Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Memorial Tournament

I am back in the country, and have reliable Internet connection.  Thus, I will post a full posting for this week's tournament.  This week the US PGA Tour is in Ohio to play Jack's tournament, the Memorial Tournament.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Memorial Tournament.

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 1.20
2  Matt Kuchar 4.70
3  Matthew Every 9.25
4  Kenny Perry 11.15
5  Kevin Streelman 16.65
6  Charl Schwartzel 19.40
7  Bo Van Pelt 21.05
8  John Huh 22.05
9  Ryo Ishikawa 26.75
10  Dustin Johnson 27.50
11  Brendon De Jonge 27.55
12  Rory McIlroy 29.35
13  Kyle Stanley 29.55
14  Luke Donald 29.80
15  Scott Stallings 31.30

Woods (analysis) is the clear favorite this week.  He has played well in this event in the past and is playing well leading up to this week.  Since 2000, he has played in the tournament 10 times and has won the tournament 4 times, including last year.  His average rank in the tournament since 2000 is 7, with his worst finish being 22nd (in 2002).

Kuchar (analysis) played well last week at the Colonial Invitational, finishing 2nd behind Weekley.  He hasn't missed the cut in the 12 events he has played in this season, with his worst finish being 48th (PLAYERS Championship) and his best finish a win (at the Accenture World Match Play).  He has tended to play well in this event as well. He missed the cut the first time he played the event in 2003.  However, since then he has finished no worse than 13th in the 5 times he has played the event.  His best finish in the event is 2nd (in 2011).

Every (analysis) finished 4th last week at the Colonial Invitational and finished 6th in this event last year (the only time he has played in this event).  Hopefully those two data points will align this week to result in a solid finish by Every.

I am going to skip over Perry (analysis), Streelman (analysis), and Schwartzel (analysis).  Perry has played well in this tournament in the past.  However, the reason why he is high up in the CLi ranking is because of his solid finishes on the Champions Tour.  He missed the cut last year.  Streelman and Schwartzel have been playing well this year, but they missed the cut in their previous tournament leading up to this event.  Thus, I am going to skip over them and pick Van Pelt (analysis) and Huh (analysis) for my final two picks.

Below are my 5 picks for the Memorial Tournament:

# Player CLi 
1  Tiger Woods 1.20
2  Matt Kuchar 4.70
3  Matthew Every 9.25
4  Bo Van Pelt 21.05
5  John Huh 22.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Matt Kuchar
  3. Adam Scott
  4. Justin Rose
  5. Keegan Bradley
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Memorial Tournament

We have 2 players in common this week: Woods and Kuchar.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Memorial Tournament:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA1)Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
525%25%
Number of Days Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA2)Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
305%5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
NumberScoring Avg Weight (SA3)Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
420%20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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