Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Waste Management Phoenix Open

The US PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the Super Bowl weekend staple tournament, the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

Below is the list of the top 15 players in the CLi rankings for the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

# Player CLi 
1 Mark Wilson 3.35
2 Jason Dufner 5.70
3 Brandt Snedeker 9.80
4 John Rollins 14.55
5 Ben Crane 15.50
6 Matt Kuchar 17.90
7 Jeff Maggert 18.30
8 Martin Laird 19.00
9 Charles Howell III 20.05
10 Jonathan Byrd 20.10
11 Webb Simpson 21.35
12 D.A. Points 22.10
13 Kenny Perry 22.25
14 Brian Gay 23.45
15 Robert Garrigus 23.75

There are 3 players with CLi figures less than 10: Wilson (analysis), Dufner (analysis), and Snedeker (analysis).  These 3 players will be my first 3 picks for the tournament.

Wilson won here last year, and won two weeks ago at the Humana Challenge.  In the 4 times he has played this tournament, his worse finish has been a 48th finish.   He placed 8th and 14th respectively the two other times he played the event.

Dufner finished 2nd here last year behind Wilson, and finished 12th two weeks ago at the Humana Challenge.  Maybe he will mirror Wilson this week -- hopefully a good mirror.

Snedeker won last week, and placed 8th two weeks ago in the Humana Challenge.  He has played in this event five times and has two top 10 finishes.

For my fourth pick, I am going to go with the next player in the rankings, Rollins (analysis).  He has played consistently so far this year, having made the cut in all 3 tournaments he has played in.  Two of those tournaments were top 10 finishes, with a 3rd place finish last week at the Farmers Insurance Open.  He has not missed the cut in this tournament the past 9 times he has played the tournament.  Plus, he finished 2nd in 2007.

For my fifth pick, I am going to skip down the list (yes, I am skipping over Crane (analysis) -- he hasn't been consistent when I have picked him or skipped over him).  I am looking at Laird (analysis) for my fifth pick.  Laird placed 3rd here last year and has two top 15 finishes so far this year.  One of those top 15 finishes is a 2nd at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.

Below are my 5 picks for the Waste Management Phoenix Open:

# Player CLi 
1 Mark Wilson 3.35
2 Jason Dufner 5.70
3 Brandt Snedeker 9.80
4 John Rollins 14.55
5 Martin Laird 19.00

Below are the top 5 players in the Power Rankings from Rob Bolton:
  1. Rickie Fowler
  2. Bill Haas
  3. Brandt Snedeker
  4. Mark Wilson
  5. Martin Laird
Here is a link to Bolton's Power Rankings so that you can read more about his thoughts on his top players in this week's Power Rankings:

Bolton's Power Rankings: Waste Management Phoenix Open

We have 3 players in common this week: Snedeker, Wilson, and Laird.

Below are the settings for the CLi calculation I used for the Waste Management Phoenix Open:

Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA1) Earnings Avg Weight (EA1)
5 25% 25%
Number of Days Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA2) Earnings Avg Weight (EA2)
30 5% 5%
Number of Tournaments Looking Back
Number Scoring Avg Weight (SA3) Earnings Avg Weight (EA3)
4 20% 20%

If you don't like the configuration of my CLi calculation, feel free to run your own CLi calculation with your own desired settings by going to golfcli.com.

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