Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Tour Ousider: British Open

This week the world of golf is focusing it's attention on Royal Birkdale (UK) as the 3rd major of the year will be contested. Players are going after the claret jug that is rewarded to the winner of this week's British Open

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 S Vijay Singh 9.70
2 S Hunter Mahan 12.50
3 S Stewart Cink 13.70
4 S Phil Mickelson 17.60
5 S Sergio Garcia 18.10
6 S Geoff Ogilvy 18.30
7 S Lee Westwood 18.70
8 S Miguel Angel Jimenez 18.90
9 S Rod Pampling 20.80
10 S Graeme McDowell 24.80
11 S Justin Leonard 27.40
12 S Robert Karlsson 30.00
13 S Soren Hansen 32.90
14 S Jim Furyk 33.40
15 S Adam Scott 34.00

This week I am going to go with Singh as my first pick. His CLi figure is less than 10, which is a good sign, especially in a major.

Then I am going to skip over Mahan, as he has limited playing experience in the British Open. He has been playing well of late, but I just don't think he will fair well at Royal Birkdale because he will have jumpy jitters.

I will pick the next 3 in Cink, Mickelson and Garcia. Cink is solid in the British. Mickelson is the top ranked player in the field. Garcia played well last year in the British and wants a major after having won the Players Championship earlier in the year.

For my final pick, I want a European player. Westwood is looking good, however, I see one that I like even better down the list. It is another Spainard: Jimenez. If Jimenez keeps his cool when he hits a dire shot and doesn't have any big numbers on his scorecard, he should fair rather well this week.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the British Open are:

Rank Player CLi
1 S Vijay Singh 9.70
2 S Stewart Cink 13.70
3 S Phil Mickelson 17.60
4 S Sergio Garcia 18.10
5 S Miguel Angel Jimenez 18.90

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Mickelson and Garcia.

Monday, July 14, 2008

Tour Outsider: John Deere Classic Review

It is now time to review the picks for the John Deere Classic to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Kenny Perry 4.30 1 1 2 3 $756,000
2 S Tim Clark 8.40 18 8 30 67 $52,920
3 S Carl Pettersson 11.75 MC MC 152 125 $0
4 S D.J. Trahan 12.35 MC MC 112 67 $0
5 S Heath Slocum 13.05 41 66 44 46 $14,718

Am going to be brief here as I am packing today and moving cross country. The results were good and bad this week. The up side was that I did have a winner in Perry. However, most people knew that he was going to play well this week. So that was not much of a surprise. The down side was that two players missed the cut. It is never too good to have players in one's pick list miss the cut.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $823,638 $850,938 TI
Avg Rank 64.8 49.0 TI
Made Cut 3 4 TI
Outcome -- -- TI

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Insider.

The Tour Insider won the Made Cut category for the clean sweep of all 3 categories.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Insider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 9 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Kenny Perry 4.30 1 1 2 3 $756,000
2 S Tim Clark 8.40 18 8 30 67 $52,920
3 S Carl Pettersson 11.75 MC MC 152 125 $0
4 S D.J. Trahan 12.35 MC MC 112 67 $0
5 S Heath Slocum 13.05 41 66 44 46 $14,718
6 S Jeffrey Overton 17.20 24 12 12 15 $34,860
7 S Kevin Sutherland 17.60 8 12 26 29 $130,200
8 S Bubba Watson 19.90 41 12 44 67 $14,718
9 S Lucas Glover 23.35 MC MC 93 67 $0
10 S John Huston 24.85 MC MC 102 46 $0
11 S Jerry Kelly 25.05 18 12 59 15 $52,920
12 S Patrick Sheehan 26.75 62 41 7 7 $9,030
13 S Nathan Green 29.10 66 35 30 90 $8,736
14 S Billy Mayfair 31.40 29 35 30 67 $27,300
15 S Bill Haas 31.50 MC MC 124 146 $0

Monday, July 7, 2008

Tour Outsider: John Deere Classic

This week the US PGA Tour goes to the mid-west to play the John Deere Classic

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 S Kenny Perry 4.30
2 S Tim Clark 8.40
3 S Carl Pettersson 11.75
4 S D.J. Trahan 12.35
5 S Heath Slocum 13.05
6 S Jeffrey Overton 17.20
7 S Kevin Sutherland 17.60
8 S Bubba Watson 19.90
9 S Lucas Glover 23.35
10 S John Huston 24.85
11 S Jerry Kelly 25.05
12 S Patrick Sheehan 26.75
13 S Nathan Green 29.10
14 S Tommy Armour III 29.25
15 S Billy Mayfair 31.40

I am going to make my picks easy this week, so am going to go with the top 5 in the CLi rankings.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the John Deere Classic are:

Rank Player CLi
1 S Kenny Perry 4.30
2 S Tim Clark 8.40
3 S Carl Pettersson 11.75
4 S D.J. Trahan 12.35
5 S Heath Slocum 13.05

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Perry and Clark.

Sunday, July 6, 2008

Tour Outsider: AT&T National Review

It is now time to review the picks for the AT&T National to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Nick O'Hern 16.95 3 3 5 35 $256,500
2 S Robert Allenby 17.40 3 9 14 13 $256,500
3 S Hunter Mahan 17.40 12 11 48 23 $114,000
4 S Anthony Kim 24.35 1 6 3 6 $1,080,000
5 S Tom Pernice Jr 24.40 9 1 1 13 $162,000

This week was one of my better weeks. For one, had a winner in Kim. Also had 3 players place in the top 3. Then had all 5 players place 12th or better, which meant that all 5 players made the cut. The average rank for my 5 picks was 5.6. That is a very low average rank for 5 players. So to say the least, I am happy this week with how my team of players played

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

Tour Outsider Tour Insider Winner
Total Earnings $1,869,000 $466,308 TO
Avg Rank 5.6 37.8 TO
Made Cut 5 4 TO
Outcome -- -- TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Avg Rank category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won the Made Cut category.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 15 wins to the Tour Outsider, 8 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.


The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Ben Crane 8.80 63 67 48 54 $12,600
2 S Nick O'Hern 16.95 3 3 5 35 $256,500
3 S Robert Allenby 17.40 3 9 14 13 $256,500
4 S Hunter Mahan 17.40 12 11 48 23 $114,000
5 S Rocco Mediate 18.40 18 30 48 78 $81,000
6 S Alexander Cejka 19.60 9 16 18 6 $162,000
7 S Rod Pampling 19.75 3 16 5 2 $256,500
8 S Paul Goydos 20.50 WD WD WD 112 $0
9 S Tim Herron 21.85 12 6 18 13 $114,000
10 S Anthony Kim 24.35 1 6 3 6 $1,080,000
11 S Tom Pernice Jr 24.40 9 1 1 13 $162,000
12 S Stuart Appleby 24.50 60 55 48 6 $13,080
13 S Steve Elkington 24.70 WD WD WD 109 $0
14 S Jeff Quinney 24.70 MC MC 101 102 $0
15 S Michael Allen 25.05 24 30 18 35 $52,800

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Tour Outsider: AT&T National

This week the US PGA Tour visits the D.C. area for the AT&T National, which is hosted by Tiger Woods. Even though Tiger won't be playing because he is out for the season after his knee surgery, he will be watching the tournament on TV....from the comforts of his couch.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank Player CLi
1 S Ben Crane 8.80
2 S Nick O'Hern 16.95
3 S Robert Allenby 17.40
4 S Hunter Mahan 17.40
5 S Rocco Mediate 18.40
6 S Alexander Cejka 19.60
7 S Rod Pampling 19.75
8 S Paul Goydos 20.50
9 S Tim Herron 21.85
10 S Anthony Kim 24.35
11 S Tom Pernice Jr 24.40
12 S Stuart Appleby 24.50
13 S Steve Elkington 24.70
14 S Jeff Quinney 24.70
15 S Michael Allen 25.05

After a week off (because of travels), I am thinking about picks again.

This week, I will going to do something I normal do not do, and that is to pass over someone that has a CLi less than 10. Ben Crane has a CLi of 8.80 and he plays well on this course. However, I don't want to risk him pulling out at the last minute (i.e. a WD).

So I am going to pass over Crane and then pick the next 3 players (O'Hern, Allenby and Mahan). Then I will drop down the list a little and pick Kim and Pernice. I can see Kim playing well this week because he wants to impress Tiger ...as this is Tiger's hosted tournament. And then for Pernice, even though he did miss the cut at the Buick last week, has been playing well the last couple of months.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the AT&T National are:

Rank Player CLi
1 S Nick O'Hern 16.95
2 S Robert Allenby 17.40
3 S Hunter Mahan 17.40
4 S Anthony Kim 24.35
5 S Tom Pernice Jr 24.40

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Mahan and Allenby.