam Scott 21.60
8 Geoff Ogilvy 22.30
9 Tim Clark 22.90
10 Steve Stricker 25.20
11 Billy Mayfair 27.90
12 Camilo Villegas 27.90
13 Carl Pettersson 28.30
14 Jeffrey Overton 29.50
15 Arron Oberholser 30.40

All of the players in the top 15 look good this week in the CLi list. It is hard to narrow it down to just 5 from the 15 shown. Tough.

I guess I will go with Woods and Rose, as they have very low CLis for the tournament. Woods has a 1.8 CLi and Rose has a 8.40. That is basically saying that they really are looking good to play well here this week.

Then I will skip Petrovic, even though he is playing well. One of the reasons I skipped him is that he didn't play well here last year missing the cut. He played well here the previous two years, and he is playing well currently. That makes it hard to skip over him.

I will pick Flesch as he is looking good curently, and has played well here in the past.

I will skip over Furyk as he is a question mark with his back issues.

Then will pick Choi (who is playing extremely well of late) and Scott (who plays well on this course).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Deutsch Bank U.S. Championship are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Tiger Woods 1.80
2 Justin Rose 8.40
3 Steve Flesch 18.00
4 K.J. Choi 21.30
5 Adam Scott 21.60

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 3 players in common: Woods, Scott, and Choi.

Sunday, August 26, 2007

Tour Outsider: Barclays Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Barclays Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Jim Furyk 2.55 25 35 31 47 $49,035
2 Ernie Els 11.40 4 8 6 4 $289,333
3 Padraig Harrington 16.20 35 30 31 64 $33,775
4 Kenny Perry 16.95 25 8 6 30 $49,035
5 Vijay Singh 23.75 MC MC 104 116 $0

Looks like skipping over Garcia to pick Singh was not a good choice this week, as Singh missed the cut and Garcia placed 25th.

Of note, it was nice to see a fellow University of Illinois alumni (where I did my grad work), Steve Stricker, win the tournament. That was nice to see, especially after he had gone through some tough years on the golf course. Since we are talking about alumni, it was also nice to see fellow SMU alumni (where I did my undegrad), Colt Knost, win the U.S. Amateur this weekend. Go UofI and SMU!

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Ousider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Ousider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $421,778 $372,743 TO
Avg Rank 38.6 52.6 TO
Made Cut 4 3 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Tour Outsider was the Made Cut category.

This tournament was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 11 wins to the Tour Outsider, 5 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Jim Furyk 2.55 25 35 31 47 $49,035
2 Ernie Els 11.40 4 8 6 4 $289,333
3 Padraig Harrington 16.20 35 30 31 64 $33,775
4 Kenny Perry 16.95 25 8 6 30 $49,035
5 Sergio Garcia 18.90 25 12 6 30 $49,035
6 Vijay Singh 23.75 MC MC 104 116 $0
7 Scott Verplank 25.15 35 24 31 18 $33,775
8 Peter Lonard 25.45 MC MC 133 116 $0
9 Tim Clark 26.85 17 30 13 30 $101,500
10 Pat Perez 27.40 MC MC 113 81 $0
11 Ian Poulter 28.85 9 19 13 47 $189,000
12 Jeffrey Overton 29.90 MC MC 85 108 $0
13 Billy Mayfair 32.30 MC MC 96 47 $0
14 Kevin Sutherland 33.90 MC MC 119 96 $0
15 Stuart Appleby 33.95 MC MC 124 108 $0