Tuesday, April 9, 2013

The Masters

The US PGA Tour, as well as the rest of the major tours around the world, head to Augusta National to play the first major of the year: The Masters.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Masters.

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 3.10
2  Justin Rose 9.45
3  Adam Scott 12.80
4  Phil Mickelson 13.00
5  Charl Schwartzel 13.55
6  Brandt Snedeker 17.25
7  Matt Kuchar 17.35
8  Steve Stricker 17.50
9  Fred Couples 17.60
10  Peter Hanson 18.40
11  Lee Westwood 20.50
12  Keegan Bradley 22.30
13  Rory McIlroy 22.80
14  Padraig Harrington 24.75
15  Jason Day 24.80

Tiger (analysis) has a fairly clear advantage this week per the CLi calculation.  His CLi figure is 3.10, which is low in absolute terms and the next closest player's CLi figure is more than 6 points higher (3 times higher).  The reason for such a strong CLi figure is because of his strong play (love for) the Masters and his recent improvement in play.

Tiger had his worst finish in the Masters last year, placing 40th.  Before last year, his worst finish since 2000 was 22nd (in 2004).  His average rank in the event since 2000 is 8.2 (his average rank is 5.5 without last year's finish).  He has won the event 3 times since 2000 and placed in the top-10 ten time since 2000.

Recently, Tiger has won in his last two outings: the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Cadillac Championship.  In addition, he has a third win this season, at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Thus, my first pick is Tiger.

A for my next four picks, I am also going to stick with the CLi rankings:  Rose (analysis), Scott (analysis), Mickelson (analysis), and Schwartzel (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the Masters:

#PlayerCLi 
1 Tiger Woods3.10
2 Justin Rose9.45
3 Adam Scott12.80
4 Phil Mickelson13.00
5 Charl Schwartzel13.55

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Justin Rose
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Phil Mickelson
  5. Matt Kuchar
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: The Masters

We have 3 players in common this week: Woods, Rose, and Mickelson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Masters:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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