AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The US PGA Tour will be on the beautiful Monterey pennisula this week to play the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links and supporting courses (Spyglass Hill Golf Course, Monterey Peninsula Shore Course.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	2.65
2	Brian Gay	8.55
3	Vijay Singh	9.90
4	Phil Mickelson	10.20
5	Tim Clark	10.50
6	Steve Marino	11.20
7	Jonathan Byrd	15.60
8	J.B. Holmes	17.45
9	Bo Van Pelt	22.25
10	Mark Wilson	22.90
11	Michael Allen	25.25
12	Bill Lunde	26.95
13	Nick Watney	29.50
14	Jim Furyk	31.55
15	Rory Sabbatini	31.95

Like last week, I am going to stick with the top 5 in the CLi rankings: Johnson, Gay, Singh, Mickelson, and Clark.

It is hard to pass on Johnson, who has played in this tournament 3 times (the last 3 years) and has won it two timmes, and finished 7th the other time. Plus his CLi figure (2.65) is one of the lowest I have seen since Tiger dominated the CLi rankings.  Along with other players having higher CLi figures, having such a low CLi figure is usually a good sign that a player has an advantage at a tournament. 

The supposedly weak link in the top 5 is Brian Gay. However, the CLi calculation has him 2nd in the CLi rankings. Gay has only played in this tournament twice, having finished 18th (last year) and missing the cut the other time (2001). Since the missed cut is not factored in the CLi calculation (based upon my configuration settings -- see the configuration settings at the end of this posting), that means he places in the top 5 in the CLi rankings due to his finishes in tournaments leading up to this tournament this week. He has finished no worse than 18th in the past 4 tournaments he has played in, of which 3 of them are within the past 4 weeks. So his confidence level is strong at the moment. So it makes me feel confident in including him in this week's picks (as I also did last week in Phoenix).

Then to round out the 5 picks, Singh, Mickelson, and Clark enjoy playing at this tournament.  Singh and Mickelson have won the tournament at least once.  And all three of them are playing well leading up to this tournament. 

Below are my 5 picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am :

#	Player	CLi
1	Dustin Johnson	2.65
2	Brian Gay	8.55
3	Vijay Singh	9.90
4	Phil Mickelson	10.20
5	Tim Clark	10.50

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Nick Watney
2. Dustin Johnson
3. J.B. Holmes
4. Geoff Ogilvy
5. Tim Clark

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

We have 2 players in common this week: Johnson and Clark.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.