Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Accenture Match Play Championship

The US PGA Tour will play two tournaments this week. One is in Arizona and the other in Mexico. This posting is for the Arizona tournament: Accenture Match Play Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Accenture Match Play Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 Phil Mickelson  21.70
2 Nick Watney  22.20
3 Rory McIlroy  22.90
4 Paul Casey  23.50
5 Hunter Mahan  24.40
6 Alvaro Quiros  26.40
7 Matt Kuchar  28.20
8 Robert Karlsson  28.30
9 Justin Rose  28.60
10 Tiger Woods  28.70
11 Geoff Ogilvy  29.90
12 Bubba Watson  30.00
13 Bill Haas  30.90
14 Ryan Moore  32.10
15 Tim Clark  33.40

Match play events are usually difficult to pick players, as so many things can happen on one day. The better player could be feeling poorly, and the lesser player could be having a big day. That extenuates difference between the two players, and provides a better chance for the lesser player through to the next round. That makes it difficult to pick players for this tournament, but exciting to watch as one doesn't know when the upset is going to happen.

I am going to let my CLi calculation do the talking this week, and go with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Mickelson (Hogan bracket; #1 seed), Watney (Jones bracket; #8 seed), McIlroy (Player bracket; #2 seed), Casey (Snead bracket; #2 seed), and Mahan (Player bracket; #5 seed). Each one of them are in a different bracket, except McIlroy and Mahan. As well, there are no #1 seeds, which is a good sign. #1 seeds tend to non make it to the end in this tournament.

That said, it is still difficult to pick for a match play tournament......let the fun.

Below are my 5 picks for the Accenture Match Play Championship :

# Player CLi 
1 Phil Mickelson  21.70
2 Nick Watney  22.20
3 Rory McIlroy  22.90
4 Paul Casey  23.50
5 Hunter Mahan  24.40

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Justin Rose
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Nick Watney
  4. Paul Casey
  5. Graeme McDowell
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Accenture Match Play Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Watney and Casey.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Accenture Match Play Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 20% 20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 10% 10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%


If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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