Thursday, May 17, 2012

HP Byron Nelson Championship

This week is the US PGA Tour moves to my native state of Texas to play the HP Byron Nelson Championship at the Las Colinas Resort in Irving.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the HP Byron Nelson Championship.

# Player CLi 
1 D.A. Points 5.35
2 Phil Mickelson 5.75
3 Adam Scott 6.70
4 Jason Day 10.75
5 Matt Kuchar 12.40
6 Carl Pettersson 19.15
7 Ken Duke 20.50
8 Brian Davis 21.05
9 John Rollins 21.15
10 Hunter Haas 26.60
11 Brian Gay 27.00
12 Blake Adams 27.40
13 Jason Dufner 28.60
14 David Mathis 33.65
15 Jeffrey Overton 34.65


I am late in posting the CLi rankings this week, and so with the CLi figures low this week (3 players under 10), I am going to make the process of picking players easy by sticking with the CLi rankings.  The players all look good based upon their detail statistics (which the CLi uses to calculate the rankings).  However, I just hope that Points' back is doing well, as he pulled out of last week's TPC at the last minute because of his back.  The CLi still has him number one in the rankings, and he is a fellow Illini alumni.  So I will stick with him, and the other 4 players in the top 5 of the CLi rankings.

Below are my 5 picks for the HP Byron Nelson Championship:
# Player CLi 
1 D.A. Points 5.35
2 Phil Mickelson 5.75
3 Adam Scott 6.70
4 Jason Day 10.75
5 Matt Kuchar 12.40

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Adam Scott
  2. Jason Day
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. John Rollins
  5. Phil Mickelson
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: HP Byron Nelson Championship

We have 4 players in common this tournament: Scott, Day, and Mickelson

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the HP Byron Nelson Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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