Monday, October 29, 2007

Tour Outsider: Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 1.25 26 18 38 66 $31,275
2 Jesper Parnevik 3.25 68 38 56 47 $9,135
3 Tim Clark 4.00 WD WD WD WD $0
4
Heath Slocum
4.50 MC MC 74 47 $0
5 Lucas Glover 7.75 23 26 16 31 $43,200

Tim Clark ended up withdrawing before the tournament started, but I couldn't change my picks as that would not have been fair to Shedloski. In any event, both of us included him in our picks, so it was a wash.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $83,610 $176,063 TI
Avg Rank 64.4 83.2 TO
Made Cut 3 2 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won this tournament, even while losing the total earnings category and even though the average rank was close to the cut line (not good). Both of us had bad weeks, but I ended up having a better bad week to pull it out this week. With this win, and only one more tournament left in the 2007 US PGA Tour season, it means I have one for the year.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 14 wins to the Tour Outsider, 10 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 1.25 26 18 38 66 $31,275
2 Jesper Parnevik 3.25 68 38 56 47 $9,135
3 Heath Slocum 4.50 MC MC 74 47 $0
4 Robert Allenby 6.75 MC MC 109 96 $0
5 Johnson Wagner 7.00 39 50 56 66 $18,000
6 Lucas Glover 7.75 23 26 16 31 $43,200
7 Sean O'Hair 8.50 5 4 4 6 $158,063
8 Mathias Gronberg 8.75 MC MC 74 111 $0
9 Cameron Beckman 9.00 5 7 23 20 $158,063
10 Carl Pettersson 9.25 MC MC 86 31 $0
11 Chris Stroud 10.00 12 11 16 20 $91,125
12 Steve Flesch 10.50 51 26 30 6 $10,733
13 Kent Jones 11.00 16 33 23 12 $67,500
14 Fredrik Jacobson 12.25 2 4 11 31 $396,000
15 Ryan Armour 13.75 34 58 56 47 $23,220

Posted by at 2:12 PM 0 comments

Monday, October 22, 2007

Tour Outsider: Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro

The US PGA Tour heads back to the east coast for the Ginn sur Mer Classic at Tesoro.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 1.50
2 Tim Clark 4.00
3 Jesper Parnevik 4.00
4 Heath Slocum 5.25
5 Robert Allenby 8.25
6 Johnson Wagner 8.25
7 Lucas Glover 9.00
8 Sean O'Hair 9.75
9 Mathias Gronberg 10.25
10 Cameron Beckman 10.50
11 Carl Pettersson 10.50
12 Steve Flesch 11.25
13 Chris Stroud 12.00
14 Kent Jones 12.75
15 Pat Perez 12.75

I am going to stick with the top 4 in the CLi: Leonard, Clark, Parnevik (he is playing at home this week as he lives in nearby Jupiter, Florida), and Slocum.

Then will skip over Allenby and Wagner to get to Glover. Glover hasn't played in the past 4 weeks except in the President's Cup. That could be a positive or a negative. I will take it as a positive. He is rested and the President's Cup experience should get him going this week before he winds down for the season. He also likes playing in Florida, which should help his chances this week.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Ginn sur Mer Classic:

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 1.50
2 Tim Clark 4.00
3 Jesper Parnevik 4.00
4 Heath Slocum 5.25
5 Lucas Glover 9.00

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have one player in common: Clark.

Posted by at 7:38 PM 2 comments

Sunday, October 21, 2007

Tour Outsider: Fry's Electronics Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Fry's Electronics Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 2.00 6 6 26 22 $151,250
2 Steve Flesch 5.75 27 38 26 22 $33,281
3 Bo Van Pelt 6.25 44 31 42 61 $16,000
4 Mathias Gronberg 8.50 35 21 26 22 $22,583
5 Charley Hoffman 9.50 MC MC 129 124 $0

Just had one player miss the cut, that was Hoffman. He came in last place out of the players that played both of the first two rounds. He wasn't a good pick this week. Hopefully the results from the other 4 players will pull me through this week.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $223,115 $9,800 TO
Avg Rank 48.0 94.4 TO
Made Cut 4 1 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Tour Outsider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won this tournament with a sweep of all 3 categories. Even though I didn't have a great week, Shedloski had a very bad week. That helped with the sweep. Shedloski only had one player make the cut for him, and that player placing last in the players that did make the cut.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 13 wins to the Tour Outsider, 10 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Justin Leonard 2.00 6 6 26 22 $151,250
2 John Mallinger 5.25 70 49 33 80 $9,800
3 Steve Flesch 5.75 27 38 26 22 $33,281
4 George McNeill 5.75 16 9 33 41 $82,500
5 Bo Van Pelt 6.25 44 31 42 61 $16,000
6 Mathias Gronberg 8.50 35 21 26 22 $22,583
7 Robert Garrigus 9.50 MC MC 119 61 $0
8 Charley Hoffman 9.50 MC MC 129 124 $0
9 Bill Haas 10.25 51 43 66 61 $12,150
10 J.J. Henry 12.00 MC MC 99 41 $0
11 Cameron Beckman 12.50 35 28 66 109 $22,583
12 Dean Wilson 13.75 25 43 42 61 $42,000
13 Mathew Goggin 19.00 MC MC 87 109 $0
14 Robert Allenby 19.25 MC MC 76 61 $0
15 Mark Calcavecchia 21.25 MC MC 119 80 $0

Posted by at 10:03 PM 0 comments

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Tour Outsider: Fry's Electronics Open

The US PGA Tour heads to Phoenix for the second time this year for the Fry's Electronics Open.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 2.00
2 John Mallinger 5.25
3 Steve Flesch 5.75
4 George McNeill 5.75
5 Bo Van Pelt 6.25
6 Mathias Gronberg 8.50
7 Robert Garrigus 9.50
8 Charley Hoffman 9.50
9 Bill Haas 10.25
10 J.J. Henry 12.00
11 Cameron Beckman 12.50
12 Dean Wilson 13.75
13 Mathew Goggin 19.00
14 Robert Allenby 19.25
15 Mark Calcavecchia 21.25

I am going to go with Leonard, as plays well in the desert and is coming off a win in the Valero Texas Open two weeks ago.

Will pass on Mallinger even though he has a low CLi (5.25). I just don't feel comfortable in picking him for some reason.

Then will pick Flesch as I think he still has some good golf in him this season.

Even though McNeill won last week, and could easily play well this week, will pass on him. The main reason is that I think it will be hard for him to focus this week after having won for the first time in Vegas last week. However, if he did win here, it would be a Fry's double, which would be rather cool.

Then will pick Van Pelt and Gronberg and pass on Garrigus to get to Hoffman. Hoffman was thought to be a good pick last week in Vegas, however, he missed the cut by a stroke. Let's see if he can turn it around this week in Phoenix.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Fry's Electronics Open:

Rank Player CLi
1 Justin Leonard 2.00
2 Steve Flesch 5.75
3 Bo Van Pelt 6.25
4 Mathias Gronberg 8.50
5 Charley Hoffman 9.50

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have no players in common.

Posted by at 6:35 PM 0 comments

Monday, October 15, 2007

Tour Outsider: Frys.com Open in Las Vegas Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Frys.com Open in Las Vegas to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Charley Hoffman 4.45 MC MC 85 25 $0
2 Bill Haas 6.55 21 27 13 25 $36,533
3 Scott Verplank 10.55 MC MC 85 87 $0
4 Daniel Chopra 11.30 44 36 32 8 $12,093
5 Charles Howell III 18.10 MC MC 85 119 $0

Ouch, another hit in the missed cut category, with 3 of my picks missing the cut. All 3 of the players that missed the cut missed the cut by one stroke.

This was a tournament that I felt rather confident in making picks. However, it didn't show in my results. Ugh.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $48,627 $232,760 TI
Avg Rank 63.4 45.8 TI
Made Cut 2 3 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Tour Insider won this tournament with a sweep of all 3 categories.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 10 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Charley Hoffman 4.45 MC MC 85 25 $0
2 Bill Haas 6.55 21 27 13 25 $36,533
3 Scott Verplank 10.55 MC MC 85 87 $0
4 Daniel Chopra 11.30 44 36 32 8 $12,093
5 Shigeki Maruyama 17.20 62 54 45 61 $8,520
6 Tim Petrovic 17.65 MC MC 85 103 $0
7 Charles Howell III 18.10 MC MC 85 119 $0
8 Nick Watney 18.70 59 27 6 25 $8,800
9 Dan Forsman 19.25 MC MC 113 103 $0
10 Troy Matteson 20.50 MC MC 113 61 $0
11 Dean Wilson 21.95 MC MC 101 103 $0
12 Steve Lowery 23.60 30 19 7 8 $23,250
13 Rich Beem 24.85 38 36 22 3 $16,800
14 Bo Van Pelt 27.25 5 4 22 8 $152,000
15 Charles Warren 29.50 MC MC 101 39 $0

Posted by at 12:52 AM 0 comments
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