Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Sony Open in Hawaii

The US PGA Tour stays in Hawaii to play the first full field event of the season, the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Sony Open in Hawaii.

# Player CLi 
1 Steve Stricker 2.50
2 K.J. Choi 5.50
3 Kevin Na 7.35
4 Charles Howell III 9.60
5 John Rollins 10.90
6 Rory Sabbatini 11.10
7 Webb Simpson 15.85
8 Briny Baird 22.10
9 Jimmy Walker
25.45
10 Jerry Kelly 26.40
11 Kevin Chappell 26.60
12 Tom Pernice Jr.
27.50
13 Carl Pettersson 27.85
14 Zach Johnson 28.60
15 Jason Dufner 29.00

Last week at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, the CLi "performed" well....with the CLi calculation having 3 players in the top 5.  And looking at this week's CLi, the figures look low, which is a good sign that the CLi has some intelligence.  There are 4 of the players have CLi figures less than 10.

Thus, I am going to go with the top 4 players: Stricker (analysis), Choi (analysis), Na (analysis), and Howell III (analysis).

Rollins (analysis) is the 5th player, and his CLi figure is close to being under 10 (10.90).  However, I am looking at the player just below Rollins for my 5th pick: Rory Sabbatini (analysis).  Sabbatini has been on the island for a week already and hopefully is on Hawaii time....after being a couple of minutes late to his tee time during the 2nd round of the Hyundai Tournament of Champions last week.  His play has been consistently good on the island which is the ultimate reason I want to include him in my picks this week.

Below are my 5 picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii :

# Player CLi 
1 Steve Stricker 2.50
2 K.J. Choi 5.50
3 Kevin Na 7.35
4 Charles Howell III 9.60
5 Rory Sabbatini 11.10

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Steve Stricker
  2. K.J. Choi
  3. Zach Johnson
  4. Charles Howell III
  5. David Toms
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Sony Open in Hawaii

We have 3 players in common this week: Stricker, Choi, and Howell II.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Sony Open in Hawaii:


Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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