Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Tour Outsider: Valero Texas Open

The US PGA Tour heads to Texas for the Valero Texas Open in San Antonio.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35
2 Steve Flesch 10.00
3 Heath Slocum 17.60
4 Bart Bryant 19.05
5 Chad Campbell 21.50
6 Tommy Armour III 22.05
7 Pat Perez 23.15
8 Dean Wilson 23.30
9 Anthony Kim 24.05
10 Kent Jones 26.60
11 Mathew Goggin 27.00
12 Daisuke Maruyama 28.30
13 Vaughn Taylor 28.35
14 Alexander Cejka 29.70
15 Bo Van Pelt 30.20

Let's see if I can do better than I have the past three weeks. The past 3 weeks of picks have not been good. :-( Hopefully I can break the three week losing streak

I am going to go with the top 5 players in the CLi list this week.

I would have liked to pick Anthony Kim this week as he played well here last year. However, I could not decide which player in the list before him to drop. Bryant might have been a good player to drop in this case. However, he is a veteran player that is good to make the cut, and I need to make sure all five players make the cut this week. Kim has a higher risk of missing the cut, even though he does have a higher chance to place better than Bryant on average.

In the end, I decided to go with a less risky group of players this week to try to get back on the winning track. Hoffman is my most risky pick this week. However, he does have a low CLi, and the lowest for that matter. It is hard to go against a 1 digit CLi (6.35).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Valero Texas Open are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35
2 Steve Flesch 10.00
3 Heath Slocum 17.60
4 Bart Bryant 19.05
5 Chad Campbell 21.50

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 1 player in common: Flesch.

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