Thank you for being a regular reader, as it has been enjoyable to receive comments from and have a dialogue with you all.
At this time I am taking hiatus from the Tour Outsider blog. I am not sure when I will be coming back and posting on a regular basis.
Thursday, January 2, 2014
Wednesday, October 9, 2013
Frys.com Open
After several weeks off, the US PGA Tour starts the 2013-2014 season in San Martin, California at the Frys.com Open.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Frys.com Open.
I am late in my post and am still needing to work on other activities (i.e. can't spend much time on this post), so I am just going to list the 5 players that I have picked...in other words, not providing an explanation for my picks.
Below are my 5 picks for the Frys.com Open:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Frys.com Open
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Woodland and Horschel.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Frys.com Open:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Gary Woodland | 9.15 |
| 2 | Bryce Molder | 16.00 |
| 3 | Rocco Mediate | 19.60 |
| 4 | Billy Horschel | 21.05 |
| 5 | J.J. Henry | 22.00 |
| 6 | Jason Kokrak | 23.45 |
| 7 | David Hearn | 23.70 |
| 8 | Nicholas Thompson | 24.40 |
| 9 | Jonas Blixt | 25.30 |
| 10 | Patrick Reed | 28.30 |
| 11 | Russell Knox | 29.25 |
| 12 | Steven Bowditch | 30.35 |
| 13 | Will MacKenzie | 30.45 |
| 14 | Charles Howell III | 30.55 |
| 15 | John Merrick | 32.70 |
I am late in my post and am still needing to work on other activities (i.e. can't spend much time on this post), so I am just going to list the 5 players that I have picked...in other words, not providing an explanation for my picks.
Below are my 5 picks for the Frys.com Open:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Gary Woodland | 9.15 |
| 2 | Bryce Molder | 16.00 |
| 3 | Billy Horschel | 21.05 |
| 4 | J.J. Henry | 22.00 |
| 5 | Jason Kokrak | 23.45 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Gary Woodland
- Billy Horschel
- Hideki Matsuyama
- John Peterson
- Jonas Blixt
Bolton's Power Rankings: Frys.com Open
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Woodland and Horschel.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Frys.com Open:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 45 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 6 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
TOUR Championship
This week the US PGA Tour has its final FedEx Playoff event, the BMW Championship. The event is being held at East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta, Georgia, with only 30 players in the field (which makes it a little easier to select 5 players who will play well this week).
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the TOUR Championship.
I am making it easy on myself and will be sticking with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings. They all have CLi figures less than 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has figured out they have a fairly good probability of playing well this week.
Furyk (analysis) was leading going into the final round last week at the BMW Championship before placing 3rd behind Zach Johnson and Nick Watney. He shot 59 in the tournament, so he is playing well currently. He placed 7th in this tournament last year, didn't make the championship in in 2011, and won the event in 2010.
Johnson (analysis) won last week, beating out Fuyrk in the last round, and has finished in the top 8 in 6 of the last 7 tournaments he has played in. So he is also playing well at this time. As for the TOUR Championship, he has faired in the middle pack 4 of the 6 times he has played in the tournament. He has a 9th place finish in 2010 and a 2nd placed finish in 2007.
Woods (analysis) has been playing inconsistently this year compared to his past play. However, he is playing better than most players. He finished 11th last week at the BMW Championship, and was 2nd several weeks ago in the Barclays. East Lake tends to treat him well. He has finished 8th (2012), 2nd (2009), 1st (2007), 2nd (2005), and 2nd (2004) the last 5 times he has played in this event.
Garcia (analysis) finished 15th last year in this week, but had a 2nd place finish in 2008 and a 4th place finish in 2007. He has not necessarily placed great in the tournaments leading up to this week, but he has been hitting it well and playing consistent -- especially for him. His best finish this past month was 4th at the Deustche U.S. Bank Championship.
Day (analysis) finished 6th in this event the last time he played in it (2011) and finished 4th last week at the BMW Championship. So has showed some good play recently and has had prior success at this event.
Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Day and Johnson.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jim Furyk | 3.70 |
| 2 | Zach Johnson | 8.25 |
| 3 | Tiger Woods | 8.65 |
| 4 | Sergio Garcia | 8.70 |
| 5 | Jason Day | 9.25 |
| 6 | Justin Rose | 10.80 |
| 7 | Steve Stricker | 11.20 |
| 8 | Nick Watney | 11.60 |
| 9 | Adam Scott | 11.65 |
| 10 | Hunter Mahan | 12.10 |
| 11 | Brandt Snedeker | 12.60 |
| 12 | Luke Donald | 12.85 |
| 13 | Bill Haas | 13.20 |
| 14 | Henrik Stenson | 13.35 |
| 15 | Gary Woodland | 13.75 |
I am making it easy on myself and will be sticking with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings. They all have CLi figures less than 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has figured out they have a fairly good probability of playing well this week.
Furyk (analysis) was leading going into the final round last week at the BMW Championship before placing 3rd behind Zach Johnson and Nick Watney. He shot 59 in the tournament, so he is playing well currently. He placed 7th in this tournament last year, didn't make the championship in in 2011, and won the event in 2010.
Johnson (analysis) won last week, beating out Fuyrk in the last round, and has finished in the top 8 in 6 of the last 7 tournaments he has played in. So he is also playing well at this time. As for the TOUR Championship, he has faired in the middle pack 4 of the 6 times he has played in the tournament. He has a 9th place finish in 2010 and a 2nd placed finish in 2007.
Woods (analysis) has been playing inconsistently this year compared to his past play. However, he is playing better than most players. He finished 11th last week at the BMW Championship, and was 2nd several weeks ago in the Barclays. East Lake tends to treat him well. He has finished 8th (2012), 2nd (2009), 1st (2007), 2nd (2005), and 2nd (2004) the last 5 times he has played in this event.
Garcia (analysis) finished 15th last year in this week, but had a 2nd place finish in 2008 and a 4th place finish in 2007. He has not necessarily placed great in the tournaments leading up to this week, but he has been hitting it well and playing consistent -- especially for him. His best finish this past month was 4th at the Deustche U.S. Bank Championship.
Day (analysis) finished 6th in this event the last time he played in it (2011) and finished 4th last week at the BMW Championship. So has showed some good play recently and has had prior success at this event.
Below are my 5 picks for the TOUR Championship:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jim Furyk | 3.70 |
| 2 | Zach Johnson | 8.25 |
| 3 | Tiger Woods | 8.65 |
| 4 | Sergio Garcia | 8.70 |
| 5 | Jason Day | 9.25 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Hunter Mahan
- Brandt Snedeker
- Luke Donald
- Jason Day
- Zach Johnson
Bolton's Power Rankings: TOUR Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Day and Johnson.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the TOUR Championship:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Tuesday, September 10, 2013
BMW Championship
After a week off, the US PGA Tour is in Chicago to play the 3rd FedEx Playoff event: the BMW Championship. The event was traditionally played at Cog Hill in Chicago, however, has moved courses the past several years -- last year it was at Crooked Stick in Indiana and this year it is at Conway Farms in Chicago.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the BMW Championship.
As with the last tournament, the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship, the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10 -- the 6th player even has a CLi of 10, which makes it difficult to pass up on that player (Adam Scott). This is a good sign that the CLi has a good indication of who has the highest probability of playing well. However, I am still going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.
Furyk (analysis) hasn't finished worse than 22nd in this event since 2003, with an average rank of 8.0. He won the event in 2005, and finished 2nd and 3rd in 2009 and 2008 respectively. He finished 9th in the event last year. Since the beginning of August, Furyk has played in 4 tournaments, and finished in the top 10 in 3 of them: 6th - Barclays Classic, 2nd - PGA Championship, and 9th - Bridgestone Invitational. He finished 22nd in the other tournament -- the Deutsch U.S. Bank Championship.
Woods (analysis) might not be playing up to par compared to what the media compares him to. However, his results have been rather good. Since August he has won a tournament (Bridgestone Invitational) and finished 2nd in another (Barclays Classic). In the other two tournament he has played in Since August, he didn't fair as well -- placing 65th (Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship) and 40th (PGA Championship). It is the uncharacteristic inconsistency that has thrown the media for a loop. In this event, he tends to play well -- he actually tends to play well in Chicago-area tournaments. Since 2003, he has won this event 3 times, placed 2nd twice, finished no worse than 15th, and has an average rank of 4.1.
I won't go into details for Rose, Johnson, and Stricker, but you can view their detailed analysis from the following links: Rose - analysis, Johnson - analysis, and Stricker - analysis. In addition, you can view Scott's analysis for the tournament.
Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Rose and Stricker.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jim Furyk | 5.80 |
| 2 | Tiger Woods | 6.70 |
| 3 | Justin Rose | 7.30 |
| 4 | Zach Johnson | 8.90 |
| 5 | Steve Stricker | 9.60 |
| 6 | Adam Scott | 10.00 |
| 7 | John Huh | 11.70 |
| 8 | Matt Kuchar | 13.40 |
| 9 | Jason Dufner | 14.30 |
| 10 | Sergio Garcia | 14.60 |
| 11 | Graham Delaet | 16.40 |
| 12 | Rory McIlroy | 17.70 |
| 13 | Phil Mickelson | 18.00 |
| 14 | Gary Woodland | 18.20 |
| 15 | Keegan Bradley | 21.40 |
As with the last tournament, the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship, the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10 -- the 6th player even has a CLi of 10, which makes it difficult to pass up on that player (Adam Scott). This is a good sign that the CLi has a good indication of who has the highest probability of playing well. However, I am still going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings.
Furyk (analysis) hasn't finished worse than 22nd in this event since 2003, with an average rank of 8.0. He won the event in 2005, and finished 2nd and 3rd in 2009 and 2008 respectively. He finished 9th in the event last year. Since the beginning of August, Furyk has played in 4 tournaments, and finished in the top 10 in 3 of them: 6th - Barclays Classic, 2nd - PGA Championship, and 9th - Bridgestone Invitational. He finished 22nd in the other tournament -- the Deutsch U.S. Bank Championship.
Woods (analysis) might not be playing up to par compared to what the media compares him to. However, his results have been rather good. Since August he has won a tournament (Bridgestone Invitational) and finished 2nd in another (Barclays Classic). In the other two tournament he has played in Since August, he didn't fair as well -- placing 65th (Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship) and 40th (PGA Championship). It is the uncharacteristic inconsistency that has thrown the media for a loop. In this event, he tends to play well -- he actually tends to play well in Chicago-area tournaments. Since 2003, he has won this event 3 times, placed 2nd twice, finished no worse than 15th, and has an average rank of 4.1.
I won't go into details for Rose, Johnson, and Stricker, but you can view their detailed analysis from the following links: Rose - analysis, Johnson - analysis, and Stricker - analysis. In addition, you can view Scott's analysis for the tournament.
Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jim Furyk | 5.80 |
| 2 | Tiger Woods | 6.70 |
| 3 | Justin Rose | 7.30 |
| 4 | Zach Johnson | 8.90 |
| 5 | Steve Stricker | 9.60 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Justin Rose
- Adam Scott
- Matt Kuchar
- Steve Stricker
- Henrik Stenson
Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Rose and Stricker.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 20% | 20% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 10% | 10% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Wednesday, August 28, 2013
Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship
This week the US PGA Tour is kicking off the FedEx Playoffs with the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.
I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings. This week the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has a better indication of who has the highest probability of playing well.
Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship
We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Scott, and Furyk.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Tiger Woods | 2.95 |
| 2 | Adam Scott | 5.50 |
| 3 | Jim Furyk | 6.50 |
| 4 | Jason Dufner | 7.40 |
| 5 | Steve Stricker | 8.75 |
| 6 | Zach Johnson | 15.65 |
| 7 | Dustin Johnson | 15.85 |
| 8 | Webb Simpson | 16.30 |
| 9 | Rory McIlroy | 18.55 |
| 10 | Phil Mickelson | 20.55 |
| 11 | Matt Kuchar | 20.70 |
| 12 | Brendan Steele | 21.60 |
| 13 | Bryce Molder | 22.70 |
| 14 | Keegan Bradley | 23.50 |
| 15 | Jerry Kelly | 24.70 |
I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings. This week the top 5 players have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign that the CLi has a better indication of who has the highest probability of playing well.
Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Tiger Woods | 2.95 |
| 2 | Adam Scott | 5.50 |
| 3 | Jim Furyk | 6.50 |
| 4 | Jason Dufner | 7.40 |
| 5 | Steve Stricker | 8.75 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Tiger Woods
- Adam Scott
- Jim Furyk
- Phil Mickelson
- Keegan Bradley
Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship
We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Scott, and Furyk.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Thursday, August 22, 2013
The Barclays
This week the US PGA Tour is kicking off the FedEx Playoffs with The Barclays.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for The Barclays.
I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings (even though the CLi figures are high, with none of the players having a CLi figure less than 10).
Below are my 5 picks for The Barclays:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: The Barclays
We have 0 players in common in this tournament.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for The Barclays:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Brian Harman | 12.05 |
| 2 | William McGirt | 13.15 |
| 3 | Dustin Johnson | 15.00 |
| 4 | Brandt Snedeker | 16.05 |
| 5 | Matt Kuchar | 16.25 |
| 6 | Tiger Woods | 16.40 |
| 7 | Jim Furyk | 17.30 |
| 8 | Nicholas Thompson | 19.80 |
| 9 | Rory Sabbatini | 20.10 |
| 10 | Webb Simpson | 24.90 |
| 11 | Gary Woodland | 28.30 |
| 12 | David Hearn | 29.20 |
| 13 | Lee Westwood | 29.75 |
| 14 | Jason Day | 30.30 |
| 15 | Roberto Castro | 32.95 |
I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings (even though the CLi figures are high, with none of the players having a CLi figure less than 10).
Below are my 5 picks for The Barclays:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Brian Harman | 12.05 |
| 2 | William McGirt | 13.15 |
| 3 | Dustin Johnson | 15.00 |
| 4 | Brandt Snedeker | 16.05 |
| 5 | Matt Kuchar | 16.25 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Jason Day
- Webb Simpson
- Henrik Stenson
- Adam Scott
- Tiger Woods
Bolton's Power Rankings: The Barclays
We have 0 players in common in this tournament.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for The Barclays:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Thursday, August 15, 2013
Wyndham Championship
This week the US PGA Tour will play the last tournament of the year before the FedEx Playoffs start: the Wyndham Championship. The tournament takes place in Greensboro, North Carolina at Sedgefield Country Club.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wyndham Championship.
Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Johnson and Haas.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jason Bohn | 8.70 |
| 2 | Chad Campbell | 11.80 |
| 3 | Zach Johnson | 12.30 |
| 4 | Bill Haas | 20.35 |
| 5 | J.J. Henry | 23.95 |
| 6 | Richard Lee | 24.05 |
| 7 | Jonathan Byrd | 24.85 |
| 8 | Webb Simpson | 25.85 |
| 9 | Mark Wilson | 26.25 |
| 10 | Brandt Snedeker | 27.00 |
| 11 | Jerry Kelly | 27.55 |
| 12 | Daniel Summerhays | 27.65 |
| 13 | Sergio Garcia | 27.75 |
| 14 | Andres Romero | 28.70 |
| 15 | Chez Reavie | 30.75 |
Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Jason Bohn | 8.70 |
| 2 | Chad Campbell | 11.80 |
| 3 | Zach Johnson | 12.30 |
| 4 | Bill Haas | 20.35 |
| 5 | Richard Lee | 24.05 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Zach Johnson
- Webb Simpson
- Brandt Snedeker
- Bill Haas
- Sergio Garcia
Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship
We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Johnson and Haas.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Wednesday, August 7, 2013
PGA Championship
This week is the last major of the year: The PGA Championship. It is being held at Oak Hill Country Club in New York.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the PGA Championship.
I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.
Below are my 5 picks for the PGA Championship:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: PGA Championship
We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Stenson, and Bradley.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the PGA Championship:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Keegan Bradley | 4.00 |
| 2 | Phil Mickelson | 8.70 |
| 3 | Tiger Woods | 9.90 |
| 4 | Henrik Stenson | 10.10 |
| 5 | Jason Dufner | 11.90 |
| 6 | Zach Johnson | 13.10 |
| 7 | Steve Stricker | 13.40 |
| 8 | Bill Haas | 15.30 |
| 9 | Ian Poulter | 17.20 |
| 10 | Dustin Johnson | 18.30 |
| 11 | Justin Rose | 21.90 |
| 12 | Matt Kuchar | 22.50 |
| 13 | Martin Kaymer | 28.80 |
| 14 | Lee Westwood | 28.80 |
| 15 | Chris Kirk | 29.40 |
I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.
| # | Player |
CLi
|
| 1 | Keegan Bradley | 4.00 |
| 2 | Phil Mickelson | 8.70 |
| 3 | Tiger Woods | 9.90 |
| 4 | Henrik Stenson | 10.10 |
| 5 | Jason Dufner | 11.90 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Tiger Woods
- Henrik Stenson
- Keegan Bradley
- Zach Johnson
- Matt Kuchar
Bolton's Power Rankings: PGA Championship
We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Stenson, and Bradley.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the PGA Championship:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 20% | 20% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 10% | 10% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Wednesday, July 31, 2013
Reno-Tahoe Open
This week the US PGA Tour has two events taking place: 1) The Bridgestone Invitational, and 2) The Reno-Tahoe Open. This post is for the Reno-Tahoe Open, which is taking place in between Reno, Nevada and Tahoe, California at the Jack Nicklaus-designed Montreux Golf Club (a course that I scouted and the company did work on). The event is a modified Stableford format.
[ View the Bridgestone Invitational post ]
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Reno-Tahoe Open.
I am going to stick with the top 3 in the CLi rankings (Henry, Campbell, and Wilson), but will skip down to pick Lunde and Appleby for my final two picks.
Below are my 5 picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Reno-Tahoe Open
We have 3 players in common this week: Wilson, Henry, and Campbell.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Reno-Tahoe Open:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
[ View the Bridgestone Invitational post ]
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Reno-Tahoe Open.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | J.J. Henry | 6.70 |
| 2 | Chad Campbell | 7.85 |
| 3 | Mark Wilson | 10.35 |
| 4 | Nick O'Hern | 11.60 |
| 5 | Jim Herman | 13.15 |
| 6 | Glen Day | 16.55 |
| 7 | Bryce Molder | 16.60 |
| 8 | Bill Lunde | 17.85 |
| 9 | Tom Pernice Jr | 19.40 |
| 10 | Stuart Appleby | 20.15 |
| 11 | Tag Ridings | 20.30 |
| 12 | Andres Romero | 20.50 |
| 13 | Alexander Cejka | 20.70 |
| 14 | Cameron Beckman | 23.65 |
| 15 | Matt Bettencourt | 23.70 |
I am going to stick with the top 3 in the CLi rankings (Henry, Campbell, and Wilson), but will skip down to pick Lunde and Appleby for my final two picks.
Below are my 5 picks for the Reno-Tahoe Open:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | J.J. Henry | 6.70 |
| 2 | Chad Campbell | 7.85 |
| 3 | Mark Wilson | 10.35 |
| 4 | Bill Lunde | 17.85 |
| 5 | Stuart Appleby | 20.15 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Mark Wilson
- Rory Sabbatini
- J.J. Henry
- Russell Knox
- Chad Campbell
Bolton's Power Rankings: Reno-Tahoe Open
We have 3 players in common this week: Wilson, Henry, and Campbell.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Reno-Tahoe Open:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Bridgestone Invitational
This week the US PGA Tour has two events taking place: 1) The Bridgestone Invitational, and 2) The Reno-Tahoe Open. This post is for the Bridgestone Invitational, which is taking place in Akron, Ohio and is played on the Firestone Country Club.
[ View the Reno-Tahoe Open post ]
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Bridgestone Invitational.
I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.
Stricker (analysis) finished 2nd last year in this event, and has finished no worse than 14th since 2009. Playing a limited schedule this year (has only played 8 tournaments since the beginning of the year), he has not missed a cut and has finished in the top-10 five times with two second place finishes (Cadillac Championship and Hyundai Tournament of Champions).
Johnson (analysis) has finished in the top-16 of this tournament five times since 2004, with an average ranking of 20.9. In his last two tournaments he has finished 6th (British Open) and 2nd (John Deere Classic --- losing in a playoff to Jordan Speith).
Bradley (analysis) won this event last year and placed 15th in 2011 (he has only played the event twice). With a strong finish at the British Open several weeks ago (placed 15th) and an 18th placed finish at the Travelers Championship in mid-June, he could be riding a wave of confidence this week.
Below are my 5 picks for the Bridgestone Invitational:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: Bridgestone Invitational
We have 0 players in common in this tournament.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Bridgestone Invitational:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
[ View the Reno-Tahoe Open post ]
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Bridgestone Invitational.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Steve Stricker | 8.35 |
| 2 | Zach Johnson | 11.25 |
| 3 | Phil Mickelson | 13.20 |
| 4 | Keegan Bradley | 15.70 |
| 5 | Jason Dufner | 16.00 |
| 6 | Bubba Watson | 17.20 |
| 7 | Paul Casey | 17.35 |
| 8 | Justin Rose | 18.05 |
| 9 | Angel Cabrera | 18.20 |
| 10 | Tiger Woods | 18.75 |
| 11 | Matt Kuchar | 19.90 |
| 12 | Bill Haas | 19.95 |
| 13 | Jason Day | 20.20 |
| 14 | Ryan Moore | 20.90 |
| 15 | Adam Scott | 21.50 |
I am going to stick with the top 5 in the Golf CLi rankings.
Stricker (analysis) finished 2nd last year in this event, and has finished no worse than 14th since 2009. Playing a limited schedule this year (has only played 8 tournaments since the beginning of the year), he has not missed a cut and has finished in the top-10 five times with two second place finishes (Cadillac Championship and Hyundai Tournament of Champions).
Johnson (analysis) has finished in the top-16 of this tournament five times since 2004, with an average ranking of 20.9. In his last two tournaments he has finished 6th (British Open) and 2nd (John Deere Classic --- losing in a playoff to Jordan Speith).
Mickelson (analysis) doesn't necessary play well at this tournament, having an average rank of 41.6 since 2003 with a low finish of 4th. However, prior to 2003 he finished 9th (2002), 8th (2001), and 4th (2000). He is playing well leading up to the tournament (2 wins in his last two outings -- the British Open and the Scottish Open), which could lead to a good finish this week at Firestone.
Bradley (analysis) won this event last year and placed 15th in 2011 (he has only played the event twice). With a strong finish at the British Open several weeks ago (placed 15th) and an 18th placed finish at the Travelers Championship in mid-June, he could be riding a wave of confidence this week.
Dufner (analysis) finished 7th in this event last year, and had a 26th and 4th place finishes in the British Open and the U.S. Open this summer. Although these are great finishes, they are definitely solid finishes in tough tournaments. This could be a sign that he will play well this week at Firestone.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Steve Stricker | 8.35 |
| 2 | Zach Johnson | 11.25 |
| 3 | Phil Mickelson | 13.20 |
| 4 | Keegan Bradley | 15.70 |
| 5 | Jason Dufner | 16.00 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Tiger Woods
- Adam Scott
- Henrik Stenson
- Bill Haas
- Lee Westwood
Bolton's Power Rankings: Bridgestone Invitational
We have 0 players in common in this tournament.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Bridgestone Invitational:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 25% | 25% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 5% | 5% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Thursday, July 25, 2013
RBC Canadian Open
Canada holds its own major tournament this week: RBC Canadian Open. The event is being played in Oakville, Ontario at Glen Abby Golf Club, a Jack Nicklaus design.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the RBC Canadian Open.
Below are my 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: RBC Canadian Open
We have 0 players in common this week.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the RBC Canadian Open:
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the RBC Canadian Open.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Daniel Summerhays | 16.00 |
| 2 | Andres Romero | 16.70 |
| 3 | Chris Kirk | 17.40 |
| 4 | Martin Flores | 19.20 |
| 5 | Chez Reavie | 19.70 |
| 6 | J.J. Henry | 21.90 |
| 7 | Nicholas Thompson | 21.90 |
| 8 | Woody Austin | 22.00 |
| 9 | Morgan Hoffmann | 24.30 |
| 10 | Jason Kokrak | 26.20 |
| 11 | Chad Campbell | 28.60 |
| 12 | Chris Stroud | 35.30 |
| 13 | James Driscoll | 35.40 |
| 14 | Ryan Palmer | 36.30 |
| 15 | Charlie Wi | 37.60 |
Below are my 5 picks for the RBC Canadian Open:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Daniel Summerhays | 16.00 |
| 2 | Andres Romero | 16.70 |
| 3 | Martin Flores | 19.20 |
| 4 | Chez Reavie | 19.70 |
| 5 | Nicholas Thompson | 21.90 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Brandt Snedeker
- Matt Kuchar
- Hunter Mahan
- Graeme DeLaet
- Charl Schwartzel
Bolton's Power Rankings: RBC Canadian Open
We have 0 players in common this week.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the RBC Canadian Open:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 5 | 20% | 20% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 30 | 10% | 10% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 4 | 20% | 20% |
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Wednesday, July 17, 2013
British Open
The third major of the year is upon us: The British Open. The game's oldest major, the British Open is being played at Muirfield Golf Links this year. Muirfield is a classic course. The British Open has previously been held at the course 15 times since 1892. Over the past 35 years, the winners of the British Open when it was played at Muirfield have been Tom Watson in 1980, Nick Faldo in 1987 and 1992, and Ernie Els in 2002. At the end of this week, another prime championship shall be crowned. Enjoy the week of competition!!!
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the British Open.
No player has a CLi figure less than 10. This is an indication that my CLi calculation can't easily determine which players will play well this week -- i.e. it is difficult to pick which players will play well in the British Open. Thus, my work is cut out for me...and the players this week.
I am going to go with the first two players in the CLi rankings: Mickelson (analysis) and Els (analysis). Mickelson won the Scottish Open last week, need I say more; he has a record of playing well in a major when he wins the week before -- case in point is with his record at the Masters. Maybe that trend will continue this week at the British Open.
Els won the event last year, and he won the BMW International Open several weeks ago. However, on the down side, he missed the cut last week at the Scottish Open and few players have won back-to-back British Opens.
I am going to skip over Bjorn (analysis) and English (analysis). Bjorn has been playing well this year. However, he withdrew after the 1st round of the Scottish Open last week. I am not sure why he withdrew, but if it is for an injury, that would make it tough to pick him this week. English won his first U.S. PGA Tour event last month in Memphis, and has played solidly in several tournaments after that. However, he lacks the experience in a major like the British Open, which is important this week -- the conditions can be mentally grueling at the British Open, especially for a youngster.
My next pick is Stenson (analysis). Although he didn't play in the event last year, he has two 3rd place finishes in the previous four years -- in 2010 and 2008. He is playing well leading up to this week having finished 3rd last week in the Scottish Open and 10th in the BMW International Open in late June.
For my final two picks, I am going to skip over Woods (analysis) to pick Johnson (analysis) and Fowler (analysis).
Below are my 5 picks for the British Open:
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
Bolton's Power Rankings: British Open
We have 2 players in common this week: Mickelson and Els.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the British Open:
I made some changes from my regular confirmation. I changed the weights a little by putting less emphasis on the past tournament results. Then I increased the number of days looking back from 30 to 45, and increased the number of tournaments looking back from 4 to 6.
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the British Open.
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Phil Mickelson | 13.80 |
| 2 | Ernie Els | 14.40 |
| 3 | Thomas Bjorn | 15.80 |
| 4 | Harris English | 21.30 |
| 5 | Henrik Stenson | 21.90 |
| 6 | Tiger Woods | 25.50 |
| 7 | Zach Johnson | 25.90 |
| 8 | Rickie Fowler | 29.30 |
| 9 | Keegan Bradley | 30.50 |
| 10 | Bill Haas | 31.00 |
| 11 | Webb Simpson | 31.90 |
| 12 | Justin Rose | 32.00 |
| 13 | Nicolas Colsaerts | 34.80 |
| 14 | Boo Weekley | 35.40 |
| 15 | Louis Oosthuizen | 35.60 |
No player has a CLi figure less than 10. This is an indication that my CLi calculation can't easily determine which players will play well this week -- i.e. it is difficult to pick which players will play well in the British Open. Thus, my work is cut out for me...and the players this week.
I am going to go with the first two players in the CLi rankings: Mickelson (analysis) and Els (analysis). Mickelson won the Scottish Open last week, need I say more; he has a record of playing well in a major when he wins the week before -- case in point is with his record at the Masters. Maybe that trend will continue this week at the British Open.
Els won the event last year, and he won the BMW International Open several weeks ago. However, on the down side, he missed the cut last week at the Scottish Open and few players have won back-to-back British Opens.
I am going to skip over Bjorn (analysis) and English (analysis). Bjorn has been playing well this year. However, he withdrew after the 1st round of the Scottish Open last week. I am not sure why he withdrew, but if it is for an injury, that would make it tough to pick him this week. English won his first U.S. PGA Tour event last month in Memphis, and has played solidly in several tournaments after that. However, he lacks the experience in a major like the British Open, which is important this week -- the conditions can be mentally grueling at the British Open, especially for a youngster.
My next pick is Stenson (analysis). Although he didn't play in the event last year, he has two 3rd place finishes in the previous four years -- in 2010 and 2008. He is playing well leading up to this week having finished 3rd last week in the Scottish Open and 10th in the BMW International Open in late June.
For my final two picks, I am going to skip over Woods (analysis) to pick Johnson (analysis) and Fowler (analysis).
Below are my 5 picks for the British Open:
| # | Player | CLi |
| 1 | Phil Mickelson | 13.80 |
| 2 | Ernie Els | 14.40 |
| 3 | Henrik Stenson | 21.90 |
| 4 | Zach Johnson | 25.90 |
| 5 | Rickie Fowler | 29.30 |
Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
- Phil Mickelson
- Tiger Woods
- Justin Rose
- Ernie Els
- Graeme McDowell
Bolton's Power Rankings: British Open
We have 2 players in common this week: Mickelson and Els.
Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the British Open:
| Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA1) |
| 7 | 20% | 20% |
| Number of Days Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA2) |
| 45 | 10% | 10% |
| Number of Tournaments Looking Back | ||
| Number | Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) | Earnings Avg Weight (EA3) |
| 6 | 20% | 20% |
I made some changes from my regular confirmation. I changed the weights a little by putting less emphasis on the past tournament results. Then I increased the number of days looking back from 30 to 45, and increased the number of tournaments looking back from 4 to 6.
If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.
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