Tour Outsider: Puerto Rico Open Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Puerto Rico Open to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual 1 S Matt Kuchar 2.75 MC MC 97 100 $0 2 S Brian Gay 4.25 54 50 14 15 $7,910 3 S Alexander Cejka 5.75 MC MC 106 122 $0 4 S John Merrick 5.75 13 14 10 9 $70,000 5 S Esteban Toledo 10.00 54 56 69 15 $7,910

No top tens, and 2 missed cuts this week. Not what I wanted to see.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

• 1 Steve Marino | WD | $0
• 2 Ken Duke | WD | $0
• 4 Ben Curtis | 15 | $54,250
• 3 Joe Durant | 50 | $8,523
• 5 Matt Kuchar | 97 MC | $0

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$85,820	$62,773	TO
Avg Rank	64.8	85.2	TO
Made Cut	3	2	TO
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider...but just barely.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was won by the Tour Outsider.

This tournament was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 9 wins to the Tour Outsider, 3 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

This win was mainly because Shedloski picked two players that withdrew before the tournament started. Marino and Duke both withdrew before the first round. If Shedloski had made picks of players that played and didn't withdraw, he would have easily won.

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The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual 1 S Matt Kuchar 2.75 MC MC 97 100 $0 2 S Brian Gay 4.25 54 50 14 15 $7,910 3 S Alexander Cejka 5.75 MC MC 106 122 $0 4 S John Merrick 5.75 13 14 10 9 $70,000 5 S Esteban Toledo 10.00 54 56 69 15 $7,910 6 S Dudley Hart 10.25 74 56 48 79 $6,720 7 S Paul Stankowski 10.25 MC MC 91 122 $0 8 S Joe Durant 11.75 50 56 48 15 $8,523 9 S Tom Lehman 15.00 MC MC 111 100 $0 10 S Roland Thatcher 15.25 MC MC 97 122 $0 11 S Patrick Sheehan 18.50 73 69 60 57 $6,790 12 S Tim Petrovic 24.75 54 50 69 100 $7,910 13 S Craig Kanada 26.00 MC MC 91 79 $0 14 S Michael Sim 27.25 54 69 48 57 $7,910 15 S Chris Riley 30.50 21 10 14 27 $33,850

Traveling

I have been late in posting this week as I am traveling. Hopefully, I will get the review postings for the CA Championship and Puerto Rico Open soon, and the picks post for the Zurich Classic shortly thereafter.

Tour Outsider: Puerto Rico Open

As mentioned in my previous post, this week the US PGA Tour moves to the southern tip of Florida and to Puerto Rico to play two tournaments. The first tournament this week for picks was the Puerto Rico Open. This posting is for the second tournament, which is the inaugural Puerto Rico Open.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi 1 S Matt Kuchar 2.75 2 S Brian Gay 4.25 3 S Alexander Cejka 5.75 4 S John Merrick 5.75 5 S Esteban Toledo 10.00 6 S Dudley Hart 10.25 7 S Paul Stankowski 10.25 8 S Joe Durant 11.75 9 S Tom Lehman 15.00 10 S Roland Thatcher 15.25 11 S Patrick Sheehan 18.50 12 S Tim Petrovic 24.75 13 S Craig Kanada 26.00 14 S Michael Sim 27.25 15 S Chris Riley 30.50

I will keep it simple this week and go with all of the top 5 players in the CLi rankings. They all have CLi rankings of 10 or below.

It should be noted, since this tournament is being played for the first time this year (inaugural), that the CLi calculation is based solely on the results of the players leading up to this tournament. There is no historical results from this specific tournament to include in the CLi calculation. So that means the ranking lists which players are playing the best leading up to this tournament. Let's hope they continue to play well this week in this new tournament.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Puerto Rico Open are:

Rank Player CLi 1 S Matt Kuchar 2.75 2 S Brian Gay 4.25 3 S Alexander Cejka 5.75 4 S John Merrick 5.75 5 S Esteban Toledo 10.00

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

• 1 Steve Marino
• 2 Ken Duke
• 3 Ben Curtis
• 4 Joe Durant
• 5 Matt Kuchar

We have 1 player in common in this tournament: Kuchar.

It is interesting that Shedloski picked two players that have since withdrawn from the tournament: Marino and Duke. So he is already down two players before the tournament has started.

[ Note: I would have written and posted this posting for the Puerto Rico Open last night. However, I fell asleep after a long day. I went to pick up my sister from the airport yesterday and the car decided to not start once at the airport. The car decided to wait for 2 hours before starting again. It does that every 4-5 months and the mechanics can't figure it out. When ever I take it in for them to look at it, the car starts just fine. In any event, it made for a long day at the airport just waiting around. Thus, I was delayed in posting until this morning (Tuesday). ]

Tour Outsider: CA Championship

This week the US PGA Tour moves to the southern tip of Florida and to Puerto Rico to play two tournaments. The first tournament this week for picks is the CA Championship in Miami. [ the picks for the second tournament, the inaugural Puerto Rico Open, will be posted late today ]

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi 1 Tiger Woods 1.50 2 Vijay Singh 9.20 3 Phil Mickelson 11.70 4 Ernie Els 14.80 5 Robert Allenby 15.30 6 K.J. Choi 16.90 7 Luke Donald 17.60 8 Henrik Stenson 20.50 9 Stewart Cink 21.40 10 Mark Calcavecchia 21.50 11 Woody Austin 22.50 12 Niclas Fasth 22.70 13 Geoff Ogilvy 24.40 14 Craig Parry 24.40 15 Sean O'Hair 25.70

I will go with the top 3 players in the CLi rankings this week, skip over the next two, and then pick the next two players.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the CA Championsip are:

Rank Player CLi 1 Tiger Woods 1.50 2 Vijay Singh 9.20 3 Phil Mickelson 11.70 4 K.J. Choi 16.90 5 Luke Donald 17.60

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

• 1 Tiger Woods
• 2 Ernie Els
• 3 K.J. Choi
• 4 Jim Furyk
• 5 Geoff Ogilvy

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Woods and Choi.

Tour Outsider: Arnold Palmer Invitational Review

It is now time to review the picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual 1 Vijay Singh 4.15 3 1 1 3 $301,600 2 Tiger Woods 9.20 1 1 20 34 $1,044,000 3 Luke Donald 11.45 MC MC 72 92 $0 4 Chad Campbell 27.40 21 17 10 12 $51,620 5 Scott Verplank 33.45 MC MC 86 67 $0

This week, it was an easy time to pick Singh and Woods. The results definitely showed that, as Woods won and Singh placed 3rd.

As for the 3 other players in my 5 picks, 2 of them missed the cut (Donald and Verplank). Campbell was the bright star in this group of 3 as he placed 21st.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

• 1 Tiger Woods | 1 | $1,044,000
• 2 Phil Mickelson | 21 | $51,620
• 4 Stuart Appleby | 97 MC | $0
• 3 Vijay Singh | 3 | $301,600
• 5 Luke Donald | 72 MC | $0

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$1,397,200	$1,397,220	DRAW
Avg Rank	36.6	38.8	TO
Made Cut	3	3	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

For the first time, we had a draw in the Total Earnings category.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 8 wins to the Tour Outsider, 3 wins to the Tour Insider, and 1 draw.

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The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual 1 Vijay Singh 4.15 3 1 1 3 $301,600 2 Tiger Woods 9.20 1 1 20 34 $1,044,000 3 Luke Donald 11.45 MC MC 72 92 $0 4 Stuart Appleby 14.10 MC MC 97 67 $0 5 Phil Mickelson 19.15 21 32 29 67 $51,620 6 Corey Pavin 24.30 MC MC 92 52 $0 7 Ben Crane 27.05 59 54 20 34 $12,876 8 Chad Campbell 27.40 21 17 10 12 $51,620 9 Kenny Perry 27.50 48 54 49 24 $15,099 10 Brian Gay 28.35 21 25 49 34 $51,620 11 Sean O'Hair 32.95 3 1 49 67 $301,600 12 Scott Verplank 33.45 MC MC 86 67 $0 13 Boo Weekley 33.85 21 32 38 52 $51,620 14 Rod Pampling 37.20 MC MC 118 117 $0 15 Sergio Garcia 38.25 31 25 10 34 $31,513

Tour Outsider: Arnold Palmer Invitational

This week the US PGA Tour continues its Florida swing, moving to the center of Florida to play the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando. Played at Bay Hill, this tournament is Arnie's tournament as well as his personal course, true and true.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi 1 Vijay Singh 4.15 2 Tiger Woods 9.20 3 Luke Donald 11.45 4 Stuart Appleby 14.10 5 Phil Mickelson 19.15 6 Corey Pavin 24.30 7 Ben Crane 27.05 8 Chad Campbell 27.40 9 Kenny Perry 27.50 10 Brian Gay 28.35 11 Sean O'Hair 32.95 12 Scott Verplank 33.45 13 Boo Weekley 33.85 14 Rod Pampling 37.20 15 Sergio Garcia 38.25

Let's see if I can right the ship after the bad week at the PODS Championship (had 4 out of 5 players miss the cut).

I will go with the top 3 players in the CLi, two of them have CLis below 10 and Donald's is not far above 10 (11.45). Then I will go outside of the top 5 to pick Campbell and Verplank.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational are:

Rank Player CLi 1 Vijay Singh 4.15 2 Tiger Woods 9.20 3 Luke Donald 11.45 4 Chad Campbell 27.40 5 Scott Verplank 33.45

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

• 1 Tiger Woods
• 2 Phil Mickelson
• 3 Stuart Appleby
• 4 Vijay Singh
• 5 Luke Donald

We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Woods, Singh and Donald.

It is a good thing that I went outside the top 5 in the CLi, or Shedloski and I would have had all 5 picks the same this week as Shedloski's picks are also the top 5 CLi rankings.