Monday, October 8, 2007

Tour Outsider: Frys.com Open in Las Vegas

The US PGA Tour heads to Vegas for the Frys.com Open in Las Vegas.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 4.45
2 Bill Haas 6.55
3 Scott Verplank 10.55
4 Daniel Chopra 11.30
5 Shigeki Maruyama 17.20
6 Tim Petrovic 17.65
7 Charles Howell III 18.10
8 Nick Watney 18.70
9 Dan Forsman 19.25
10 Troy Matteson 20.50
11 Dean Wilson 21.95
12 Steve Flesch 22.10
13 Steve Lowery 23.60
14 Rich Beem 24.85
15 Bo Van Pelt 27.25

Am going with the top 4 in the CLi list. Then am going to skip over Maruyama and Petrovic to pick Howell. Feel that Howell is due. Let's hope that is good thinking.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Frys.com Open in Las Vegas are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 4.45
2 Bill Haas 6.55
3 Scott Verplank 10.55
4 Daniel Chopra 11.30
5 Charles Howell III 18.10

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 3 players in common: Chopra, Hoffman, and Verplank.

Sunday, October 7, 2007

Tour Outsider: Valero Texas Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Valero Texas Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35 11 10 15 23 $99,000
2 Steve Flesch 10.00 MC MC 87 82 $0
3 Heath Slocum 17.60 5 24 8 50 $180,000
4 Bart Bryant 19.05 33 68 26 12 $24,863
5 Chad Campbell 21.50 15 8 8 12 $72,000

This week was a little better. Just had one negative and that was Flesch missing the cut. He was suppose to be a low risk pick and with little chance of missing the cut. In the second round he had trouble bringing it in and ended up missing the cut by two strokes.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Shedloski had another very nice week. Like last week, he picked a winner (Leonard). Nice going.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $375,863 $898,431 TI
Avg Rank 30.2 43.2 TO
Made Cut 4 4 DRAW
Outcome -- -- DRAW

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 9 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35 11 10 15 23 $99,000
2 Steve Flesch 10.00 MC MC 87 82 $0
3 Heath Slocum 17.60 5 24 8 50 $180,000
4 Bart Bryant 19.05 33 68 26 12 $24,863
5 Chad Campbell 21.50 15 8 8 12 $72,000
6 Dean Wilson 23.30 6 10 15 32 $140,850
7 Anthony Kim 24.05 44 39 36 101 $13,986
8 Kent Jones 26.60 MC MC 79 32 $0
9 Mathew Goggin 27.00 26 50 49 50 $31,950
10 Daisuke Maruyama 28.30 33 39 36 82 $24,863
11 Vaughn Taylor 28.35 MC MC 100 82 $0
12 Alexander Cejka 29.70 26 32 36 101 $31,950
13 Bo Van Pelt 30.20 11 10 26 50 $99,000
14 Bob Estes 30.50 37 18 26 67 $19,350
15 Mark Wilson 31.55 MC MC 127 125 $0

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Tour Outsider: Valero Texas Open

The US PGA Tour heads to Texas for the Valero Texas Open in San Antonio.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35
2 Steve Flesch 10.00
3 Heath Slocum 17.60
4 Bart Bryant 19.05
5 Chad Campbell 21.50
6 Tommy Armour III 22.05
7 Pat Perez 23.15
8 Dean Wilson 23.30
9 Anthony Kim 24.05
10 Kent Jones 26.60
11 Mathew Goggin 27.00
12 Daisuke Maruyama 28.30
13 Vaughn Taylor 28.35
14 Alexander Cejka 29.70
15 Bo Van Pelt 30.20

Let's see if I can do better than I have the past three weeks. The past 3 weeks of picks have not been good. :-( Hopefully I can break the three week losing streak

I am going to go with the top 5 players in the CLi list this week.

I would have liked to pick Anthony Kim this week as he played well here last year. However, I could not decide which player in the list before him to drop. Bryant might have been a good player to drop in this case. However, he is a veteran player that is good to make the cut, and I need to make sure all five players make the cut this week. Kim has a higher risk of missing the cut, even though he does have a higher chance to place better than Bryant on average.

In the end, I decided to go with a less risky group of players this week to try to get back on the winning track. Hoffman is my most risky pick this week. However, he does have a low CLi, and the lowest for that matter. It is hard to go against a 1 digit CLi (6.35).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Valero Texas Open are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Charley Hoffman 6.35
2 Steve Flesch 10.00
3 Heath Slocum 17.60
4 Bart Bryant 19.05
5 Chad Campbell 21.50

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 1 player in common: Flesch.

Sunday, September 30, 2007

Tour Outsider: Viking Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Viking Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Carl Pettersson 5.80 59 54 60 90 $7,630
2 Charlie Wi 6.85 MC MC 73 116 $0
3 Heath Slocum 10.60 13 22 28 33 $65,625
4 Brett Wetterich 12.60 MC MC 98 116 $0
5 John Senden 21.20 5 9 5 8 $127,750

Again, not a good week, with two players missing the cut. I would have thought that Wi and Wetterich would have had no problem making the cut, but they didn't seem to do too well. Wi missed the cut on the number. His first round did him in. For Wetterich, he just did not have it this week.

On a positive note, did have a top five finish with Senden placing fifth.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Shedloski had a very nice week. He had winner (Campbell) and a third place finisher (Weekley). Plus, his worst finisher was only 39th. Nice going.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Ousider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Ousider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $201,005 $944,525 TI
Avg Rank 49.2 15.6 TI
Made Cut 3 5 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Tour Insider won the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Tour Insider won the Made Cut category.

This tournament was won by the Tour Insider in a sweep of all 3 categories. That is a sweep of all of the categories for 2 weeks in a row. Ouch.

This is the third week in a row that I have lost the challenge. Hopefully I will be able to turn things around this coming week for the tournament in my native state of Texas.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 9 wins to the Tour Insider, and 3 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 Carl Pettersson 5.80 59 54 60 90 $7,630
2 Charlie Wi 6.85 MC MC 73 116 $0
3 Heath Slocum 10.60 13 22 28 33 $65,625
4 Brett Wetterich 12.60 MC MC 98 116 $0
5 Shigeki Maruyama 16.40 MC MC 73 51 $0
6 Ryan Palmer 17.65 44 28 48 70 $10,878
7 Kirk Triplett 20.60 MC MC 73 51 $0
8 John Senden 21.20 5 9 5 8 $127,750
9 Bo Van Pelt 21.25 8 15 28 33 $101,500
10 Thomas Levet 29.45 MC MC 98 33 $0
11 Joe Durant 29.80 17 37 28 70 $49,000
12 Tommy Armour III 31.65 MC MC 73 103 $0
13 Cameron Beckman 33.60 29 15 2 2 $22,750
14 Michael Allen 37.00 54 54 42 8 $7,980
15 Kent Jones 38.20 8 9 28 51 $101,500

Monday, September 24, 2007

Tour Outsider: Viking Classic

The US PGA Tour heads to the south United States for the Viking Classic in Madison, Mississippi.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 Carl Pettersson 5.80
2 Charlie Wi 6.85
3 Heath Slocum 10.60
4 Brett Wetterich 12.60
5 Shigeki Maruyama 16.40
6 Ryan Palmer 17.65
7 Kirk Triplett 20.60
8 John Senden 21.20
9 Bo Van Pelt 21.25
10 Thomas Levet 29.45
11 Joe Durant 29.80
12 Tommy Armour III 31.65
13 Cameron Beckman 33.60
14 Michael Allen 37.00
15 Kent Jones 38.20

I am going to go with the top 4 players in the CLi list. Then I am going to drop down to the 8th position to pick Senden. I can't skip over him two weeks in a row, especially after he placed well last week in the Turning Stone Resort Championship (3rd).

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Viking Classic are:

Rank Player CLi
1 Carl Pettersson 5.80
2 Charlie Wi 6.85
3 Heath Slocum 10.60
4 Brett Wetterich 12.60
5 John Senden 21.20

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

This week we have 1 player in common: Slocum.