BMW Championship

After a week off, this week the US PGA Tour goes to Chicago to play the BMW Championship at Cog Hill. This is the 3rd tournament in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, leaving only the the Tour Championship after this tournament. The top 30 players in the FedEx Cup points after the BMW Championship will make it to the field of the Tour Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the BMW Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Matt Kuchar	7.20
2	Jim Furyk	8.30
3	Camilo Villegas	8.40
4	Adam Scott	8.70
5	Dustin Johnson	11.85
6	Luke Donald	12.20
7	Chez Reavie	13.30
8	Brandt Snedeker	15.40
9	Carl Pettersson	15.85
10	Steve Stricker	17.40
11	Vijay Singh	19.30
12	David Toms	21.20
13	Zach Johnson	23.25
14	Sergio Garcia	23.45
15	Justin Rose	23.75

I am going to stick with the top 5 players in the CLi rankings: Kuchar (analysis), Furyk (analysis), Villegas (analysis), Scott (analysis), and Johnson (analysis). The top 4 have CLi figures below 10, which is a good sign they will play well. The interesting inclusion is Villegas. However, he does play well in this event and has placed in the top 10 in 2 out of the last 3 tournaments...with the 3rd one being a 25th finish.

Below are my 5 picks for the BMW Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Matt Kuchar	7.20
2	Jim Furyk	8.30
3	Camilo Villegas	8.40
4	Adam Scott	8.70
5	Dustin Johnson	11.85

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Matt Kuchar
2. Luke Donald
3. Adam Scott
4. Webb Simpson
5. Dustin Johnson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: BMW Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Kuchar, Scott, and Johnson.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the BMW Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Vijay Singh | 86 (MC) | $0
2. Luke Donald | 3 | $416,000
3. Jason Dufner | 31 | $46,400
4. Jason Day | 3 | $416,000
5. Adam Scott | 8 | $240,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Nick Watney | 61 | $16,960
2. Jason Day | 3 | $416,000
3. Dustin Johnson | 42 | $24,576
4. Matt Kuchar | 25 | $61,067
5. Luke Donald | 3 | $416,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,118,400	$934,603	TO
Avg Rank	26.2	26.8	TO
Made Cut	4	5	TI
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Insider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 11 wins to the Tour Outsider, 25 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

I squeaked out a win, as my average rank was 0.6 better than Bolton's average rank. Not a pretty win, since my number one pick, Singh, missed the cut.  Singh wasn't even close in making the cut -- a bad week for him on a course and in a tournament that he normally plays well. As well, I was helped with Bolton having a poor finisher in the last round.  Watney balooned to a 80 on the last day and moved down 49 spots in the rankings for the tournament.  That will happen when one shoots in the snow.

Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

This week the US PGA Tour moves up the Eastern seaboard to play the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	Vijay Singh	5.70
2	Luke Donald	9.30
3	Jason Dufner	9.50
4	Jason Day	12.00
5	Steve Stricker	12.25
6	Adam Scott	13.15
7	Matt Kuchar	14.45
8	Dustin Johnson	15.85
9	Kris Blanks	16.85
10	Jim Furyk	22.00
11	Scott Verplank	22.45
12	Sergio Garcia	24.10
13	Andres Romero	24.15
14	Brandt Snedeker	24.40
15	George McNeill	24.65

It is interesting to see Vijay Singh in the top 5 of the CLi figures again, and #1 in the CLi rankings for that matter. IT has been a long time since he has been predicted to play well in a tournament. But it helps that he has played well here (has won twice), and has played well in the past two tournaments he has played in (top top-5 finishes).

This week I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Singh (analysis), Donald (analysis), Dufner (analysis), and Day (analysis).

I am going to skip over Stricker (analysis), even though it hurts my heart as a fellow Illinois alumni, and pick Scott (analysis). In choosing between Stricker and Scott, I feel that Scott will make up for his final round last week and have a great showing this week. Scott seems to rebound well after one bad round (contrary to when he is on a bad streak -- many poor rounds, when tends to magnify the "poorness" in the next tournament he plays in; hopefully this is not the start of a bad streak for him).

Below are my 5 picks for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	Vijay Singh	5.70
2	Luke Donald	9.30
3	Jason Dufner	9.50
4	Jason Day	12.00
5	Adam Scott	13.15

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Nick Watney
2. Jason Day
3. Dustin Johnson
4. Matt Kuchar
5. Luke Donald

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship

We have 2 players in common this week: Day and Donald.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

The Barclays Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Barclays to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. Steve Stricker | 24 | $61,900
2. Adam Scott | 67 | $16,320
3. Webb Simpson | 10 | $200,000
4. Luke Donald | 18 | $100,800
5. Nick Watney | 10 | $200,000

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. Steve Stricker | 24 | $61,900
2. Adam Scott | 67 | $16,320
3. Dustin Johnson | 1 | $1,440,000
4. Luke Donald | 18 | $100,800
5. Webb Simpson | 10 | $200,000

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$579,020	$1,819,020	TI
Avg Rank	25.8	24.0	TI
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 25 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

The Barclays

This week the US PGA Tour is in New Jersey to play the Barclays.  This is the first event of the FedEx Playoffs.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Barclays.

#	Player	CLi
1	Steve Stricker	5.90
2	Adam Scott	6.80
3	Webb Simpson	9.10
4	Luke Donald	14.80
5	Scott Verplank	19.80
6	Nick Watney	19.80
7	Fredrik Jacobson	23.50
8	Vijay Singh	25.50
9	Jason Day	25.80
10	David Toms	25.80
11	Rickie Fowler	26.30
12	Zach Johnson	27.30
13	Jim Furyk	27.70
14	Bill Haas	32.60
15	Sergio Garcia	34.10

I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi rankings: Stricker (analysis), Scott (analysis), Simpson (analysis), and Donald (analysis).

Then I am going to skip over my native Texan, Verplank(analysis), and go with Watney(analysis). Verplank and Watney have the same CLi figure (19.80). Their scoring average in this tournament is around the same (70.40). Verplank has earned more money in this event on average and has earned more money in the past 4 weeks. However, Watney has earned more money in the past 4 tournaments they have played in, and has played better this year than Verplank. So I am going with Watney.

Below are my 5 picks for the Barclays :

#	Player	CLi
1	Steve Stricker	5.90
2	Adam Scott	6.80
3	Webb Simpson	9.10
4	Luke Donald	14.80
5	Nick Watney	19.80

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. Steve Stricker
2. Adam Scott
3. Dustin Johnson
4. Luke Donald
5. Webb Simpson

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Barclays

We have 4 players in common this week: Stricker, Scott, Donald, and Simpson.  Come'on Watney.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Barclays:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	20%	20%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	10%	10%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

Wyndham Championship Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Wyndham Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

1. David Toms | 17 | $65,780
2. Chez Reavie | 9 | $140,400
3. Josh Teater | 25 | $40,560
4. Webb Simpson | 1 | $936,000
5. Charles Howell III | 4 | $196,040

Here are the results for the Tour Insider's (Bolton's) picks.

1. David Toms | 17 | $65,780
2. Brandt Snedeker | 147 (MC) | $0
3. Webb Simpson | 1 | $936,000
4. Brendon de Jonge | 40 | $19,240
5. Charles Howell III | 4 | $196,040

Here is the comparison of the results for our picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,378,780	$1,217,060	TO
Avg Rank	11.2	41.8	TO
Made Cut	5	4	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider is 10 wins to the Tour Outsider, 24 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.

Yeah!!!! I made it to double digits this year. :-) ....and I did so with a very respectable result.  An average rank of 11.2 is rather good.  Also, Bolton's and my picks included a winner in Simpson.

Wyndham Championship

This week the US PGA Tour is in Greensboro, North Carolina to play the Wyndham Championship, which is being played at the Atlanta Athletic Club in Atlanta, Georgia.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Wyndham Championship.

#	Player	CLi
1	David Toms	4.70
2	Chez Reavie	12.50
3	Josh Teater	18.80
4	Webb Simpson	19.15
5	Charles Howell III	22.05
6	Carl Pettersson	22.75
7	Blake Adams	30.15
8	Michael Letzig	32.25
9	Kris Blanks	33.45
10	Garrett Willis	33.80
11	Trevor Immelman	35.80
12	Bob Estes	36.35
13	Bill Haas	37.40
14	Chris Couch	39.85
15	Jason Dufner	42.70

Toms (analysis) is a clear favorite this week. Look at his low CLi figure (4.70) and the distance between his CLi figure and the next player's CLi figure (Reavie, 12.50). So Toms is my first pick.

Cheavie (analysis) has been playing well for the past 5 tournaments, and has played well in the one time he has played in the tournament (finishing 10th in 2009).

Teater (analysis) is my third pick. When looking at the list of top 5 players, I was not totally sold on Teater. However, when looking at his play in this tournament and leading up to this tournament, he shows a solid record. He placed 10th in 2010, the only time he has played in this tournament. He has made the cut in the past 5 events he has played leading up to this tournament, with his most recent finish being the best (a 10th place finish at the Reno-Tahoe Open).

For my final 2 picks, I am going to pick Simpson (analysis) and Howell III (analysis).

Below are my 5 picks for the Wyndham Championship :

#	Player	CLi
1	David Toms	4.70
2	Chez Reavie	12.50
3	Josh Teater	18.80
4	Webb Simpson	19.15
5	Charles Howell III	22.05

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:

1. David Toms
2. Brandt Snedeker
3. Webb Simpson
4. Brendon de Jonge
5. Charles Howell III

Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Wyndham Championship

We have 3 players in common this week: Toms, Simpson, and Howell.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Wyndham Championship:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA1)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5	25%	25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA2)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30	5%	5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number	Scoring Avg Weight (SA3)	Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4	20%	20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.